Hockey Analytics Researcher | Devils Blogger | Insufferable Pedant
New Jersey, USA
Joined March 2014
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I’ve written about hockey analytics for 15 years. In that time, I always wanted a site that dug into not only IF a player is good, but when, why, and how. Something to help writers and fans tell those stories.
3 months ago I started building it
... and today, it's live!
Luke Hughes and the Nico line kinda didn't show up tonight and Jake Allen hasn't showed up all year. Meanwhile, Mercer was a man on a mission.
CJ Turtoro retweeted
Dump and recover: How the Canes cause and control chaos with loose pucks.
nytimes.com/athletic/7768472…
CJ Turtoro retweeted
Big Data Cup 2027 LAUNCH
stathletes.com/big-data-cup
Jack Hughes was the player of the week according to my Game Score model, and the Devils went 4-0-0 collecting 3 points over what was expected in that time (3rd highest in the NHL) and improving their playoff chances by 5 up to 92%.
The NJ Devils are off and running.
Team of the week: Anaheim Ducks, 4-0-0. 8 points from games worth 4.3 expected, +3.7 over. Playoff chance 34% to 41%.
posthockey.com/teams/ANA
ALT Post Hockey week card, Nov. 2 to Nov. 8: every team ranked by points over expected, with its playoff chance, and the top forward, defenceman and goalie of the week. Anaheim Ducks lead.
Jack Hughes's Estimated Net Rating has gone up by 5.2 which is the 2nd highest increase in the NHL over the past fortnight and he's now expected to finish the season as one of the 10 most valuable skaters in the NHL.
CJ Turtoro retweeted
Team of the week: Anaheim Ducks, 4-0-0. 8 points from games worth 4.3 expected, +3.7 over. Playoff chance 34% to 41%.
posthockey.com/teams/ANA
ALT Post Hockey week card, Nov. 2 to Nov. 8: every team ranked by points over expected, with its playoff chance, and the top forward, defenceman and goalie of the week. Anaheim Ducks lead.
CJ Turtoro retweeted
📈 Cutter Gauthier (ANA): 3 goals, 1 assist in a 5-2 win over PIT. Estimated Net Rating up 6.6 over the last 14 days, to +9.7. Over the stretch: 16 points in 7 games, the best rate among forwards. #POTD
posthockey.com/players/84834…
ALT Post Hockey card for Cutter Gauthier. Estimated Net Rating moved from +3.1 to +9.7 over the last 14 days.
CJ Turtoro retweeted
This is the correct take. NHL wants smarter GMs and now we have it even if the entertainment product suffers. I said last night that Sunny is the spiritual successor to Lou in that he does what's best for the #NJDevils and that's all I care. Nik agrees.
Slept on it, the takes no one asked for on the Connor Hellebuyck non-game 🤷♂️:
1. From an entertainment and sports culture aspect alone this sucks for all invested.
2. You’re fooling yourself if you truly believe Connor Hellebuyck is running from an NHL start in Winnipeg. Are we all forgetting the environment in MTL, February 15, 2025?
3. The Winnipeg Jets are a “back up” goalie night team, harsh but fair.
4. NJD next 3 games far more valuable than this one; even if our emotions want to value this one more than any other
5. “Helle picks his own starts” was a Winnipeg thing and can’t assume another org would let him run it like WPG did. Hell, Brossoit’s name would be on a Jennings trophy if the Jets front office had the stones of this unpopular Mehta decision
6. Surely someone as calculated as Mehta is going to play Hellebuyck under the 62-65 starts he got in WPG and hope it benefits his team in the dance, speaking of things WPG should’ve done with Bross in tow.
7. This looks soft and paying fans in Winnipeg have every right to and likely will to an even greater degree voice their individual thoughts on it all
8. What matters to NJD’s aspirations does not equate to the perception of handling WPG’s circus for them. Sunny Mehta doesn’t owe us anything, even if I wish he did.
9. I believe he should play, but I have 0 stake in the NJD
10. There lessons in this, bigger picture, that the organization whose success we care about can probably take from this.
11. Welcome to MLB style management, NHL.
What I love about this is how unabashedly nerdy it is.
"Yeah idc how it sounds, the math is clear. Cry harder"
Much cheaper and more defensively responsibly than his predecessor with some zip to his game.
Nemec will be better one day, but Chiz has been a great fit here.
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Great game from Hellebuyck and another banger from the top 6. Ham&Swiss drew the tough matchup tonight and did not win it, but also didn't completely break down. We needed speed out of the blueline tonight and that's what Luke gave us.
NJD 4, TOR 0
xG(sh) share: NJD 49%, TOR 51%
Best game: Jack Hughes, +0.71 GS+
posthockey.com/live/20260202…
ALT Post Hockey game card for the New Jersey Devils, each player's GS+ in New Jersey Devils 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 0.
ALT Post Hockey game card for the Toronto Maple Leafs, each player's GS+ in New Jersey Devils 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 0.
Hellebuyck just put up the first Devils shutout since 4/5/26 which was the only other shutout in the calendar year 2026.
