VoteHub

How well did VoteHub's precinct forecasts work? Across 23,362 precincts, our model reduced error by 24% versus a uniform swing from 2024 and 20% versus 2020. Our postmortem explains what worked, with more to come in 2028. votehub.com/2026/11/12/why-v…

Alaska: 5,578 additional votes reported 🔴 Dan Sullivan: +2,836 (50.8%) 🔵 Mary Peltola: +2,561 (45.9%) Dan Sullivan nets 275 votes, narrowing Peltola's lead to 3,975 votes (1.60 points). Updated totals: 🔵 Peltola: 121,487 (48.9%) 🔴 Dan Sullivan: 117,512 (47.3%)

VoteHub projects Joe Wilson to win the South Carolina U.S. House District 2 election.

Mississippi U.S. Senate: 2,284 new votes from Jackson and Chickasaw counties 🔵 Colom: +1,148 (50.3%) ✅ 🔴 Hyde-Smith: +1,064 (46.6%) Colom nets 84 votes, expanding his statewide lead to 4,669 votes. VoteHub has called for Colom.

VoteHub projects Scott Colom to win the Mississippi U.S. Senate election.

Mississippi U.S. Senate: 807 Hinds County affidavit votes 🔵 Colom: +703 (87.1%) 🔴 Hyde-Smith: +96 (11.9%) ⚪ Pinkins: +8 (1.0%) Updated statewide totals: 🔵 Colom: 471,354 🔴 Hyde-Smith: 467,401 Colom nets 607 votes, expanding his lead to 3,953 votes (about 0.41 points).

After reaching out to Jackson County, MS for an update on outstanding ballots, a representative said they had “no idea” and were actively working to “figure out” the number of remaining ballots.

Updated Mississippi U.S. Senate toplines: 🔵 Colom: 470,651 (+384), 49.1% 🔴 Hyde-Smith: 467,305 (+205), 48.8% Colom leads by 3,346 votes (0.35 points), a net gain of 179 votes across the two vote drops.

Mississippi U.S. Senate: 67 new "late-counted mail" votes from Hinds County 🔵 Colom: +61 (91.0%) 🔴 Hyde-Smith: +3 (4.5%) ⚪ Pinkins: +3 (4.5%) Colom nets 58 votes, expanding his statewide lead to 3,167 votes (0.33 points). We expect affidavit ballots shortly.

According to @AnnieGrayerCNN, Hinds County has 884 accepted affidavit and mail-in ballots remaining, substantially fewer than previously expected. Those ballots are expected to be counted and the results released shortly.

Alaska U.S. Senate update: 🔵 Peltola: 118,926 (+12,605), 49.0% 🔴 Sullivan: 114,676 (+10,872), 47.2% Peltola leads by 4,250 votes (+1,733), or 1.7 points, before ranked-choice tabulation.

Alaska U.S. House update: 🔴 Nick Begich: 118,337 (+11,150), 48.9% ⚪ Bill Hill: 99,240 (+10,336), 41.0% Begich leads by 19,097 votes (+814), or 7.9 points, before ranked-choice tabulation.

Mississippi Senate: 312 new votes from Rankin County 🔵 Colom: +167 (53.5%) 🔴 Hyde-Smith: +139 (44.6%) ⚪ Pinkins: +6 (1.9%) Colom nets 28 votes, expanding his statewide lead to 2,990.

Mississippi Senate: 186 new votes from Grenada County 🔵 Colom: +147 (79.0%) 🔴 Hyde-Smith: +36 (19.4%) ⚪ Pinkins: +3 (1.6%) Colom nets 111 votes, expanding his statewide lead to 2,962.

Mississippi Senate: 983 new votes from Madison County 🔵 Colom: +546 (55.6%) 🔴 Hyde-Smith: +423 (43.0%) ⚪ Pinkins: +14 (1.4%) Colom nets 123 votes, expanding his statewide lead to 2,851.

Mississippi Senate: 329 new votes from Rankin County 🔴 Hyde-Smith: +179 (54.4%) 🔵 Colom: +143 (43.5%) ⚪ Pinkins: +7 (2.1%) Hyde-Smith nets 36 votes, cutting her statewide deficit down to 2,728.

Mississippi Senate: 204 new votes from Panola County 🔵 Colom: +154 (75.5%) 🔴 Hyde-Smith: +44 (21.6%) ⚪ Pinkins: +6 (2.9%) Colom nets 110 votes, expanding his statewide lead to 2,764.