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This is the story of how a fund chaired by former Labor PM Julia Gillard acquired a wind farm project just six days before Labor Energy Minister Chris Bowen underwrote its future revenues with taxpayer money.
Today we've learned Julia's fund is trying to flip it. For a profit.
HMC Capital's 'Energy Transition Fund' rushed to acquire the Neoen Victoria portfolio. They hadn't even raised any money in their fund. They closed with almost a billion dollars worth of borrowed money and IOU's.
Less than a week later, Chris Bowen announced Kentbruck Wind Farm to be successful in the first round of the Capacity Investment Scheme. My rough calculations suggest they will receive something like a billion dollars from taxpayers (and maybe much more) over 15 years.
Sweet deal. A billion dollars of fancy financial monopoly money one week. A billion dollars of promised taxpayer dollars the next.
I want to emphasise that I have no evidence of anything illegal or improper taking place. Rather, I want to point out how odious and repugnant the official, proper, legal business of renewable energy has become.
Yesterday Chris Bowen announced he wanted to supersize the CIS subsidy scheme, yet again.
Today Ross Garnaut seemed to cheer this on, whilst pointing out "There are now virtually no new investment commitments for solar and wind generation that do not have CIS or other Government underwriting,"
What happened to a sense of propriety? Since when do we celebrate people rushing to put their snouts in the trough? Or rushing to fill the trough even higher?
Unlike the UK who publish a 'going rate' for technology subsidies, our renewables are subsidised through a secret tender process. Every project gets to ask for whatever revenue they want to proceed. @AEMO_Energy facilitates a secret beauty pageant, where they award points for things like indigenous participation or community engagement, alongside financial value.
And Chris Bowen makes the final call.
The bids remain secret. There's no cap to the pay-outs. Since AEMO is a private company, there is no scope for an FOI request, and AEMO aren't not subject to parliamentary oversight through Senate Estimates.
So no-one can ever prove an allegation that Bowen has bestowed special favour on a friend's project if that was what he did. But equally, he can never prove that he selected strictly according to merit. We are just expected to trust the black-box of Bowen's subsidies.
So I'm going to say out loud, with full voice, that I hope everyone can agree on:
If this is what the future of 'clean energy' looks like in Australia, it looks absolutely FILTHY.
Any firm that talks about ESG seriously should start taking the "G" a bit more seriously and steer clear of projects that thrust their snouts into Bowen's hopelessly opaque, bottomless trough of government funds.
Or at the very least, purge their boards and senior leadership of all the former Labor staffers, donors, and industry lobbyists who have had a hand in designing the trough, and filling it up.
The reality is that there are no natural profits to be made in generating renewable electricity in Australia.
Every dollar of profit in this industry is really a cheque signed by a politician, with Chris Bowen signing all the biggest cheques, worth untold billions, in the next three years.
It's all legal. It's all official. And it's absolutely obscene.
Mega-thread below.
(It'll come in stages)
1/
Live collab with Steven in the car… we’ve solved an economic mystery. And a diplomatic and political mystery.
How the heck did a wind farm reach financial close in 2026?
What’s with the big Danish partnership announced by Bowen at COP?
Copenhagen Infrastructure Partners.
Gotta produce a thread on this to line up the receipts soon.
But thought we should share first response, rough and ready.
If you’re in Cairns or Townsville tomorrow, come see us doing Energy On Tour, tickets here!
trybooking.com/au/event/even…
Aidan Morrison retweeted
Energy Facts & Fiction hits North Queensland TOMORROW sponsored by the @AusLobby
📍 Townsville – Thu 12 Nov, 8am, Brothers Leagues Club
📍 Cairns – Thu 12 Nov, 5:30pm, Cairns Colonial Club Resort
Aidan Morrison & Steven Nowakowski separate energy fact from fiction in a full throttle takedown of Australian energy stupidity.
Last stops. Tickets $49 👇
trybooking.com/au/event/even…
Had a chat with Zoe in the car on today’s headlines about predictions that wholesale prices will double.
In the car with Steven Nowakowski for Energy on Tour! Quick explainer on how it’s the most important natural environment, the un-touched areas of the great dividing range, that are being targeted by wind development.
Book tickets for Townsville and Cairns tomorrow!
Aidan Morrison retweeted
One unusual bidding pattern could help explain what happened during Australia's recent electricity price spikes.
