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π§΅ Breakdown of the NFL & Arbitrage
releases below! Enjoy!
Film room called it. 3/3 β
Warriors @ Rockets film room π₯ Curry pull-ups, Sengun running the offense, and 3 bets straight from the film
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We simulated Jessica Pegula v Linda Noskova 5,000 times πΎ
Built point by point: each player's serve, return, aces and double faults, tuned to the books' lines.
Here's the most typical match π
1
18
3,888
NFL Projections Week 10 (14 games): our projected score, win chance and fair moneyline for every game, next to the best price at the books π
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NBA Props Cheat Sheet (8 props tonight), led by Trey Murphy and Dylan Harper: tonight's best props with hit rates, the matchup and the best price for each π
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Perfect Props (Wed, Nov 11), led by Obi Toppin and Meleek Thomas: props players have hit every game this season, still priced at the books, to build parlays from π
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We simulated Warriors @ Rockets 5,000 times π
Every possession is drawn from this season's real play-by-play: shot mix, makes, turnovers, fouls and who's on the floor.
Here's the most typical game π
We simulated Cavaliers @ Knicks 5,000 times π
Built possession by possession from real play-by-play: rotations, shot profiles, turnovers and pace.
Here's the most typical game π
πNBA POTDπ
πDerrick White over 8 rebs+asts. Books set this at 7.5. At PrizePicks' 8 it's about -124 with the juice removed; a PP leg only needs -118. TOR allows the most reb + ast to point guards this season. 7 for 11 this season. Median of 10 over his last 10.
2
26
5,970
Warriors @ Rockets film room π₯ Curry pull-ups, Sengun running the offense, and 3 bets straight from the film
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We simulated Aryna Sabalenka v Mirra Andreeva 5,000 times πΎ
Each point runs on real data: first-serve wins, return points won, aces and break points, matched to the market.
Here's the most typical match π
NBA Props Cheat Sheet (8 props tonight), led by Jordan Walsh and Kyle Kuzma: tonight's best props with hit rates, the matchup and the best price for each π
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1
35
7,453
Perfect Props (Tue, Nov 10), led by Max Strus and Davion Mitchell: props players have hit every game this season, still priced at the books, to build parlays from π
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πNHL POTDπ
πTimo Meier over 3 shots on goal. Books set this at 2.5. At PrizePicks' 3 it's about -150 with the juice removed; a PP leg only needs -118. WPG allows the 9th-most shots on goal to forwards this season. 9 for 18 this season. Median of 5 over his last 10.
3
22
4,970
We simulated Thunder @ Trail Blazers 5,000 times π
Every possession runs on this season's real data: lineups, shot locations, shooting, fouls and pace.
Here's the most typical game π
Week 10 Matchup Map: the Lions have given up the most pass yards to QBs, plus every other defense vs every position π
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πNBA POTDπ
πBrook Lopez over 17.5 pts+rebs. Books lean over at this number (-110 with the juice removed). PHX allows the most pts + reb to centers this season (42.33 a game, league average 32.2). 6 for 9 this season. Median of 22 over his last 10.
We simulated Celtics @ 76ers 5,000 times π
Every possession runs on this season's real data: lineups, shot locations, shooting, fouls and pace.
Here's the most typical game π
Celtics @ 76ers film room π₯ Maxey one on one, Tatum in the pick-and-roll, and 3 bets straight from the film
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19
5,484



















