Past The Eye Test (@PastTheEyeTest) header
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Data visualization and analysis for baseball 📊. I do hockey stuff sometimes, too. Baysox Rotation superfan.

Virginia, USA
Joined May 2025
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The biggest update since launch has been passed to the public build of pasttheeyetest.com. Here's what changed (🧵):
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The 2 names I could see the public being wrong currently are Freddy Peralta and Ryan Jeffers. Nobody in this class are quite on Alonso or Cease's level and I don't think this level of output is feasible for any 2027 non-Skubal FA, but I think Peralta could put up 3-4 WAR and Jeffers could be a 130 wRC+ bat again.
I remember when many people yelled from the rooftops that Pete Alonso and Dylan Cease were the 2 most overpaid players of the 2026 offseason. A year later, they both posted 5+ fWAR and were the only 2026 Free Agents to make the All-MLB 1st team. Of the 2026 Free Agent class, they were both the best in my batting and pitching predictive models for 2025, and were both the best in actual batting and pitching production for 2026. A reminder that teams do not pay players for what they have done, but for what they will do.
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I remember when many people yelled from the rooftops that Pete Alonso and Dylan Cease were the 2 most overpaid players of the 2026 offseason. A year later, they both posted 5+ fWAR and were the only 2026 Free Agents to make the All-MLB 1st team. Of the 2026 Free Agent class, they were both the best in my batting and pitching predictive models for 2025, and were both the best in actual batting and pitching production for 2026. A reminder that teams do not pay players for what they have done, but for what they will do.
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(plot for Cease only shows SP)
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Why what happened
BREAKING: NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang resigns
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Andrés Machado (NPB) is now a free agent and eligible to sign with any MLB team. He had a 20% K-BB% in Japan this year and posted a ridiculous 1.20 ERA. He had a 34.7% K-BB% in the 2026 WBC, with some absolutely ludicrous stuff numbers. A savvy team would pick him up on a multi-year deal.
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:D
BREAKING: First baseman Pete Alonso and the Baltimore Orioles are finalizing a five-year, $155 million contract, sources tell ESPN. Alonso leaves the Mets to make a loaded AL East even better.
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Gabriel Moreno is named to the all-MLB 1st team! A batting title and named the best catcher in baseball!
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Did it get chilly in here? The Polar Bear, Pete Alonso, is MLB's best 1B for 2026, named to the All-MLB 1st team. He had a banner season in his 1st year in Birdland!
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And All-MLB 1st team!
Louis Varland is your 2026 AL Reliever of the year! His high octane stuff paired with his newly found control led to him pacing all AL relievers in fWAR.
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All-MLB 1st team!
Mason Miller is your 2026 NL Reliever of the year. A sub-2 in all ERA predictors and ERA with a 37.9% K-BB% will do that.
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And All-MLB 1st team!
The best hitter in baseball is awarded the Edgar Martinez Award. The soon-to-be MVP Yordan Alvarez is named the best DH in baseball!
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Ok not doing all the pitchers
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The best hitter in baseball is awarded the Edgar Martinez Award. The soon-to-be MVP Yordan Alvarez is named the best DH in baseball!
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This is the worst thing ever can they just hand the awards out
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WHY IS STEVE AOKI ON A DJ SET DURING THE ALL-MLB AWARDS
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Past The Eye Test retweeted
The best home run robbery you’ll ever see 🐮 Congratulations to Colton Cowser on winning the 2026 Capital One Premier Play of the Year Award!
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Fernando Tatis Jr. did not hit a single home run until mid-May. Fernando Tatis Jr. was named to the All-MLB 1st team.
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El niño de Maracaibo. 22 year old Jackson Chourio wins 1st team All-MLB!
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The best player in baseball. Pete Crow-Armstrong is named to the All-MLB 1st team. He'll be bringing in more hardware tomorrow.
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