In this discussion, an energy analyst breaks down a graph showing Snowy Hydro's bidding behaviour at the Tumut 3 pumped-hydro facility. The large green block stands out as an abnormal pattern compared with the usual approach of keeping some hydro power in reserve for periods of high demand.
But what does this change mean for the electricity market, and could it have contributed to extreme wholesale prices?
A technical look at Australia's energy market and the bidding decisions that can affect power prices.
Watch the full video here: youtu.be/f1Q2QtAGwzU?si=U42m…
Follow @topherfield on all the socials!
Find books, DVDs, tee shirts, hoodies, caps, stickers, AND the 2026 MASTERCLASS at: store.topherfield.com/collec…
And as always,
Think Free
Just sighted Twiggy Forrest’s green hydrogen debacle on the ground.
Massive monument to technical and economic naivety, enabled by gullible politicians. Gullible is the generous interpretation.
Hey Queenslanders! Energy on Tour is coming to a town near you this week!
Amazing double-header on energy, with Steven Nowakowski covering the environmental impact, and me on the economics!
Book your tickets today!
trybooking.com/au/event/even…
This story is kinda staggering in so many ways…
Yet another government hand-out to media?! What could go wrong?
And RenewEconomy wailing that their application was rejected. Too niche…
Oh but the misinformation on energy? Annika, we thought we were on your side!!
Renew Economy denied government funding on basis that reporting on climate and energy issues and misinformation campaigns is not of public interest
reneweconomy.com.au/governme…
This is such an easy dunk…
Minns, how’s the $6 billion Central West Orana REZ going? Is that the final figure, or has it blown out further?
What’s the price of the New England REZ, which is three times the size? $10 billion? $20 billion?
Hunter Transmission Project?
When will NSW reign in its spending on these boondoggles, that don’t even have any generators willing to connect to them?
NSW Premier Chris Minns has taken a swipe at large federal government spending as high inflation forced the RBA to hike rates for the fifth time this year.
news24.com.au/politics/austr…
In NSW our government has excluded batteries from participating in the next 1.5GW of firming.
In Germany batteries don’t win in the tender…
Batteries can’t replace dispatchable fuels. They’re an ‘and also’.
xitter.twitterapi.xyz/footnotesguy/status/21…
Aidan Morrison retweeted
This is the SMOKING GUN showing Snowy Hydro ripping off electricity users.
Another federal government agency.
Topher Field and energy expert Aidan Morrison from the CIS have the data & reveal how Snowy Hydro is taking advantage of constraints into Sydney's electricity network and manipulating Snowy Hydro's 'ramp down rate' to cash in to the tune of $15 million in a few minutes.
At the people's expense.
Aidan & Topher walk us through what appears to be a DAMNING scandal.
Aidan is highly respected. He monitors, understands and shines a light on the broken & complex electricity sector. And exposes its dishonesty and lack of accountability that costs electricity users and taxpayers billions of dollars in waste.
A practical, down-to-earth expert who explains why our electricity bills are unaffordable.
Aidan & Topher exposing what appears to be a dishonest electricity rort is based on Aidan's post here:
senroberts.com/4ySC6K9
@footnotesguy
Aidan freely acknowledges another expert on the electricity grid, Ben Beatty who works to hold those in charge accountable and who educates electricity users, industry players and the few of us as politicians who are awake to, & alarmed at, the destruction & corruption of Australia's energy grid.
Topher Field is one of Australia's best reporters. And investigative journalists.
He's competent, data-driven and honest.
Capable of researching & unravelling complex and technical topics to get to the truth.
AND, Topher is a political dissident. Activist. Outstanding public speaker on many everyday political & social issues.
senroberts.com/4z3WFnd OR senroberts.com/4ejIGlI
More from Topher here:
@topherfield
topherfield.com
Introduction to the Topher Project: senroberts.com/4z3WGrh
Based on their work and our senate office's team we will be submitting Questions on Notice today as part of Supplementary Senate Estimates hearings held last week.
We will continue to take Snowy Hydro and Uniparty governments to task over electricity scandals to stop them from pulling the same stunts in the future!
My ramble on the relationship between culture and outcomes for the nation.
Why going woke means going broke.
And why hard times make hard men make good times make soft men make hard times.
This thread on the coal-pit-vs-wind-turbine visual comparison created a bit of buzz.
