Is the Fed about to hike rates in December?
Ares traders think so, and the odds just jumped after October inflation came in hotter than expected
25 bps hike 86%
50+ bps hike 11%
No change 4.1%
Back in summer, "no change" was the favorite on this market at over 60%
Now it's down to 4%
Core CPI rose 0.3% in October, above the 0.2% forecast
Fed Governor Waller said that if core came in near 0.3%, the Fed should consider a 50 bps hike, and that a smaller move could put its credibility at risk
The decision comes on December 8 or 9
$25M+ already traded on this market
Is 11% too cheap for a 50 bps shock?
Who wins the biggest LoL tournament of the year?
The Worlds final is Sunday in New York, and Ares traders have a favorite:
- Gen.G 63%
- BLG 37%
In late October, BLG was trading at nearly 0
Since then: 3-0 over Dplus KIA in the quarters, 3-1 over T1 in the semis
First time T1 has ever lost to an LPL team in a Worlds knockout
Gen.G has been just as dominant, dropping one game all tournament on the way to Chovy's first Worlds final
$14M+ traded on this market so far
Is 63% too cheap for Gen.G, or is BLG about to pull the upset?
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Join us live now with @morganlai on Predict Time!
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Ares is on Instagram now 📲
Quick reads on the hottest prediction markets, what traders are watching, and short videos breaking down the odds.
Follow along: instagram.com/joinarespro
$7,500 and one week left.
The top trader is up $6,722 right now.
70 prizes up for grabs. Trade $300 across 3 days and you're in.
ares.pro/arena
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ARES retweeted
Payouts for Season 1 of the @arespro tournament have been made.
Thanks to the team for the opportunity, looking forward to the end of Season 2, the battle continues.
As a reminder, everyone can still participate in the tournament. Trade through the Ares and compete for the prize spots.
Hockey, soccer and esports in one wallet.
yabanci's Oct 20 category view spans all three.
What stands out: the wins and losses within each sport.
Specialist or generalist, which do you trust more?
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2/ This follows Tuesday's wallet snapshot: 13 closed positions, a small sample.
Copy trading: flat 1% Ares fee; half goes to the copied trader. Venue fees apply. Past results don't guarantee future ones.
ares.pro/wallets/0x285faa3e3…
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A "safe bet" at 95¢ risks 95 to make 5, before venue fees.
One upset wipes out 19 equal-size wins.
Favorites still carry risk. Size like the 5% can happen.
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2/ Inspect the market, then decide your size: ares.pro/predictions
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