Ken Girardin (@PolicyEngineer) header
Ken Girardin (@PolicyEngineer) profile picture

Fellow, @ManhattanInst Individual freedom, empiricism, infants, innovation and Instant Pot. Primary sources please. All opinions my own.

Connecticut, USA
Joined November 2018
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I reviewed NY's data-center "moratorium" so you don't have to. The bottom line: it's not just a one-year delay for the biggest facilities. It's an open-ended mess that would create permanent obstacles for building even relatively small data processors. city-journal.org/article/new…
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It sounds more like they're seeking attention.
$18 BEER: NY Lawmakers seek solutions to high concession prices… bit.ly/4C264yq
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Mayor Mamdani needs to pick between being "pro-worker" and "pro-union." Exhibit A: the union execs shouldn't be managing employee dental/vision/other benefits. They're wasting tens of millions per year by spreading that across dozens of bloated benefit funds.
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76% of private construction workers in NY are not part of the building trades. And that share will keep rising as long as things like Scaffold make the union cost-premium harder to justify.
At a Somos reception, the Building Trades Council’s Santos Rodriguez put a foot down on opposing scaffold law reform - which could set up a fight with Hochul in 2027. “The true pathway is through the labor movement,” he said to cheers.
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In 2008, NY's top state tax rate was 6.85%. It's now 10.9%. The problem with the arguments coming from the DSA et al is that there's no limiting principle. "Higher" will never be high enough.
On raising income taxes on the richest NYers, Andrea Stewart Cousins tells @NickReisman: “We’ve always looked at the ability of those with extraordinary wealth to be able to pay more, do more. That’s been something that our conference has talked about.” politico.com/newsletters/new…
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Unfortunately, people too young to remember 2000 think this is just an environmentalist bot.
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We're all thinking the same thing.
I have tremendous respect for the two Democratic Senators who have negotiated the permitting bill with two of their Republican colleagues — a bill that Congress is considering for passage during the lame duck session. I sincerely and respectfully urge the Democratic sponsors of the bill to reconsider their decision to move forward with this legislation. There’s no doubt that we need to reform the way that clean energy projects are reviewed and permitted. But as it currently stands, the bill would be an extremely serious mistake, in my opinion, and would do far more harm than good. Given how this Administration has run roughshod over the environmental laws and protections that are currently in place, now is not the time to give the Trump administration freer rein to double down on fossil fuels — which is what President Trump would surely do. And after last week’s historic election, we will have a new Congress in January that can strike a far better balance.
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He'd been in office since "the new Star Wars movie" was "The Empire Strikes Back."
One of the most remarkable upsets in New York is near Albany in NY SD-44. Jim Tedisco (R) is one of the state's top Republican overperformers and has served in the NY legislature since 1983. He lost re-election. Overall, the Hudson Valley was much bluer than our forecast anticipated; further areas upstate were redder. projects.statenavigate.com/2…
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This is beyond parody. A big part of why NY public schools perform so poorly compared to their cost is the extent to which the Regents exist outside the normal political-accountability mechanisms. No other state—none of the other 49—do it this way.
The head of Senate’s New York City Education Committee is set to introduce legislation that would allow the state Board of Regents to determine whether New York opts into a new Republican-backed federal tax credit scholarship program, POLITICO has learned. subscriber.politicopro.com/a…
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We saw this movie before. Cox was chairman in the 2010s and tossed after the 2018 wipeout. He came back 4 years later because it's a thankless job (one for which he doesn't take a paycheck). NY Rs have very serious probs and should fix those.
There’s an effort to unseat Ed Cox as the chair of the NYGOP, and north country party leaders are seeing signs that Elise Stefanik, with her team now in with Anthony Constantino, may be looking to pick that next leader. nny360.com/news/statenews/ny…
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X needs a death penalty for the biggest accounts promoting the most demonstrably bogus claims. Say up to five per election cycle, enough to put some risk on the board so it's not pure engagement upside.
This is the dumbest conspiracy theory I’ve ever seen. They literally can’t think of why candidates from the same party are getting similar numbers of votes for statewide offices.
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Asking how much a program that's larger than the existing budget would cost is "disingenuous"?
Hi Ken. As you’re well aware, the tax structures will be set once the bill is passed — and a number of illustrative tax structures which meet the requirements laid out in the bill have been presented in various New York Health Act studies showing savings. As you’re also well aware, NYHA would save New York billions each year. And, as you’re aware, over 92% of New Yorkers would save money. I’m also well aware that you work at a corporate-funded think tank, paid to oppose policies that help working class New Yorkers, and your questions will be disingenuous.
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Recall that NHJ wrote a shocking 8,000-word piece about her daughter's low-performing NYC school without once mentioning the UFT. It was like doing a book on the Jurassic Period without mentioning the dinosaurs.
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I'm not first to observe this but the Quebec-NYC power line that was touted as a source of baseload power has been running more like a peaker plant. Relatedly, it looks to be getting paid like a peaker, meaning needlessly higher costs for NYC ratepayers.
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"Yes, the party got destroyed, but for a beautiful moment in time we created a lot of engagement-bait for our base."
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If NY is going to cosplay as Scandinavians, this means funding child care through flattish payroll taxes. The state already adds a paid leave tax (0.432% of wages). How big would the childcare tax need to be?
NEW: @GovKathyHochul says she’ll “find a creative path” to fund childcare—ie payroll mobility tax hike & pied a terre for NYC budget—when asked if she’ll raise taxes on high earners. Before Election Day was cagier on this. Now hinting @ tax hikes. Didn’t answer on spending cuts.
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NYS taxes are coming in $8B faster than forecast. The "need" for new or higher taxes just isn't there.
Gov. Kathy Hochul, who campaigned on no new taxes, tells reporters that she is open to new taxes “if there is a need.” She also said a key area is universal childcare and a “path forward” will be announced at the State of the State. She did not comment to cutting spending.
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Hi Melanie, just following up: what are the tax rates necessary to finance the NY Health Act?
New York State elected a universal healthcare majority last night of pledged, day-one cosponsors of the New York Health Act. 38 state senators. 78 state assembly members. No more excuses. Let’s pass single-payer in NY!
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Apples-to-apples comparisons of government spending get messy but @RonDeSantis is correct. The most bonkers part: half of NY's all-funds spending is on its Medicaid program, which is purpose-built to squeeze extra (borrowed) cash from the other 49 states.
Gov. Ron DeSantis: "My budget's $117 billion. New York State's budget's $268 billion. That's more than twice the budget. Obviously, they have heavy taxes. The question is, are you getting twice the services living in New York?"
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A note about that chart: NY's all-funds spending figure includes the state and federal Medicaid spend, not the $9B from NYC and counties; timing on certain payments also cause the all-funds figures to move. But some more context for NY's big spend: xitter.twitterapi.xyz/PolicyEngineer/status/…
NY could cut—"gut!"—its per-capita Medicaid spending by 45 percent and it would still outspend New Jersey.
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