Inspired by @TheAdamWaite who put the idea to the test with google street view, I prompted Grok to extend a bit further and build a page with some more examples.
cypress-feta-dqvvp.ship.plac…
I feel like the coal-mine vs wind turbine comparison is a way for urban elites to unwittingly admit they’ve never stepped far enough outside a city to get close to either.
The thing about coal pits is that they’re remarkably hard to actually get a view of from the ground. Because they are, by definition, below ground level.
Sometimes there’s a lookout you can go to, but until you find that adjacent high-point, you could be in bush or farmland or bush a few hundred meters away and see no sign the pit exists.
Not so for wind turbines. They reach 270m into the air, and are consistently located on the high points of local ridge-lines. So it’s almost impossible to fail to notice being surrounded by wind turbines. Sometimes even if they’re 20km away.
So this attempt at irony actually backfires with anyone who’s actually spent time around turbines and coal mines. You have to be an aeroplane to get coal mine perspective on the right. But the wind turbines on the left are inescapable for anyone driving through or living in regions with wind farms.
This is incredible…
Bumper month for solar prices in October.
What happened on October 1st??!!
WHAT HAPPENED ON OCTOBER 1ST??!!!
(Need the goose meme)…
Replying to @FootnotesGuy
@FootnotesGuy will be thrilled with the latest financial performance of utility solar.
On October 1, Project EnergyConnect Opened.
And it resulted in consistent counterprice flows during daylight hours.
Pushing NSW solar power over the border to SA, even then they didn’t want to. Increasing daytime wholesale prices in NSW. 2/
linkedin.com/posts/kanavverm…
Can't wait to see QLD on the road next week! This will be a brilliant double-header energy special. Steven Nowakowski is just brilliant in his work tracking the on-ground environmental impacts. I'll cover the economics. Thanks @AusLobby for supporting this crucial discussion.
As part of The Australian Lobby Groups advocacy of its energy policy platform, we are proud to support Energy On Tour
This tour brings two of Australia’s most rigorous independent energy analysts, Steven Nowakowski and Aidan Morrison, to eight regional Queensland towns from 9–12 November 2026.
A frank, evidence-based look at the real cost of the renewables rollout: the scale of it on the ground, and the economics behind your power bill.
Book direct: trybooking.com/au/event/even…
The tour is open to the public and experts alike and is bound to invite some thought-provoking conversation!
Here we have Matt Kean, @honmattkean, the architect NSW 'Roadmap' that requires massive transmission projects like Central West Orana, New England REZ etc has raised $250m investment for his private-sector fund to 'dodge grid logjam' that his failed policy has delivered.
1/
Remember it is only the assumption that there remains Bipartisan support for the Roadmap that allows the NSW Government to continue gaslighting the public by pretending that Eraring can still close in 2029. 9/
xitter.twitterapi.xyz/FootnotesGuy/status/20…
Absolute bombshell here on Eraring...
The NSW Government was asked specifically why they put the 2029 deadline in the contract with Origin for closure.
And they admit it! Plain as day!
"Undermining the plan undermines the ability to deliver it"
They're sheltering Matt Kean's 'Roadmap', because they want bipartisan energy policy.
Firstly, they should explain why that logic didn't apply to the time they first extended Eraring when they won office. Matt Kean had committed so hard to the 2025 closure he wasted over a billion dollars on the Waratah Super Battery, in the vain hope that would close the gap from 2025-2030.
But what's worse is that it means this government is completely blinkered to reality... deeply committed to the sunk-cost fallacy... managing public perceptions of reality in the vain hope that reality will somehow close with the most naive, head-in-sand, ideologically driven positions on energy.
What we need now is for @honmattkean to come out with a heroic, redeeming "when the facts change, I change my mind... what do you do sir?" kind of moment.
Expose how ridiculous it is for the Labor government to be embarrassing themselves to defend his mistaken legacy.
Matt Kean's assessment that Eraring could be closed in 2025, when it will actually need to go well past 2029, removes any doubt about his judgement.
Can we all please ditch the Roadmap!
It has failed.
And Wollemi, Matt Kean's fund, knows it. 10/10
xitter.twitterapi.xyz/FootnotesGuy/status/19…
Replying to @FootnotesGuy
Where to begin? The official declaration by Matt Kean, using his powers under his signature legislation to 'direct' a priority project to be carried out by Transgrid.
In order to close Eraring by 2025.
That much is black and white. 2/






















