Thrilled to share my first piece for @CalibreDefence, in which I dissect #Hezbollah's #FPV #drone campaign against the #IDF. My analysis draws on a dataset of 236 FPV attacks I collected and geolocated since mid-March.
Thankful to @Sam_Cranny for the opportunity!
Check it out👇
Hezbollah’s adoption of fiber-optic FPV drones provided a low-cost, jam-resistant precision strike asset that heavily targeted Israeli armour and air defences in southern Lebanon.
Very grateful to @federicoborsar1 for this extensive article on Hezbollah's FPV campaign. 🔗below.
Very happy to see this study done with @MatBoulegue and @pavel_luzinon on the Russian defense industrial complex finally published. For context, this research project is a few months old, and some of the data it relies on has since been superseded by more up-to-date information. But it is still useful to understand the trajectory of Russia's industrial war machine and the challenges it faces.
Russia can sustain its war against Ukraine while wearing down the industrial base behind it. @MatBoulegue, @federicoborsar1, and @pavel_luzin find that this managed degradation buys time at a growing cost. cepa.org/comprehensive-repor…
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For 🇮🇹 speakers, an insightful episode with @aa_gilli, Sirdo, @giustiro64, and the good @tochnyi team, shedding light on current frontline dynamics in Ukraine and the Italian political debate on the conflict. Bravi!👇
"Sinistra pro-Ucraina, senza voce?" - Con Andrea Gilli xitter.twitterapi.xyz/i/broadcasts/2ybVRzanV…
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#TB2 tested in a "mothership" role with #FPV air-launched effects. IMO, this combination makes little sense in contested environments where your mothership will be shot down before reaching the release area, which would be close to the FLET since most FPV quads of this type have limited range (up to ~20-25 km)
#BayraktarTB2 ✈️ 🚀
✅ 1️⃣6️⃣ x FPV Drone Atış Testi
✅ 1️⃣6️⃣ x FPV Drone Drop Test
#Baykar 🤝 @SkydaggerDrones
#MilliTeknolojiHamlesi 🌍🇹🇷
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UAS-enabled interdiction of enemy rotary aviation in the air-ground littoral is becoming a thing, though it remains very complex and often driven by chance rather than deliberate planning.
But as sensing improves and recce-strike complexes become increasingly pervasive and rapid, more solutions can validate this concept and make it more systematic.
💥🚁Russian aviation losses in October are not over yet:
Ukraine’s 3rd Army Corps has destroyed a Russian Mi-8 helicopter in Luhansk Oblast using Hornet strike drones.
The first drone attempted to intercept the helicopter in flight but couldn’t catch up. Once the Mi-8 landed a second drone strike finished it off.
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This whole story is becoming more and more embarassing for a Nato ally that should have invested in and integrated proper countermeasures a long while ago. Yet, it seems that it cannot even deploy basic counter USVs capabilities in its territorial waters/eez (plus the political hesitancy) and it seems to have critical C-UxS gaps depspite this being a urgent priority since 2022.
Bulgaria’s navy says the drone boats that sank a container ship off its coast this week moved too fast to stop. A warning from a French aircraft gave the crew time, and all 18 were rescued.
defence-blog.com/french-patr…
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An important ISR role played by the French Navy in the Black Sea, where it detected and tracked likely Russian attack USVs before they hit the cargo ship in Bulgaria's EEZ.
On the other hand, a debatable decision by Bulgarian authorities was to simply do nothing, based on the fact that the incident happened outside the country's territorial waters and the (ridiculous) excuse of "bad weather" conditions.
⚓ L'engagement de la France pour la sécurité maritime et la liberté de navigation est quotidien.
🚨 Contribution active d'un avion de patrouille maritime 🇫🇷 à une opération d'assistance en mer Noire : 18 vies sauvées 🛡️
🔍 En mer Noire, un Atlantique 2 de la @MarineNationale qui menait un vol de surveillance maritime a détecté trois drones de surface qui ciblaient un bâtiment civil.
La présence de l'aéronef a permis de :
📢 Détecter la menace et alerter l'équipage
📡 Diffuser la position du navire aux autorités compétentes et aider à coordonner les opérations de secours avec les forces navales bulgares mobilisées
🛑 Alerter les autres navires navigant dans la zone du danger potentiel.
Coordination, confiance et efficacité opérationnelle entre forces armées partenaires 🤝
Su-34s are key enablers for Russia's use of glide bombs to level Ukrainian fortifications and positions at tactical depth. Hopefully, many more successful strikes are in the pipeline.
