Today Physical Superintelligence PBC is announcing a proof of the Aaronson-Ambainis conjecture, one of the central open problems in quantum complexity, with major implications for quantum computing speedup. psi.inc/research/aaronson-am… Thread 👇

Nov 6, 2026 · 2:05 PM UTC

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Last month, PSI solved five long-standing problems in quantum information theory. Now, we resolve one of the most fundamental questions in quantum computing: when can quantum computers be exponentially faster than classical ones by an exponential margin?
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Scott Aaronson and Andris Ambainis had connected this question to a conjecture about polynomials. If true, quantum computers are at most polynomially faster than classical ones unless the inputs satisfy a special condition, such as the exponential structure in Shor's algorithm.
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PSI proved this conjecture is true: that bounded polynomials of low degree have influential variables. The influence of a bit is the average change in a polynomial's value when the bit is flipped.
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We formalized and checked the proof using Lean, a proof assistant language commonly used for machine verification of mathematical results. The manuscript and the Lean formalization are public here: github.com/physical-superint…
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We discovered the proof with a research system we developed internally, in a run on our own infrastructure, leveraging a non-public Anthropic model. @DavidTurturean at PSI led this work. The proof builds on ideas of Shachar Lovett and Jiapeng Zhang, of David Reimer, and of others.
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Guy Blanc (of MIT), Jordan Docter, Carmen Strassle and Li-Yang Tan (of Stanford), who settled a special case of the conjecture's classical simulation consequence in August, have been reading our proof and are writing a short exposition of it. They wrote to us:
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"This is a huge result. It resolves a decades-old conjecture with important implications for the nature of problems that admit quantum speedups. The proof draws on and extends several lines of work in the analysis of boolean functions and probabilistic combinatorics. Everything is brought together in a rather magical way.”
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We built PSI as the AI-native laboratory fueling the physics takeoff, leveraging physical superintelligence to vastly expand the pace and scale of research physicists can pursue. Come build with us. psi.inc/
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你们能不能他妈的先说清楚结论: 这项研究证明了,对于绝大多数没有特殊规律的随机问题,量子计算机无法获得指数级的计算优势。
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The Aaronson–Ambainis Conjecture holds the #388 spot overall on my list of the top 500 open problems in math and ranks #4 in the Quantum Information & Computation category. proofatlas.ai/open-problems/
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This took longer than I thought. 10 minute, one shot explanation of Aaronson-Ambainis conjecture
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Holy moly, this is insane 🤯 An AI system using an unreleased Anthropic model (Fable 5.5 🔥) helped crack an 18-year-old quantum computing conjecture in 3 days. Basically, this helps us figure out which problems quantum computers can actually be way faster at. And if AI can crack decades-old math in days, imagine how fast science could move from here.
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Congrats to the entire @psipbc team!
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214k views in 5 hours, the research crowd is paying attention lol
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Great work! (and unfortunate conclusion)
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Incredible work 🫡
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@grok can you summarize this and the consequences of this like I am really really dumb? Will quantum computers be more or less likely be the default computers for the future after this?
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Congratulations!!!
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lol is this a joke? You guys can’t be serious.
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@grok are STARKs now fuked?
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Excellent. 👏
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using lean to check it is the real flex here
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This is deep. It means you cannot just simplify ANY math problems with quantum computing. Quantum computers can only help with certain problems, and you have to find the algorithms one by one.
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A proud investor, Board Observer, and Strategic Advisor so proud of the team and the many more successes to come.
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How they think we react to their fake hype posts.
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Congratz yall. 🤯
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I’ve noticed that most ML models take quantum mechanics as a solved problem, and so they can build a “proof” out of thin air. What’d be interesting is if someone built an adversarial model and tore down quantum mechanics using a super deterministic axiom. I suspect it’d tear everything down, it’d shut down these expensive contraptions funding, and it’d be glorious.
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Isn’t this means the doom for general quantum computing?
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Insane! Congrats PSI
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@grok what was the Aaronson-Ambainis conjecture? Why was is a problem? And what as the proof?
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@grok maybe this will help 👇
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Lean accepting the formalisation is a real check, & it is a check of a specific thing: the formal statement. Whether that statement matches the conjecture as mathematicians state it is the part an internal audit carried, & peer review has not tested it yet.
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