
International criminal law, international courts, transitional justice, rule of law | Professor of international law @OU_Nederland | highly obscure bands
Amsterdam
Joined May 2013
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🚨 This concerns States' negotiating positions and the Dutch + others' openness to compromises. It could also be a diplomatic game to buy time. Meeting such demands would require major Rome Statute amendments re complementarity, jurisdicition, and immunities: a collective effort.
Disturbing report @TheRightsForum about 🇳🇱 bending over backwards to accommodate the Trump administration over the ICC. I hope it is untrue. Yet the report is based on reliable diplomatic sources in New York, speaking on condition of anonymity.
rightsforum.org/en/diplomati…
Disturbing report @TheRightsForum about 🇳🇱 bending over backwards to accommodate the Trump administration over the ICC. I hope it is untrue. Yet the report is based on reliable diplomatic sources in New York, speaking on condition of anonymity.
rightsforum.org/en/diplomati…
It's disappointing to hear that 🇳🇱 is prepared to even contemplate such compromises. This effectively throws the ICC under the bus: a risk many of us, including @TriestinoM & myself, have warned against:
@AJEnglish share.google/exDXfcQ5QacrVxN…
@TheRightsForum share.google/PTRFPn7YTJWcgdd…
Sergey Vasiliev retweeted
UNICEF: Three children aged four, five and eight were killed with their mother over the weekend when a sand dune collapsed onto their tent in Deir al-Balah, central Gaza, after heavy rainfall.
Sergey Vasiliev retweeted
I hope you are all sleeping safely in your homes, surrounded by your families. I hope every child has warm clothes and every parent can provide the care their children need.
I hope your children have umbrellas, raincoats, and rain boots for school. I hope your cities are prepared to respond to winter emergencies.
Of course, sharing this news will change nothing for our families in Gaza, just as the warnings issued days ago changed nothing.
Tonight, at 8:30 p.m., as families slept on the ground inside their tents, a massive landslide of soil and rocks buried at least two families in Deir al-Balah.
The victims have been identified as:
Habiba Hossam al-Zain, 4 years old
Reem Hossam al-Zain
Ibrahim Hossam al-Zain
Salah Nabhan, 7 years old
Mariam Nabhan
The mothers of these five children remain in critical condition.
The father of the first three children had already been killed by Israel.
I hope everyone has heat in their homes.
"Brussels should not assume that the Democrats are natural allies. In January 2025, 45 House Democrats voted for a Republican bill to sanction the ICC. Senate Democrats subsequently blocked it, partly because of concerns about its breadth and its consequences for US businesses
and allies."
The clock is ticking: Europe is running out of time to save the International Criminal Court - Christine van den Wyngaert @euobs
euobserver.com/247689/the-cl…
"Our position is that we should do this as soon as possible. It’s an instrument that is reasserting European sovereignty”—Registrar @IntlCrimCourt
This has been going on for 21 months now.
"Top ICC official urges Europe to shield court from US sanctions"
ft.com/content/4e02a663-9e21…
Sergey Vasiliev retweeted
Novaya Gazeta, holding its final editorial meeting-- and taking down portraits of slain employees. The renowned Russian newspaper is vacating its Moscow offices and formally closing today. End of an era.
A country on the receiving end of a war of aggression should say "thank you" and show "great respect" for the aggressor state to stay in Trump’s good graces. Bonkers.
Sergey Vasiliev retweeted
The images of kids submerged in freezing floodwater, in flimsy tents that won't survive another winter, make me SICK.
I think of Primo Levi’s words that every European learns by heart at school - only to forget when entering politics or diplomacy.
The shame of our time.
Marco, who disappeared into a sofa during the Trump–JD v. Zelensky spat in the Oval Office and became the mendacious, self-righteous public face of the campaign to dismantle and sanction the ICC and punish its officials 'to protect Bibi etc', will soon lose his personal immunity.
Marco Rubio expected to step down and launch bid to be next US president ift.tt/aZG8swE
And so Vance begins the presidential campaign
One of the things the data analysts on our side obsessed over was "composition"—whether the electorate looked close enough to 2024 for Republicans to win. And despite polls that showed a Democrat blowout, the data kept on telling us the same story: in some states turnout was merely OK, in other states it was downright amazing, and in no state was it catastrophic. There was a genuine sense of optimism on our team: our people were showing up.
So, I asked the smartest data guy I know, does that mean we're going to shock the world? "No," he told me. "We might do better than the polls suggest. But the data is telling us that a lot of Trump/Vance 2024 voters are pissed and planning to vote for the other guys. Our voters are turning out, but they may not vote for us."
Well, that looks prophetic now. Our voters did show up. In Florida, for example, the electorate was 9 points more Republican than Democrat, just a couple points worse than 2024. Undoubtedly there were places we could have done better on turnout. But the main problem is not turnout. The main problem is that many people who voted for Trump/Vance in 2024 voted for Democrats in 2026.
There will be a lot of infighting and arguing over what happened and why that is. One of the pollsters I really respect told me that our economic messaging wasn’t sharp enough down the stretch. I’m sure that’s true.
But the real reason we lost is obvious to almost everyone.
Another pollster—one of the smartest people I know in politics, told me yesterday we’d lose the generic ballot by 13 points. I felt negative going into Tuesday, but even I was shocked by this. In his polling, he saw that a lot of Trump 2024 voters were angry and planning to vote for Democrats. He asked those voters who had abandoned us what would cause them to come back on our team. The top four answers, accounting for nearly all of the responses were:
1) End the war
2) Focus on cost of living/inflation
3) Put America First
4) Change our relationship to Israel
Our voters showed up. And the above four reasons are why many of them voted for Democrats. This is according to a pollster who nailed the results. While many spent Monday attacking Rachel Campos Duffy for calling for a diplomatic resolution to the conflict, it turns out her political advice was sound. (She’s also a great person.)
In the next few months, there's going to be a lot of gaslighting. Expect to hear any number of establishment politicians say the solution to our woes is amnesty. I'm open to the idea that we should change enforcement—by focusing more on businesses that hire illegal labor, for instance. But anyone pushing amnesty is lying to you.
The reason we lost is the war. The president himself said so last night.
If you'd like to argue it was worth it, that losing the Senate for the next 6 years was worth it, then do so. Argue it was a worthwhile cost to pay. Agree or disagree, that's at least honest.
But everyone knows why we lost. And any honest conversation about where we go from here must start there.
I remain hopeful about our country. To the people who are pissed off and want to say, “I told you so”: you’re right, you did tell us so. Take that energy into electing Republicans who share your worldview. To the people who are just pissed at the results, you should be. Let’s take that anger and get back to the work of saving our country.
An angry lame duck? Foreign leaders may indeed be gripped by fear, unsure who or what he'd target next: Iran, Brazil, EU, ICJ, or the UN as such.
"Lame duck or angry duck? Europe’s leadership largely silent on Trump’s election disaster, fearing backlash"
euobserver.com/246872/lame-d…
There appears to be no end to the war crimes committed by the Russian army in Ukraine. Keeping track, documenting them is a necessary step toward accountability when the time comes. That time will come.
Sergey Vasiliev retweeted
The Genocide in Gaza and Israel’s Deliberate Targeting of Children
One of the most difficult events @SOAS that I have organised in the last 2 years: Powerful interventions by Commissioner Chris Sidoti, Nick Mynard @maynard_nick & Michelle Staggs
youtube.com/watch?v=RLNraZFh…
















