Basketball Quant

ALT Dark ranked table titled "Steals per 40 minutes, D-I leaders," 2026-27 games against Division I opponents, 60 or more minutes, with headshots and team logos. 1, Dylan Mingo, Baylor freshman, 13 steals in 66 minutes, 7.9, highlighted. 2, Ben Hammond, Virginia Tech, 5.7. 3, Miles Byrd, Providence, 5.5. 4, Dax Hall, New Mexico, 5.5. 5, Saliou Niang, LSU, 5.4. 6, Tru Washington, Xavier, 5.4. 7, Amari McCottry, Saint Louis, 5.3. 8, Chris Howell, New Mexico, 5.3. 9, Aiden Argabright, Richmond, 5.2. 10, Braeden Smith, Notre Dame, 5.1. basketballquant.com watermark.

ALT Dark chart titled "Biggest misses by our game predictor, 2026-27" with a large 41.6 and the Saint Louis logo. The subtitle says the miss is the gap between predicted and final margin; Saint Louis was picked to beat Northern Kentucky by 20.4 and won by 62. Four tiles for Saint Louis 125, Northern Kentucky 63: 125, the most points by a D-I team against D-I this season; 18 of 32 from three for SLU, 56 percent; Trey Green 7 of 8 from three with 22 points; 21 Northern Kentucky turnovers. Below is a ranked dot chart of predicted margin versus final margin for the winner. 1. Saint Louis, 41.6. 2. Illinois, 120-45 over FDU, 36.3. 3. George Washington, 91-39 over Navy, 36.1. 4. East Texas A&M, 68-64 at Oklahoma, 35.6. 5. Missouri, 111-50 over Cleveland St., 35.6. 6. Marquette, 93-32 over Detroit Mercy, 33.1. 7. Oklahoma St., 31.6. 8. St. Bonaventure, 31.5. 9. Northern Illinois at Dayton, 31.2. 10. UT Martin at Arkansas St., 30.9. Watermark basketballquant.com.

ALT Light matchup graphic titled "Marquette at Michigan: matchup prediction," for tonight at 7 PM ET on FS1 at Crisler Center in Ann Arbor. The prediction card shows Marquette 74, Michigan 78, Michigan by 4.1, with a 64 to 36 percent win chance for Michigan. Marquette is 2-0 and BQR No. 30; Michigan is 1-1 and BQR No. 26. Tale of the tape, Marquette then Michigan: BQR rank 30 (+19.4) and 26 (+20.5); adjusted offense rank 58 and 32; adjusted defense rank 13 and 22; three-pointers 17 of 66 (25.8 percent) and 14 of 62 (22.6 percent); results, Marquette beat Mercyhurst 78-43 and Detroit Mercy 93-32, and Michigan beat Oakland 84-68 and lost to UConn 85-77 at a neutral site. Leading scorers with headshots: Marquette's Royce Parham 14.0, Joshua Clark 13.0, Alex Egbuonu 10.5; Michigan's Trey McKenney 19.5, Roddy Gayle Jr. 17.5, J.P. Estrella 17.0. Watermark basketballquant.com.

ALT Dark chart titled "Dallin Hall, points in every college game" with a large 35 beside the title and the Utah State logo. The subtitle says 139 games at BYU, Virginia and Utah St.; his high before Tuesday was 23, as a BYU freshman in 2022-23, and he averaged 5.9 points at Virginia last season. Tiles: 12 of 16 field goals; 7 of 9 from three, where his previous career high was 4 threes; 7 assists and 1 turnover; 31 minutes. Below is a bar chart of his points in every game, grouped by season: three BYU seasons from 2022-23 to 2024-25 in blue, 2025-26 at Virginia in grey, and 2026-27 at Utah St. in green. A dashed line marks the previous high of 23. The last bar, 35 points against Utah Tech on Tuesday, is amber and much taller than all the others, next to his headshot. Watermark basketballquant.com.

