JMC Analytics & Polling Founder/Owner Award winning pollster/4x finalist (C&Es Reed Awards) Political strategist/Numbers guy
Louisiana
Joined October 2012
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OKLAHOMA PARTY REGISTRATION CHANGES
Oklahoma (like WV/KY) is a border state with a Democratic heritage that "flipped" some time ago. Reps now have an absolute (53%) majority of registered voters. Dems generally keep losing voters, although Reps and Inds alternatively
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NEBRASKA PARTY REGISTRATION CHANGES
In Nebraska, Reps have a voter registration near majority (currently 49.0%), and Reps generally outregister Inds and Dems. In Oct, however, Dems outregistered Reps 2,395-217, while Independents gained 1,521 voters.
KENTUCKY PARTY REGISTRATION CHANGES
The Bluegrass state was once solidly Democratic, but here and in LA/OK/WV, there has been a steady stream of voters leaving the party. Dems lost their voter registration edge in 7/2022, and continue to lose voters nearly every month.
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KANSAS PARTY REGISTRATION CHANGES
Kansas is a state of contradictions. While it has a Republican reputation (Adam Hamilton was the first Democrat to be elected to the US Senate in nearly a CENTURY), Dems are competitive in statewide contests. Voter registration is similarly
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IDAHO PARTY REGISTRATION CHANGES
Idaho is a heavily Republican state (only 12% of its voters are registered Democrats). This past month, however, not only did Inds outregister Reps 8,868-5,140, but Dems gained nearly as many voters (3,854) as Reps did.
PENNSYLVANIA PARTY REGISTRATION CHANGES
PA is a marginal state politically, and from 2021-25, its Dem voter registration plurality eroded from +618K to a low point of 168K on September 29, 2025. Since then, Dems have seen consistent voter registration gains. In October,
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NEW YORK PARTY REGISTRATION CHANGES
The Empire State (like MA/ME/CA) is a "once in a blue moon" state with regards to posting voter registration statistics, although those two "blue moons" appear on schedule every Feb and Nov. The latest report was favorable to Dems,
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NEW JERSEY PARTY REGISTRATION CHANGES
While the Garden State has become primarily Democratic since the 1990s, its Dem voter registration advantage had steadily eroded until recently, when Dems saw several months of registration gains. In October, Independents saw the
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MARYLAND PARTY REGISTRATION CHANGES
Maryland is one of a few states (besides CO/DE) where Reps have had minimal to no momentum. Dems have continuously maintained an absolute majority of registered voters, and Inds generally out register both Dems and Reps. This past month,
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DELAWARE PARTY REGISTRATION CHANGES
DE is a state (like CA and CO) where Reps (technically a 3rd party) have seen steady slippage in their voter registration numbers, and any registration gains typically accrue almost entirely to the Independents. In October, only
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CALIFORNIA PARTY REGISTRATION CHANGES
Dems have complete control in the Golden State, although Reps between 2022-Sept 2025 made steady voter registration gains. Since September 2025, however, Rep strength has plateaued,& their voter counts since then have DECREASED.
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RHODE ISLAND PARTY REGISTRATION CHANGES
While thought of as a solidly Dem state, RI has seen its Dem share of the electorate steadily shrink, and the benefit has generally accrued to Inds, who since 11/1/2025 have become an absolute majority of registered voters.
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OREGON PARTY REGISTRATION CHANGES
Independents are steadily becoming more dominant (now 44% of registered voters) after attaining a registration plurality several years ago. Their numbers/%s generally continue to increase, coming at the expense of both major parties.
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NEW HAMPSHIRE PARTY REGISTRATION CHANGES
In NH, Independents matter - A LOT (they have a 36% plurality). Their Sec of State also updates its voter registration stats infrequently, like CA/CT/ME/MA/NY who similarly have "blue moon" status. In the aftermath of the September
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NEVADA PARTY REGISTRATION CHANGES
Independents are a dominant (and growing) part of the electorate in the Silver State: its Democratic voter registration plurality disappeared in 9/2021, & Independents are now 46.4% of reg vtrs.
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MASSACHUSETTS PARTY REGISTRATION CHANGES
The Bay State posts its voter registration statistics once in a blue moon. That "blue moon" was the general election, and stats have been compiled. Despite its Democratic dominance,Mass (like RI) voters like to think of themselves
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IOWA PARTY REGISTRATION CHANGES
Iowa historically was a state where Dems, Reps, & Inds each comprised about 1/3 of registered voters. Dems have steadily lost members over time, while Inds generally benefit more than Reps have from Dem losses. In October, however, Dems
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CONNECTICUT PARTY REGISTRATION CHANGES
Connecticut (like MA/ME) is a "once in a blue moon" state with regards to posting voter registration statistics. And like New England in general, Independents outnumber Democrats and Republicans.
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COLORADO PARTY REGISTRATION CHANGES
Coloradans pride themselves on their independence, and Independents are 55% of registered voters after reaching an absolute majority in 8/2023. This is a state (like DE) where Reps have NO momentum - in fact, Reps are numerically a
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