Retired professor of mathematics and computer science, author of 4 books: 3 on casino games & 1 poetry book. Now I volunteer, walk a lot & feed local critters.
Chumash Indian homeland
Joined March 2020
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Your 'doom quote' for today:
"leading voices in climate change communication not only disdain addressing the complicated, unpleasant emotions that arise from seriously considering the significant risks climate change poses but enthusiastically attack anyone they deem too pessimistic."
thriftbooks.com/w/impasse-cl…
Your 'moment of doom' for Nov. 11, 2026 ~ will be
"Adherents may argue that environmental degradation and climate change can only be resolved through a drastic reduction in the human population or the collapse of modern civilization"
kenklippenstein.com/p/new-te…
Through the first 10 days of the month of November, the planet has averaged 1.94°C above the 1850-1900 pre-industrial baseline.
Will I have to raise the y-axis above 2.0°C before the year is out? The Climate 8-Ball is shivering with antici ...
Here's another view of the record-setting atmospheric water vapor for October, this time excluding the North/South poles. The latest data for 2026 was 7.97 standard deviations above the 1940-1969 baseline.
In practice, this means record flooding will continue to accelerate.
Point of reference -- the UN Emissions Gap Report 2026 stated that fossil fuel emissions need to drop 5.8% per year starting in 2027, 18% in total by 2030, to have any hope of staying below 1.7-1.8C.
The Climate Casino is taking the OVER.
Breaking News!
Code UFB!!!
Global total column precipitable water just set a new record high for the month of October, with data going back to 1940, reaching 8.31 standard deviations above the 1940-1969 October average.
These are not "normal times."
Your 'doom quote' for today:
"Yet, if nothing else changes, the world will keep producing greenhouse gasses, climate change will keep getting worse, and the impact on humans will in all likelihood be catastrophic."
thriftbooks.com/w/how-to-avo…
Then, and now number 1 on Newsweek's list of climate heretics ...
newsweek.com/revenge-of-clim…
Your 'moment of doom' for Nov. 10, 2026 ~ Until tomorrow.
"The highest ever concentrations of greenhouse gases in our atmosphere, record breaking heat on land and ocean, alarming sea-ice melt and sea level rise, and a catastrophic El Nino underway the like of which we have never seen before."
unfccc.int/news/un-climate-c…
Santa Barbara is a whiter shade of pale. I think I'll go wander through some playing cards.
California is experiencing one of the most extraordinary marine heatwaves in it's history. Water temperatures off Santa Barbara reached nearly 75°F today, 12°F above normal. Off San Diego County, temperatures reached above 77°F in the past week.
From the Bay Area to San Diego, coastal waters are running 6–12°F above normal. Category 5, or “beyond extreme,” marine heatwave conditions are occurring along virtually the entire Southern California coast.
Farther north, temperatures off Monterey have reached 68°F and 67°F off Half Moon Bay.
This exceptional warmth could have major consequences for marine life and could help enhance storms this winter.
Your 'bonus moment of doom' for today:
"The widely publicised idea that we are still on track for 2.6-2.8C by the end of the century now seems wildly optimistic, if not downright impossible."
theguardian.com/environment/…
Your 'moment of doom' for Nov. 6, 2026 ~ Beefy!
"A beef industry-funded effort to teach teenagers about cattle’s climate impact was quietly scrapped following backlash from some ranchers, who disputed the premise that cows contribute to global heating."
theguardian.com/environment/…
Your 'doom quote' for today:
"There’s always an apocalyptic quality to fascism ... we’re up against people who are actively betting against the future — not just actively betting against it, but fueling the fires that are burning this world."
democracynow.org/2025/5/5/na…
Brand new!
The daily color stripes for the Nino 1+2 sea-surface temperature anomaly, through November 6, 2026.
As of November 6th, the preliminary Niño 1+2 region sea-surface temperature is 5.4°C above the 1991-2020 mean.
The Climate 8-Ball is asking that everyone please head to the nearest emergency exit.
Did the Nino 3.4 sea-surface temperature anomaly already peak, reaching 3.49°C above the 1991-2020 baseline on October 26th?
The Climate 8-Ball knows but isn't saying.
Compare the global surface temperature anomaly for each day with the anomaly for that same day exactly 10 years earlier. Subtract to get the decadal gain for that day. Plot and draw a linear trendline (warming is accelerating).
Current rate of warming ≈ 0.34°C/decade.
Your 'bonus moment of doom' for today:
"I think that problem is really severe, of underestimation of death ... in Europe, for example, the WHO came out and said in the last five years, 200-250 thousand people died in Europe because of excess heat."
youtube.com/watch?v=sw7Cy45R…
Your 'doom quote' for today:
"We're surrounded by darkness and danger, and in our desperate search for a way out we keep bumping into each other." (November 8, 1943)
thriftbooks.com/w/the-diary-…
Your 'moment of doom' for Nov. 8, 2026 ~ blackjack!
"A shocking recent caveat was a joint statement by the German Physics Society and the German Meteorological Society that global warming of +3 degrees by 2050 was now on the cards."
cribb.substack.com/p/earth-s…
My latest on Substack:
Turning the "Fuck No!" Dial to 11.
climatecasino.substack.com/p…