ALT Dark graphic titled "No. 5 Michigan St. 79, No. 2 Duke 73: Game flow." Eyebrow: Champions Classic, United Center, Nov. 10. Subtitle: score margin and Duke win probability, minute by minute. Duke led for 0:00, Michigan St. for 39:21. Pregame line: Duke by 5.9 (70%). Below is the site's Game Flow chart. The margin stays on Michigan St.'s side the whole game, peaking at 14, and Duke's win probability falls from 66% at tip to 0%. Stat tiles: Duke best lead +0, MSU best +14, Duke led 0:00, MSU led 39:21, time tied 0:39, lead changes 0, biggest run MSU 9-0, last five minutes Duke 13-9. At the bottom, under "This morning they were No. 1 and No. 3 in D-I in assists per 40. Tonight:", there are two player cards. Jeremy Fears Jr., Michigan St.: 18 points, 11 assists, 7 rebounds, 12-17 FT, 4 turnovers, 33 minutes. Cayden Boozer, Duke: 6 points, 2 assists, 3 rebounds, 2-5 FG, 1 turnover, 22 minutes. basketballquant.com watermark.

ALT Dark ranked table titled "55.5 fantasy points per game for Virginia Tech's Ben Hammond, best in D-I." It covers ESPN-style fantasy scoring in D-I vs. D-I games only, minimum two games, through Monday, Nov. 9, with headshots, team logos, per-game points, rebounds, assists, and steals plus blocks. 1. Ben Hammond, Virginia Tech, 55.5. 2. Nick Townsend, Stanford, 55.0. 3. Keshawn Fisher, Winthrop, 54.0. 4. Dior Johnson, UCF, 53.0. 5. Ivan Kharchenkov, Arizona, 51.5. 6. Donovan Dent, LSU, 49.7. 7. Zach Philipkoski, St. Bonaventure, 49.5. 8. Matthew Willenborg, Cal St. Fullerton, 49.0. 9. Nikola Kusturica, UCLA, 48.5. 10. Jayden Reid, Memphis, 46.5. A footnote gives the scoring formula. basketballquant.com watermark.

ALT Dark graphic titled "Kansas is 8-2 in the Champions Classic since 2016." Two game cards for tonight: Michigan St. vs. Duke at 7:00 PM ET on ESPN, Duke 70%, by 5.9 on live BQR, Champions Classic series Duke 4-1. Kansas vs. Kentucky at 9:30 PM ET on ESPN, Kentucky 65%, by 4.4 on live BQR, series Kansas 3-2. Below, a grid of win and loss tiles for each team from 2011 to 2025, with 2016 to 2025 boxed. All-time records: Kansas 9-6, Duke 9-6, Kentucky 6-9, Michigan St. 6-9. Since 2016: Kansas 8-2, Duke 6-4, Kentucky 3-7, Michigan St. 3-7. basketballquant.com watermark.

ALT Light graphic with the Michigan State logo. The headline number is 15.7, next to the title "Assists per 40 for Jeremy Fears Jr., best in D-I. No. 3? Duke's Cayden Boozer." Subtitle: assists per 40 minutes vs. D-I opponents through Monday, Nov. 9, 2+ games and 40+ minutes; the two point guards meet tonight, Michigan State vs. Duke, 7 PM ET. A ranked table with headshots shows assists per game, assist-turnover and assists per 40. 1, Jeremy Fears Jr., Michigan State, 10.0, 20-7, 15.7. 2, Jacob Walker, Oklahoma State, 8.5, 17-6, 15.5. 3, Cayden Boozer, Duke, 7.5, 15-1, 14.3. 4, Brock Harding, TCU, 14.2. 5, Guillaume Grotzinger, Loyola Chicago, 13.9. 6, Ty Owens, Tennessee Tech, 12.7. 7, Cian Medley, East Carolina, 12.6. 8, Calvin Sirmans III, Alcorn State, 12.5. 9, Quinn Ellis, St. John's, 12.4. 10, Amari Allen, Alabama, 12.0. A note lists the per-game leaders: Medley 11.5, Fears Jr. 10.0, Rodney Rice and Quinn Ellis 9.0. Footer: basketballquant.com.