the precondition for the argument (democrats successfully passing broad legislation against consumer ai in a way that binds so hard that it changes compute allocation substantially) is pretty clearly not in the overton window of things that could happen in the near future
Registering a strong prediction that allyship with the Dems (particularly Bernie) will backfire on the AI safety community in increasingly obvious ways, mostly due to the Dems being able to ban consumer applications of AI but not military, thus resulting in a paradigm with even less oversight and even more RSI (since there will be no economic pressure to spend compute on consumer inference which is necessarily much larger than the entire government).
so i decided "i am going to throw this out-of-distribution finetuning task (highly structured spatial symbolic language w/ audio conditioning) on big MoE vs denses"
same custom tokenizer (meaning, cross entropy is 1:1 comparable) w/ matched data, batch size, LR, & lora rank (16)
bro the autoencoders in sota diffusion models are crude enough to not be preserving the underlying information when encoded as bottleneck latents to begin with, it's probably unrecoverable even in the training data as the model actually saw it
"architectures better than the transformer" happen all the time; you just think of them as modified transformers
gpt3 arch is inferior to baselines with RoPE, which is inferior to baselines with RoPE+SwiGLU, which is inferior to baselines with RoPE+SwiGLU+GQA, and so on
It's really strange, but it feels like @OpenAI is completely obsessed with math. They've poured so many GPUs into researching extremely difficult math problems.
I'm just curious: have they ever used their strongest models to try and find a better model architecture than the Transformer?
here's what the effective rank of the learned projections in a rank 16 lora look like across layers for an 8b model after ~330m trainable tokens
Replying to @kalomaze
lora finetuning regime
blue: 1 epoch over all the data (~90m toks trainable), 1 epoch decay phase over the best data from that same mix (~30m tok subset) w/ WSD schedule
red: same thing, but 2 epochs
yellow: 3ep for first stage, 2ep WSD decay for quality phase
a counterintuitive thing about naive interpretations of the Bitter Lesson as meaning "specialist models bad"...
in principle, if you have a general agent model, the agent can search over inductive-bias symbol programs towards data & execute GOFAI-likes better than humans could




















