Dimi Reider | dimireider.substack.com (@reider) header
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Senior Fellow @oandbinstitute, Berkeley. Co-founder @972mag, founding ed @theleaduk. Bylines @nytimes,@foreignaffairs, @haaretz etc. ๐Ÿ—ฃ๏ธ "raider" (not "rider")

Views mine, RTโ‰ โค, he/him.
Joined March 2008
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๐ŸงตSome thoughts re where we're at: 1. Hamas committed war crimes on Saturday. 2. Hamas war crimes are not justified by Israel's war crimes. 3. Hamas war crimes don't justify Israeli war crimes, before or since. 4. Calling out Hamas war crimes doesn't invite Israeli war crimes.
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Netanyahu's operation goes from spin to tailpsin. Channel 14 is blaming (yep: not crediting, but BLAMING) the nascent, potential Arab-Jewish coalition for already making Israel safer. "Iran is avoiding terror attack so as not to undermine an Arab-supported government."
ืื•ืœื™ ื–ื” ืจืง ืื ื™, ืื‘ืœ ืขื“ื™ืฃ ืขืจื‘ื™ื ื‘ืžืžืฉืœื” ื•ืื™ืŸ ืคื™ื’ื•ืขื™ื, ืžืืฉืจ ื™ืžื ื™ื ื‘ืžืžืฉืœื” ื•ืื– ื˜ื‘ื— ื”ื›ื™ ื’ื“ื•ืœ ื‘ื™ื”ื•ื“ื™ื ืžืื– ื”ืฉื•ืื” ืœื?
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This is the third public warning from Eisenkot to Netanyahu, but the first since the election. Easy to dismiss as a gimmick, but more likely Netanyahu is cooking up a provocation vs Iran again, and Eisnekot once again found out.
๐Ÿ’ฅ#Breaking: Leader of the Israeli parliamentary majority and former IDF Chief of Staff @Gadi_Eisenkot sends "Outgoing PM Netanyahu" a letter of stark warming about alleged illegal orders to the military: "Deploying security forces when there is no clear and present, immediate threat could have devastating consequences for Israeli democracy and for citizensโ€™ trust in the institutions of government. Do not put the chiefs of security agencies in a hard constitutional clash or leave them in any doubt about what is required of them and what the correct course of action is."
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A week later: "Trying to get to work, stuck in traffic lol"
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Vital time capsule of Netanyahu's spin machine going into full gear to LEGITIMISE a coalition with Mansour Abbas - -- - - when it was Netanyahu trying to bring him into a Likud-led government, in 2021.
ืžื” ืงืจื” ื‘ืขืจื•ืฅ 20(ื”ื™ื•ื ื–ื” ืขืจื•ืฅ 14) ื‘ื–ืžืŸ ืฉื ืชื ื™ื”ื• ื ื™ืกื” ืœื”ืงื™ื ืžืžืฉืœื” ืขื ืžื ืกื•ืจ ืขื‘ืืก ื‘-2021. ืคืชื—ื• ืจืžืงื•ืœื™ื ื•ื”ื›ื™ื ื• ืืช ื”ื“ืจื‘ื•ืงื•ืช๐Ÿช˜ *ื›ื•ืœืœ ื‘ื•ื ื•ืก ืขืžื™ืช ืกื’ืœ
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๐Ÿšจ Chair of the Shomron Regional Council (umbrella local authority for Israeli settlements in the north of the occupied West Bank) says he's been detained by French border control and barred from entering the country.
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Achord once again poll Lieberman voters (enormous sample - 4500 respondents from his voting pool alone, bigger than many Israeli national political polls). Unequivocal result: VAST preference for Palestinian-led parties over Haredis as coalition parties.
