Patrick Basham (@PatrickBashamDI) header
Patrick Basham (@PatrickBashamDI) profile picture

Pollster • Pundit • Author • Strategist • Democracy Institute director “The most credible poll in the country: the Democracy Institute poll.”~ Wayne Allyn Root

USA & UK
Joined March 2023
Photo by Patrick Basham (@PatrickBashamDI)Photo by Patrick Basham (@PatrickBashamDI)Photo by Patrick Basham (@PatrickBashamDI)Photo by Patrick Basham (@PatrickBashamDI)Photo by Patrick Basham (@PatrickBashamDI)Photo by Patrick Basham (@PatrickBashamDI)Photo by Patrick Basham (@PatrickBashamDI)Photo by Patrick Basham (@PatrickBashamDI)Photo by Patrick Basham (@PatrickBashamDI)Photo by Patrick Basham (@PatrickBashamDI)
No, it's worse. Those Iranian propaganda accounts were actually Netanyahu's propaganda accounts, not Israel's, just pretending to be Iranian propaganda accounts. Wow... Just... wow.
Wait, wait, wait... So, all those Iranian propaganda accounts were actually Israel propaganda accounts pretending to be Iranian propaganda accounts? Deception must be one of those western values we keep hearing about from Netanyahu.
6
148
7
673
18,511
Wait, wait, wait... So, all those Iranian propaganda accounts were actually Israel propaganda accounts pretending to be Iranian propaganda accounts? Deception must be one of those western values we keep hearing about from Netanyahu.
8
197
12
746
26,983
Mark Levin spent 5 minutes on the radio attacking me and @Peoples_Pundit and blaming us for R's sucking?! I never knew me and my meager Twitter account had such power. I guess the consultants will be glad to hear they don't have to spend $1Bn. They can just hire us!
45
131
3
981
23,983
This is the best meme for independent pollsters re: the 2026 election. Cc @honestpollster
1
12
57
9,053
As I told @mattgaetz, the first step for the American Right is to address the damage to their brand by removing neoconservatives from any and all prominent positions of influence. Voters did NOT vote for neoconservatism. Everyone HATES it and will not vote for them, again.
“Millennials and Gen Z voters… will NEVER join the coalition if neoconservatism has a leading voice… THEY DON’T SUPPORT IT. END OF STORY.” Big Data Poll director @Peoples_Pundit says the neocons are finished. Americans have thrown them out of the GOP, and they’ll never lead a winning Republican coalition again. Watch The Matt Gaetz Show on OAN Live Today!
12
134
8
724
16,788
Patrick Basham retweeted
Western media will hide this story as long as they can.
A torture chamber of Zelensky was uncovered near Kiev, where over 40 mobilised men were held captive by Ukraine's National Guard. The youngest victim was reportedly just 14 years old. There is now great outrage and riots in Ukraine against the henchmen of Zelensky and NATO.
118
915
16
3,036
29,237
Absolutely brutal but correct analysis from @PatrickBashamDI in @timesofindia. For years, I've always found it remarkable how Patrick more deeply understood the Trump Coalition than so-called rightwing consultants who pose as red-blooded Americans. Btw, MAGA Inc get fired yet?
My @timesofindia column assesses where Trump & Republicans went wrong - and what their comeback entails.
13
48
7,911
Patrick Basham retweeted
Great new column by @PatrickBashamDI up at Human Events BASHAM: The American people v. the GOP humanevents.com/opinion/bash…
11
21
1
67
39,272
Patrick Basham retweeted
As a Bloomberg reporter said ten years ago: "Next time, bet with Barnes."
24
58
3
561
21,835
Patrick Basham retweeted
Framing Michigan Senate People have a baseline already for this race that is being ignored. In 2018, the state had just flipped two years before to Trump, narrowly and with less than 48% of the vote. This was eight years ago, with a lot of the red only written in pencil and not yet etched in stone. Dem Debbie Stabenow ran for a fourth term and faced John James. She only won by 6.5% as the incumbent - and even won Macomb County - key to the Trump realignment. Now the seat is open. Whitmer would have won it easily. The two bland female candidates this year would have held it as well, but given the Stabenow baseline with a high Dem generic ballot in the House, I’d say 3-4 points. Now there is the El-Sayed issue. The reds are much redder, he’s not winning Macomb, and he has a voting bloc problem with multiple factions of the Dem party he needs to consolidate. From a glance at things I can’t see him with a ceiling or more than 2. And if Detroit turnout looks like Cleveland and Toledo turnout from right down the road he may not even be in the game.
