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JakeJanes

@equitymaxxing

Cloud engineer by day, investor always. Breaking down stocks, earnings & economics. 🇨🇦 Posts aren't recommendations or investment advice. Do your own research

 Canada
Joined July 2022
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The market is punishing AI names for the midterms. History, and the earnings, say that’s the wrong thing to be afraid of.

Politics Does Not Trump Results

Article · @equitymaxxing
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NEWS: $TSM is buying into the two biggest AI labs. Its board approved: Up to $500M of Anthropic shares at the IPO price Up to $500M of OpenAI preferred stock And $40.9B in capital spending The chipmaker is now investing in its own customers.
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NEWS: $CRWV is up about 23% today. It raised its full-year revenue guidance to $13B to $13.3B. The move lifted other AI cloud and chip stocks along with it.
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$5T. No company had ever been worth that much. $NVDA got there on Oct 29, 2025, only 3 months after it crossed $4T. It had first hit $1T in Jun 2023.
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48 years. That's $FLNG's minimum firm charter backlog across its 13 ships, and it could grow to 75 with charterers' options. Flex Constellation is fixed out to 2041.
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1/5 Net income more than doubled to $42.8M, helped by a $10.2M derivative gain. $FLNG Q3 FY26 Grade: A
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2/5 $FLNG report card (USD M, GAAP; Q3 FY26 vs Q3 FY25): Rev: 97.4 vs 85.7 (+13.7%) GP: not reported (calculated: 54.7 vs 43.8) (+24.8%) OI: 52.2 vs 42.0 (+24.3%) NI: 42.8 vs 16.8 (+154.7%) FCF: not reported (calculated: 41.8 vs 37.2) (+12.3%)
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1/5 Revenue rose 290.0% to $96.6M, mostly from the Northern Data acquisition. $RUM Q3 FY26 Grade: D+
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2/5 $RUM report card (USD M, GAAP; Q3 FY26 vs Q3 FY25): Rev: 96.6 vs 24.8 (+290.0%, mostly acquisition) GP: not reported (calculated: 39.4 vs -0.5) OI: -84.6 vs -28.1 (wider loss) NI: -79.9 vs -16.3 (wider loss) FCF: not reported (calculated: -81.4 vs -12.8) (wider outflow)
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$3.50B. That's the top of $TTWO's outlook for fiscal Q3 net bookings. The company expects $3.35B–$3.50B of net bookings in the quarter when Grand Theft Auto VI launches on Nov 19.
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1/2 $99.6B. That's the fair value of SoftBank's OpenAI stake at the end of Q2. That was on a $54.6B investment and a $45.0B cumulative gain, unchanged from the prior fiscal year-end.
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2/2 SoftBank completed another $10B follow-on in October, taking its cumulative investment to $64.6B and its stake to about 13%.
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1/2 $99.6B. That's the fair value of SoftBank's OpenAI stake at the end of Q2. That was on a $54.6B investment and a $45.0B cumulative gain, unchanged from the prior fiscal year-end.
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117. That's how many launches are now in $RKLB's backlog, a company record. The company also signed $470M of new Space Systems contracts in Q3, and has more than 55 spacecraft in development.
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Revenue fell 27.5% to $1.4M, and the operating loss widened to $33.2M. $RGTI Q3 FY26 Grade: F+
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2/5 $RGTI report card (USD M, GAAP; Q3 FY26 vs Q3 FY25): Rev: 1.4 vs 1.9 (-27.5%) GP: 0.9 vs 0.4 (+112.1%) OI: -33.2 vs -20.5 (wider loss) NI: -3.1 vs -201.0 (narrower loss) FCF: not reported (calculated: -43.3 vs -19.7) (wider outflow)
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Revenue rose 168.2% to $3,661M, but the net loss widened to $709M. $CRWV Q3 FY26 Grade: C+
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2/5 $CRWV report card (USD M, GAAP; Q3 FY26 vs Q3 FY25): Rev: 3,661 vs 1,365 (+168.2%) GP: not reported (calculated: 2,478 vs 996) (+148.8%) OI: 207 vs 52 (+298.1%) NI: -709 vs -110 (wider loss) FCF: not reported (calculated: -7,466 vs -1,590) (wider outflow)
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1/2 News: $RKLB is down about 9% after a wider Q3 loss and a Neutron delay.
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2/2 $RKLB posted a wider-than-expected Q3 GAAP loss of $0.12 a share, and Neutron's first launch is now no earlier than 2027. The company reported a record $3.57B backlog, and the Pentagon offered a $150M conditional loan. This is not investment advice. Do your own research.
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News: $TTWO is up about 8% on strong GTA VI pre-orders. CEO Strauss Zelnick said GTA VI pre-orders are tracking far above the company's initial expectations, with a Nov 19 launch. $TTWO raised its FY27 revenue outlook to $7.98B–$8.18B even as Q2 net bookings fell 18% to $1.60B.
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$NVDA's board opened an independent probe after reports that Chinese intelligence targeted CEO Jensen Huang. Huang apologized and has committed to cooperate with the review.
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1/2 +321%. That's how much Hims & Hers grew revenue outside the US in Q3. $HIMS
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2/2 $HIMS Rest of World revenue was $233.3M, while US revenue grew 21% to $657.1M. Total revenue was $890.4M, but the company posted a $66.1M operating loss. Subscribers reached 2.788M, up 13%. This is not investment advice. Do your own research.
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1/2 $3.6B. That's the backlog Rocket Lab reported for Q3, against $267.8M of quarterly revenue. $RKLB
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2/2 $RKLB says it signed about $1B of new launch contracts in Q3, including over $515M for Neutron. Neutron's first launch is now targeted no earlier than 2027. Q4 revenue guidance is $270M–$290M. This is not investment advice. Do your own research.
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Revenue up 43.4% to $8.58B, and net income rose to $502.5M. $SE Q3 FY26 Grade: B-
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2/5 $SE report card (USD M, GAAP; Q3 FY26 vs Q3 FY25): Rev: 8,582.3 vs 5,986.0 (+43.4%) GP: 3,935.4 vs 2,599.4 (+51.4%) OI: 664.2 vs 475.9 (+39.5%) NI: 502.5 vs 375.0 (+34.0%) FCF: not reported (calculated: 953.8 vs 1,040.4) (-8.3%)
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Revenue was $4.5M, but the operating loss nearly doubled to $53.5M. $QBTS Q3 FY26 Grade: F-
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2/5 $QBTS report card (USD M, GAAP; Q3 FY26 vs Q3 FY25): Rev: 4.5 vs 3.7 (+20.7%) GP: 2.4 vs 2.7 (-10.6%) OI: -53.5 vs -27.7 (wider loss) NI: -48.2 vs -140.0 (narrower loss) FCF: not reported (calculated: -43.3 vs -20.3) (wider outflow)
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