ืื– ืžื” ื‘ืืžืช ืžืขื“ื™ืคื™ื ื‘ื•ื—ืจื™ ืœื™ื‘ืจืžืŸ? ืžื—ืงืจ ืขื ืง (ืžืขืœ 4500 ืžืฉืชืชืคื™ื) ื—ื“ืฉ ืฉืœื ื• ื‘ืืงื•ืจื“, ื‘ื”ื•ื‘ืœืช ื“"ืจ ืืœื™ืขื ื” ืื‘ื™ืฆื•ืจ ื‘ื“ืง ื–ืืช. ืฉื•ืจื” ืชื—ืชื•ื ื”: ืžืฆื‘ื™ืขื™ ื™ืฉืจืืœ ื‘ื™ืชื ื• ืžืขื“ื™ืคื™ื ืžืžืฉืœื” ื‘ืชืžื™ื›ืช ืจืข"ื, ื•ื”ื—ืœื˜ืช ืœื™ื‘ืจืžืŸ ืชืฉืคื™ืข ืขืœ ืชืžื™ื›ืชื ื‘ื• ืชืงื•ืคืช ื”ืจืฆื”: 8โ€“11 ื‘ื ื•ื‘ืžื‘ืจ 2026 ื”ืžืžืฆืื™ื ื›ืืŸ: achord.center/PostelecNov26Lโ€ฆ ืขื™ืงืจื™ ื”ืžืžืฆืื™ื: โ€ข 59% ืžืžืฆื‘ื™ืขื™ ื™ืฉืจืืœ ื‘ื™ืชื ื• ื•-80% ืžืžืฆื‘ื™ืขื™ ื’ื•ืฉ ื”ืฉื™ื ื•ื™ ืžื•ื›ื ื™ื ืœื”ืงื™ื ืžืžืฉืœื” ื‘ืชืžื™ื›ื” ืžื‘ื—ื•ืฅ ืฉืœ ืจืข"ื, ืื ื–ื• ื”ื“ืจืš ื”ื™ื—ื™ื“ื” ืœื”ืงื™ื ืžืžืฉืœื” ืฉืœ ื”ื’ื•ืฉ. โ€ข 59% ืžืžืฆื‘ื™ืขื™ ื™ืฉืจืืœ ื‘ื™ืชื ื• ืžืขื“ื™ืคื™ื ืžืžืฉืœื” ื‘ืชืžื™ื›ืช ืจืข"ื ืขืœ ืคื ื™ ืžืžืฉืœื” ืขื ื”ื—ืจื“ื™ื ืฉืžื—ื™ืจื” ืคื˜ื•ืจ ืžื’ื™ื•ืก (41%). โ€ข ื›ืฉืžื•ืฆื’ื•ืช ืืจื‘ืข ืืคืฉืจื•ื™ื•ืช, ืžืžืฉืœื” ื‘ืชืžื™ื›ืช ืจืข"ื ื•ื‘ื”ื™ืžื ืขื•ืช ื”ืžืฉื•ืชืคืช ื”ื™ื ื”ื‘ื—ื™ืจื” ื”ืจืืฉื•ื ื” ืฉืœ ืžืฆื‘ื™ืขื™ ื™ืฉืจืืœ ื‘ื™ืชื ื• (33%) โ€“ ืœืคื ื™ ืจื•ื˜ืฆื™ื” ืขื ื ืชื ื™ื”ื• (29%), ืžืžืฉืœื” ืขื ื”ื—ืจื“ื™ื (19%) ื•ื‘ื—ื™ืจื•ืช ื ื•ืกืคื•ืช (19%). โ€ข ื›ืš ื’ื ื‘ืงืจื‘ ื›ืœ ืžืฆื‘ื™ืขื™ ื’ื•ืฉ ื”ืฉื™ื ื•ื™: ื›ืฉืžื•ืฆื’ื•ืช ืืจื‘ืข ืืคืฉืจื•ื™ื•ืช, ืžืžืฉืœื” ื‘ืชืžื™ื›ืช ืจืข"ื ื•ื‘ื”ื™ืžื ืขื•ืช ื”ืžืฉื•ืชืคืช ื”ื™ื ื”ื‘ื—ื™ืจื” ื”ืจืืฉื•ื ื” ืฉืœ ืžืฆื‘ื™ืขื™ ื™ืฉืจ! (54%), ื‘ื™ื—ื“ (50%) ื•ื”ื“ืžื•ืงืจื˜ื™ื (94%), ื•ื‘ื›ืœืœ ื’ื•ืฉ ื”ืฉื™ื ื•ื™ (57%). โ€ข ื‘ืงืจื‘ ืžื™ ืฉื ื—ืฉืคื• ืœื”ืฆื”ืจืช ืžื ืกื•ืจ ืขื‘ืืก ืฉืขืœ ื—ืžืืก ืœื”ืชืคืจืง ืžื ืฉืงื• ื”ื”ืขื“ืคื” ื‘ืจื•ืจื” ืขื•ื“ ื™ื•ืชืจ: 38% ืžืžืฆื‘ื™ืขื™ ื™ืฉืจืืœ ื‘ื™ืชื ื• ื‘ื•ื—ืจื™ื ื‘ืžืžืฉืœื” ื‘ืชืžื™ื›ืช ืจืข"ื, ืœืขื•ืžืช 27% ื‘ืจื•ื˜ืฆื™ื” ืขื ื ืชื ื™ื”ื•. โ€ข ืœื™ื‘ืจืžืŸ ื™ืจื•ื•ื™ื— ืื ื™ืืคืฉืจ ื•ื™ืฉืœื ืžื—ื™ืจ ืื ื™ื—ืกื•ื: ืื ื™ืืคืฉืจ ืžืžืฉืœื” ื‘ืชืžื™ื›ืช ืจืข"ื, 38% ืžืžืฆื‘ื™ืขื™ื• ืื•ืžืจื™ื ืฉื”ืกื™ื›ื•ื™ ืฉื™ืฆื‘ื™ืขื• ืœื• ืฉื•ื‘ ืขื•ืœื” (20% โ€“ ื™ื•ืจื“). ืื ื™ื—ืกื•ื ืื•ืชื”, 34% ืื•ืžืจื™ื ืฉื”ืกื™ื›ื•ื™ ื™ื•ืจื“ (18% โ€“ ืขื•ืœื”). โ€ข ืื ืœื ืชืงื•ื ืžืžืฉืœื”, ืžืฆื‘ื™ืขื™ ื™ืฉืจืืœ ื‘ื™ืชื ื• ื™ืืฉื™ืžื• ืืช ืœื™ื‘ืจืžืŸ ื™ื•ืชืจ ืžื›ืœ ืžื ื”ื™ื’ ืื—ืจ โ€“ 18%, ื›ืžืขื˜ ืคื™ 3 ืžืืœื” ืฉื™ืืฉื™ืžื• ืืช ืื™ื–ื ืงื•ื˜ (7%). โ€ข ื‘ืงืจื‘ ืžื™ ืฉืฉืงืœื• ืœื”ืฆื‘ื™ืข ืœื™ืฉืจืืœ ื‘ื™ืชื ื• ื•ื‘ืกื•ืฃ ื”ืฆื‘ื™ืขื• ืœืžืคืœื’ื” ืื—ืจืช ื”ืชืžื•ื ื” ื—ื“ื” ืขื•ื“ ื™ื•ืชืจ: 65% ืžืขื“ื™ืคื™ื ืžืžืฉืœื” ื‘ืชืžื™ื›ืช ืจืข"ื ืขืœ ืคื ื™ ืžืžืฉืœื” ืขื ื”ื—ืจื“ื™ื, ื•-47% ืื•ืžืจื™ื ืฉื”ืกื™ื›ื•ื™ ืฉื™ืฆื‘ื™ืขื• ืœืœื™ื‘ืจืžืŸ ื™ื•ืจื“ ืื ื™ื—ืกื•ื ืื•ืชื”. ื‘ื™ืžื™ื ื”ืงืจื•ื‘ื™ื ื ืคืจืกื ืžืžืฆืื™ื ื ื•ืกืคื™ื ืžื”ืžื—ืงืจ. Stay tuned