29
142
3
1,165
41,976
Patrick Basham retweeted
The very public execution of my professorship and reputation continues in Norway. Today’s media article about me makes three claims that are misleading and/or false. 1) The article dismisses my claim that my research is being criminalized as the journalists merely cite the dismissive comments from the university - no arguments are apparently required. It is not possible for an academic anymore to analyse the policies of rival powers by assessing their security concerns, as it will be smeared by the government, the government’s NGOs and the media as “legitimizing” the enemy and supporting their narratives. The current Defence Minister singled me out with the accusation of spreading propaganda and criticised two podcasters for even speaking with me (as I have already been cancelled by the media in Norway). How was this accusation by the Defence Minister substantiated? I had argued that NATO expansion triggered the war in Ukraine, which the Defence Minister denounce as dangerous “Russian propaganda”, with no need to substantiate his vile accusation. I can cite a sea of evidence and also refer to statements by American and European political leaders, ambassadors, intelligence chiefs, and others to make my case. However, the purpose is not to engage in debate, but to smear, censor, and cancel. By going after an individual academic for challenging official truths, the government has already claimed a monopoly on the truth. Academics should have their arguments scrutinised and criticised, but these are severe personal attacks from the government without the possibility of even defending myself. How is this not criminalising the research of an academic? I cannot even speak at any events in Norway without the event being cancelled. The last event I agreed to speak at was because I shared the stage with the former CIA officer John Kiriakou. A newspaper had the event at a church cancelled, and when the backup location did not also cancel, the journalist simply printed in the paper that it had been cancelled so people would not show up. Is this normal? I must use my allotted holiday days to attend conferences because any event I attend can be presented as “controversial,” and then the NGOs and journalists will go after the reputation of the university. Is this normal? Every newspaper article about me merely refers to me as “controversial” or “pro-Russian” without ever assigning meaning to these labels or presenting my argument. I have argued, much like former CIA director Burns, that if the West attempts to pull Ukraine into the NATO orbit, then there would be war and Ukraine would be destroyed. This is considered a “pro-Russian” argument. Arguing that we should respect the will of most Ukrainians who want negotiations to end the war is also considered a “pro-Russian” argument, while in contrast, boycotting diplomacy, deporting Ukrainian refugees, and calling for the conscription of Ukrainian women is “pro-Ukrainian”. 2) To avoid addressing any of my arguments, the journalists go on to uncritically cite personal attacks against me, pointing out that I have been called a propagandist by the Norwegian Helsinki Committee. This is a “non-governmental organisation” financed by the government and the National Endowment for Democracy (NED), which was set up by Reagan and the CIA director in 1983 to manipulate the civil society of other states. The Norwegian Helsinki Committee has been relentless in its smears on social media to have me fired, writing hit pieces in the media, pushing to cancel my speaking events, writing a letter to my university, and even posting a picture of my house on social media. This is a governmental "human rights organisation" that cites human rights concerns to build the case for war. 3) Lastly, to further avoid addressing my actual arguments, they simply cite the fact that arguments I made at a debate last year have been “wholly or partially debunked” by a fact-check. The state-run media (NRK) invited the state-run military defence institute (FFI) to fact-check three of my claims. What claims did they "debunk"? My first claim was that only 20% of Ukrainians wanted NATO membership between 1991 and the regime change in February 2014. The fact-checker argued that the number went up by the middle of 2014 (after Russia responded by seizing Crimea), which is a completely meaningless comment intended to muddy the waters, as my argument was about the previous era. My second claim was that Zelensky had argued in an interview with The Economist in March 2022 that there were some Western countries that would like a long war with Russia to weaken a strategic rival, even if it would result in the destruction of Ukraine. The fact-checker argued that not all Western countries wanted a long war and that it was not an official policy. I never claimed it was an official policy, as it was primarily the US and UK pushing for a long war. My third claim was that the US and UK sabotaged the Istanbul peace agreement in April 2022. The fact-checker claimed this was incorrect and suggested that it could only be based on one statement by David Arakhamia. The fact-checker did not want to mention that both mediators also confirmed it: Turkey’s foreign minister and the former Israeli prime minister both said that Russia and Ukraine were close to a deal, but the US and UK saw an opportunity to weaken Russia by fighting with Ukrainians. Zelensky’s former adviser Arestovych confirmed it, and the Ukrainian ambassador Chaly, who participated in the negotiations, confirmed that Putin was willing to do almost anything to end the war. The former head of the German armed forces confirmed that Boris Johnson sabotaged it, and Boris Johnson himself wrote articles warning about a “bad peace” and arguing for “strategic patience.” I am being fact-checked by war propagandists. Unfortunately, none of my arguments matter because in Norway there is no debate and no interest in any arguments. Reality means nothing anymore as war narratives must be defended against inconvenient truths. I used to be naïve and think that the endless smears were caused by misunderstanding, as I had simply not been able to convey my arguments properly. However, the endless articles with smears and labels are deliberate lies and deceptions.
1,063
3,446
395
10,646
283,257
Patrick Basham retweeted
"The war will cost 155 billion euros next year. And we need at least 70 billion euros more from you..." –Zelensky today at the European Commission
This is the wife of Ukraine's public audit service chief Would you like to guess where this money is from?
280
6,691
176
23,444
475,428
Patrick Basham retweeted
He's right. Washington started the war in February 2014 when the CIA/State/USIA/Radio Free Europe/NED/Senator McCain orchestrated coup overthrew the duly elected President of Ukraine because he didn't have any beef with Russia and wasn't interested in bringing NATO into his own country.
