"How, exactly, could AI take over by 2027?"
Introducing AI 2027: a deeply-researched scenario forecast I wrote alongside @slatestarcodex, @eli_lifland, and @thlarsen
very well written and an interesting read. your forecast of how the stock market would react to some of these potential outcomes is pretty poor though.
Apr 5, 2025 · 5:13 AM UTC
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if this scenario plays out, the stock market gets increasingly concentrated in 4-5 companies and as a result likely becomes much more volatile.
does UBI include some sort of allocation to stocks? probably not, which means the market as a whole loses the passive bid from 401ks and pension plans if AI takes jobs etc etc
again i really enjoyed reading it and the stuff about agent copies and neuralese/thinking in english was thought provoking. but the market would probably crash at some point (or multiple points) along this timeline.