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Good step in the right direction, if not yet indicative of whether Raam will be in the coalition or not.
The Knesset approves temporary committee appointments, granting Ra'am a seat on the Foreign Affairs and Defense Committee
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The parliamentary blitz is underway w Eisenkot MK Roy Folkman appointed as chair of the Arrangements Committee (a kind of transitional House Committee). Likud was planning to filibuster this and any other legislation, but so far managing only to heckle and get kicked out.
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Generally, the soon-to-be opposition is mostly being cringe. Note the faces of the civil servants on either side of @Roy_Folkman here- exactly the faces of experienced but exhausted nursery teachers letting toddlers get tantrums out of their systems: xitter.twitterapi.xyz/Knesset99/status/21205โ€ฆ
Replying to @Knesset99
ืžื”ื•ืžื” ื‘ื•ื•ืขื“ื” ื”ืžืกื“ืจืช: ื—"ื› ื˜ืœื™ ื’ื•ื˜ืœื™ื‘ ื›ื™ื ืชื” ืืช ื—"ื› ื•ื•ืืœื™ื“ ื˜ืื”ื "ืชื•ืžืš ื˜ืจื•ืจ", ื—"ื› ืืœืžื•ื’ ื›ื”ืŸ ื›ื™ื ื” ืืช ื—ื‘ืจื™ ื”ืื•ืคื•ื–ื™ืฆื™ื”: "ืื ืฉื™ื ืชื•ืžื›ื™ ื˜ืจื•ืจ, ืืœื™ืžื™ื"
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reassuringly, this is complete garbage. almost comical. if it wasn't for the piano sound, you think it's a succession of discarded ringtones. listen to it and imagine hearing it in MIDI.
I asked Claude Fable 5.2 to write a Beethoven-style piano sonata movement in LilyPond. It wrote the score, recorded it, and made this video. Every note you see is from its source file.
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PSA - made you a Twitter List of all the active accounts associated with the non-Netanyahu bloc of parties (including the binational Palestinian-led bloc and the Haredis). xitter.twitterapi.xyz/i/lists/21201092566743โ€ฆ
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This is only surprising if you see Israeliness as a linear spectrum. But both sets of parties have complex histories w the Israeli state; and Abbas has often looked to Shas specifically as an inspiration for what a sectorial party can do for its community, and nationally.