Trump does not think that Putin started the war! Reporter: “Have you forgotten that Putin started the war?” Trump virtually shrugging shoulders: "well …, you know …, I know the details, okay? And at some point, I'll release the details."
355
880
63
2,591
55,146
Patrick Basham retweeted
“The war is not meant to be won, it is meant to be continuous.” — George Orwell, 1984 Defense contractors & their powerful lobby will never be satisfied with simply aiding the U.S. in building a strong military that is prepared for war. The nature of the industry’s existence is not patriotism, but endless conflict. War is their business model—a perpetual state of war ensures a perpetual demand for their products. Until we address this issue, we will continue to be subjected to forever wars that only serve the defense contractors—and the warmongering interests wealthy enough to rent the defense contractors. Stop spilling American blood for profit.
Asked about the Iran War's effect on defense stocks, Lockheed Martin CEO says: "Investors need to know and understand that this demand is not fleeting — it's permanent."
420
3,863
147
13,057
259,185
Patrick Basham retweeted
🇪🇺🇷🇺 Europe spent 4 years betting on a Ukrainian shield in front and America behind it... and now a former top German general's warning is coming true Russia wins, Washington pulls back, and Europe stands alone across the line from a very angry neighbor, which is close to how Germany's former armed forces chief described the endgame three years ago. Glenn Diesen, a professor in Norway, says the whole European model ran on cheap Russian energy, Russian markets and American backing, and all three are gone at once: "The Europeans don't really have a role in this new world." Weapons factories won't replace an economy, so the leaders polling near 10% will keep selling confrontation, and the ones who replace them will go to Moscow for a deal, because a Europe that cuts out its largest country was never going to hold. @Glenn_Diesen @WeTheBrandon
98
505
38
1,910
295,012
Patrick Basham retweeted
My article in Die Weltwoche: The Downfall of a Manufactured Icon glenndiesen.substack.com/p/t…
83
806
49
2,777
41,834
Patrick Basham retweeted
One hope for Republicans was that they might be able to argue in the final few weeks of the campaign that inflation was moving in the right direction. Now, that is not possible. Link: It's nothing like it was under Biden, but inflation still vexes Trump. washingtonexaminer.com/daily…
92
15
6
122
12,520
Patrick Basham retweeted
This is exactly the way journalists should interview government officials when they spout blatant bullshit and refuse to answer the most basic questions. The British PM claimed that Russia interfered in the Brexit vote, but his foreign minister can't and won't say how. Listen:
This was one of the most PAINFUL CAR CRASH interviews you’ll ever see with Labour foreign minister Stephen Doughty on @GMB about Andy Burnham saying Russia interfered in the Brexit referendum. Susanna Reid grows increasingly frustrated as he refuses to answer her questions, and even Ed Balls eventually tears into him for the “embarrassing waffle”. Doughty is asked again and again about the Prime Minister’s claims but he just keeps ignoring the questions and repeating the same empty line: that Russia has been attempting to interfere with our democratic processes for many years. Susanna tries to force him onto the 2016 vote itself. She asks what Russia actually did, whether it influenced voters, and whether it affected the result. He refuses to give any specifics and just repeats the line. When she asks “Why are you not getting into specifics when the Prime Minister has just got into the specifics?”, he claims Burnham was only speaking more broadly. She keeps pressing. He keeps repeating the line like a robot. She asks if the Prime Minister was wrong. Doughty: “The PM has been very clear about Russian attempts to interfere in our democratic processes.” By now Susanna is openly angry and accuses him of “muddying the waters not clarifying them”. He almost laughably says the same thing again. He isn’t listening. He might as well have come on just to read a statement. Susanna points out that if the result of such a huge decision was influenced, the public deserves answers about what the interference actually was. Doughty claims the PM only said “attempted to interfere”. Susanna cuts in immediately: “He doesn’t say ‘attempted to interfere!’” They play Burnham’s actual comments. Doughty goes straight back to the identical line. Susanna tries one final time. Same response. It is at this point that Ed Balls, clearly fed up, lays into him: “This is EMBARRASSING. It’s really bad for politics when you just blatantly don’t answer the question on something so important and go back to a nonsensical line, which is contradicted by what the Prime Minister just said!” He goes further: “Either answer Susanna’s question or just say I’m not going to. This waffle is embarrassing!” Doughty: “It’s not waffle at all Ed!” Then repeats the line yet again. It is waffle, and I never thought I’d say this but well done Ed Balls for bluntly calling him out. It was embarrassing. Andy Burnham should never have said it. We’ve been through all this. Russia did not in any way, shape or form influence the outcome of that referendum. Dragging this nonsense back up is reckless and a disgrace.
128
723
14
3,785
148,036
Patrick Basham retweeted
Ukraine: Trump Wants Out. Neocons Want More War.
5
46
1
199
2,957