GMU econ prof, NYT bestseller, father of 4, author of Myth of the Rational Voter, Selfish Reasons to Have More Kids, Case Against Education, Open Borders, & BBB
Oakton, Virginia
Joined January 2011
- Tweets33.4K
- Following2
- Followers86.5K
- Likes3.7K
Pinned Tweet
Buy my new *You Have No Right to Your Culture*, now on sale!
Order here: amzn.to/3L6Ff6s
"I never apply the sword when the lash suffices, nor the lash when my tongue is enough. If there is even one thread binding me to my fellow man, I do not let it break. If he pulls, I loosen. If he loosens, I pull."
- Muawiya
Menschliches, Allzumenschliches
It’s amusing how with all the talk about super intelligence, our issues remain remarkably human. Our institutions are threatened by a president who is a buffoon with more in common psychologically with ancient tyrants than previous presidents. Perhaps the most important guy in the tech boom is brought down over affairs. Right now, hundreds of thousands are dying in Eastern Ukraine over Putin’s theories about national history. Elon Musk’s political activities are driven by social media brain rot even as he dreams of going to Mars. The human element in global events is still here. And I don’t think it’s going away anytime soon.
13
2,580
"Unless I see the nail marks in his hands and put my finger where the nails were, and put my hand into his side, I will not believe." — John 20:25
2
21
4,212
"If no one cared about hypocrisy, politicians would devolve into a bidding war of wishful thinking. If your rival promises to give every child in America a pony, you promise two ponies. In the real world, though, you could instead respond, 'My opponent doesn’t even like ponies! In fact, I have proof that he has repeatedly refused his daughter’s pleas for a birthday pony. Shame! O thou hypocrite!'" betonit.ai/p/hypocrisy-versu…
If prediction markets can't win on their merits, decrying hypocrisy is a highly effective rhetorical strategy. betonit.ai/p/hypocrisy-versu…
The Utah attorney general going after Kalshi has gotten money from casinos and DraftKings.
It's insane that betting on politics and news events, which produces useful knowledge, is more controversial than betting on poker or sports, which doesn't. sltrib.com/opinion/letters/2…
20
2,840
"If you haven’t heard of data scientist Spencer Marlen-Starr, you should have. He’s a paragon of the intellectual deep dive. Recently, he wrote a dissection of the Caplan-Jones UATX immigration debate, taking the time to speak to both me and Garett." betonit.ai/p/the-marlen-star…
Tyler on my forthcoming magnum opus.
marginalrevolution.com/margi…
That's why friends of prediction markets should proudly stand up for sports betting companies.
If we don't hang together, we shall most assuredly hang separately.
And we're even less popular than they are!
"Team America famously mocked Matt Damon’s intelligence. What, though, was his intent as a writer? I asked ChatGPT 'Is this monologue supposed to illustrate Will's genius, or show that while he's a great mathematician he's just a paranoid populist?'"
betonit.ai/p/good-will-hunti…
8
2,395
"I would distinguish three things:
"Mathematical intelligence: The movie treats Will as a genuine genius.
"Political judgment: The movie largely treats his anti-establishment instincts sympathetically, without seriously examining their accuracy.
"Psychological maturity: The movie explicitly portrays his tendency to construct elaborate arguments against taking chances as a major character flaw."
betonit.ai/p/good-will-hunti…
2
19
4,898
"If you want a picture of the future, imagine a bot writing a thousand turgid pages a second about 'neoliberalism,' 'patriarchy,' and 'anti-racism' — forever." betonit.ai/p/how-ai-will-cha…
Bryan Caplan retweeted
"Those bullish on AI have been right about so much."
I'm sick of hearing this. They are right about AI capabilities, but they have a bad record on employment, interest rates, and GDP growth. They've been wrong on AI's effects on the real world.
Something has gone wrong in the model that says intelligence is enough to radically change the world in a short period of time. richardhanania.com/p/ai-is-l…