ืžื ืกื•ืจ ืขื‘ืืก ืœืจื“ื™ื• ื-ืฉืžืก: ืดื”ืžืกืœื•ืœ ืฉืขืœื™ื• ืขื•ื‘ื“ื™ื ื›ืขืช ื”ื•ื ืฉืชืดืค ื‘ื™ืŸ ื”ืžืคืœื’ื•ืช ื”ื—ืจื“ื™ื•ืช ื•ืจืขืดืž, ืขื ืจืฉืช ื‘ื™ื˜ื—ื•ืŸ ืžื”ืžืฉื•ืชืคืช. ืื™ื ื ื• ื™ื›ื•ืœื™ื ืœืคืจื˜ ื•ืœื“ื‘ืจืด
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Just an extraordinary performance by Netanyahu yesterday. Shaking with fury. Borderline incoherent. The strangled grunt of a parasite on the body politic being pried away from power at last.
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ืขื‘ื“ ื‘ื™ืœื” ื™ืžื™ื ืกืคื•ืจื™ื ื‘ืžืจืชืคื™ ื”ืฉื‘"ื›, ืขืœ ืœื ื›ืœื•ื. ืชืงืฉื™ื‘ื• ืœืื™ืžื”. ืœืื™ ื™ื“ื™ืขื”. ื–ื” ื™ื•ื ืื• ืœื™ืœื”? ืžืชื™ ืื ื™ ืืจืื” ืืช ื”ื™ืœื“ื™ื? ืขื•ื“ ืฉื‘ื•ืข? ืฉื ื”? ืื™ ืคืขื? ื•ืขื›ืฉื™ื• ืชื—ืฉื‘ื• ืขืœ ื”ืขืฆื•ืจื™ื ื”ืคืœืกื˜ื™ื ื™ื ืฉื ืขืฆืจื• ื‘ื“ื™ื•ืง ื‘ืื•ืชื” ืฆื•ืจื”, ืœืžืฉืš ืฉื ื™ื. ืื• ืฉื ืขืœืžื• ื‘ืืžืช. ืื•ืœื™ ื”ื ื™ื•ืฉื‘ื™ื ื‘ืžืจืชืฃ ื”ื‘ื ื™ื™ืŸ ืœื™ื“ื›ื, ื‘ืชื ืขื ื ื•ืจื” ืžื”ื‘ื”ื‘ืช.
"ื—ืฉื‘ืชื™ ืขืœ ื”ืชืจื—ื™ืฉ ื”ื’ืจื•ืข ื‘ื™ื•ืชืจ, ืฉืื ื™ ืœื ืืฆื ืžืžืจืชืคื™ ืฉื‘"ื›, ืฉื™ืขืœื™ืžื• ืื•ืชื™" ืขื‘ื“ ืื‘ื• ืฉื—ืื“ื”, ืฉื ืขืฆืจ ื‘ืืžืฆืข ื”ืœื™ืœื”, ื ื—ืงืจ ืขืœ ืขืžื“ื•ืชื™ื• ื”ืคื•ืœื™ื˜ื™ื•ืช ื•ืฉื•ื—ืจืจ ื‘ืœื ื›ืœื•ื, ืžืชืืจ ืืช ืฉื—ื•ื•ื” ื‘ืžืขืฆืจ ื•ื’ื ืžื ืชื— ืืช ื”ืžื’ืžื•ืช ื”ืคื•ืœื™ื˜ื™ื•ืช ื•ื”ื”ืฆื‘ืขื” ื‘ืฆื™ื‘ื•ืจ ื”ืขืจื‘ื™ | ื”ืื–ื™ื ื• ืœืคื•ื“ืงืืกื˜ "ื”ืฉื‘ื•ืข" ืขื @liorkodner
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Ben Gvir, little shit that it is, heckles Youssef Jabarin during his oath.
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Well, the neutrality of the ceremony lasted about half an hour: outgoing Knesset speaker Amir Ohana uses his last speech to attack the Palestinian-led parties for disloyalty. He gets a smattering of applause.
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๐ŸšจNetanyahu has taken his place in the Knesset for the swearing-in. First public sighting in 14 days.
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NB: He completely evaded the press gang, and afaik was not filmed walking to his seat (unscripted videos in run-up to elections would show him being supported when standing up and followed closely by bodyguards with hands hovering around his waist to break any potential fall.)
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Knesset ceremony has begun. No Netanyahu just yet.
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Yashar: We have reached the statutory requirement ofr 61+ votes to immediately replace the Knesset speaker, and will file the motion 4pm local (while MKs are being sworn in.) Likud activists Jan-6ing Knesset to prevent this scenario have so far failed to materialise.
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