🇺🇦⚓ Ще 2 літаки Су-34 на рахунку "довгого Нептуна"
Детальніше
facebook.com/share/p/18xxFap…
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Notably, these USVs likely relied on comms relay support from one or more UAS. This suggests an evolving (and improving) Russian ability to overcome its lack of Starlink access for long-range attacks in the Black Sea.
A video has emerged documenting the moment when a Russian unmanned surface vessel (USV) approached and targeted the Liberia-flagged, Greek-owned CONTSHIP JET container ship off the coast of Bulgaria on October 28, 2026.
According to available information, the vessel was struck by at least three naval drones and subsequently sunk in the Black Sea waters. All 18 of its crew-members were rescued unharmed.
In the last few weeks, Russia has escalated its strike campaign against commercial shipping in the Black Sea theater. Multiple ships were struck in the exclusive economic zones and, in some cases, territorial waters of NATO members - Romania and Bulgaria.
UGV-based mothership concept tested by DARPA with @Overland_AI_X Ultra UGVs deploying @anduriltech Bolt-M attack quadcopters.
Worth noting that Ukraine has already experimented with this concept, releasing FPVs from Ratel Robotics' UGVs.
Thrilled to have attended and spoken at this year's #DefendingBaltics Conference and Expo in Vilnius.
I delivered a presentation on the evolution of Russia's kill chain, and joined a panel alongside Ukrainian service members from the 69th Electronic Warfare Support Center and the Special Operation Unit “Lasar’s Group” (yes, them!💥) to discuss lessons learned from countering drones in Ukraine and what NATO and European countries should prioritize to keep pace with the rapidly evolving threat.
Many thanks to the organizers, fellow speakers, and participants for the great discussions and exchanges!
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Russian terrorists continue their favorite daily activity: committing war crimes against Ukrainian civilians.
After killing civilians on a train platform in Dnipro, these russian degenerates have now killed children in Chernihiv. A man is screaming near their bodies. I don't want to speculate whether he's their father, but I can't even begin to fathom what he's going through
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From this video, it looks like 3-4 missiles (likely Storm Shadow) impacted the facility.
Moment of the missile strike on the "Proton" military plant in Orel and its consequences.
It is important that not only one of the workshops was destroyed, but also valuable personnel. They work for Putin's terrorist machine.
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Yesterday, Ukraine's Defense Intelligence showed us Russia's new cheap cruise missile "Filin" (left) and its components. Today, Serhii Flash posted a picture of what he says is an upgraded version of the Geran-5 jet-powered CM, dubbed K-5K, featuring visual navigation (already documented in a previous iteration), and a sleeker design for improved kinematics and performance.
Russia's deep-strike munition arsenal is shifting toward low-cost, mass-producible small CMs that outperform slower Geran piston-propeller OWA drones and can be launched from both air and dispersed mobile ground platforms.
This clearly has implications for NATO's IAMD and our deep-strike capability development.
Ukrainian sources have shown a Russian X-shaped loitering munition similar to the Lancet, but with a slightly different tail design and a gasoline engine. Launch appears to be via catapult, as with most of these systems.
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This is a major result for Ukraine and yet another confirmation (if ever it was needed) that missiles (in this case CM) remain a critical capability that OWA drones cannot match, no matter what some people say.
Unless you rewrite the laws of physics, there is an inevitable design threshold above which your cheap OWA propeller- or even jet-powered drone will have to become a missile (hence go through a major redesign with all the related consequences in terms of associated costs and trade-offs) if you want the thing to fly faster, carry a big payload, etc.
For Ukraine, this capability has proven essential to prosecute time-sensitive targets at range with higher chances of success, and European countries should provide more support to Kyiv's domestic missile segment to scale the production of Neptune and other systems.
Last night, Ukraine’s Defense Forces struck an airfield in the Voronezh region. Four Su-34 aircraft were destroyed and two more Su-34s were hit. The Russians used them to terrorize our people. These very warplanes were ready to launch new attacks on Ukraine and were loaded with aerial bombs.
Our Long Neptune missile was used to strike the target. I thank the warriors of the Ukrainian Navy for their precision!
Our long-range sanctions also reached a site in the Oryol region used to store and launch attack drones. A target was also hit in the Black Sea.
These are our justified responses to all of Russia’s terror against Ukraine. Russia is dragging out the war, so our long-range operations will continue.
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These very much resemble an upgraded version of the Spys from Quantum Systems/Wiy
Taras Chmut, head of Ukraine’s Come Back Alive Foundation, has shown a batch of interceptor drones purchased to counter Russian jet-powered Shahed drones.
Neither the model nor the manufacturer was disclosed. This is one of several types of interceptors used by Ukrainian forces against Russia’s jet-powered drones.
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