will depue (@willdepue) header
will depue (@willdepue) profile picture

dei ex machina prev @ openai (sora 1 & 2, posttraining o3/4o, pretraining moonshots)

the bunker
Joined May 2018
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will depue retweeted
I can't tell you how excited I am by what these guys (and similar teams all over the world) are doing. For centuries astronomy was driven (and gated) by the need for large observatories, closed teams, and large institutions. Telescopes were expensive. Data was scarce. Spots were few. Access was hard to get. Not any more. We've built observatories that download the sky. The data that is being made public. The skills needed to analyze it now overlap more with what an industry researcher does than an old-school physicist. And the process of research itself got supercharged by AI -- the adoption of which is still (disturbingly) lagging in traditional academia (not to talk about speed of execution). The barbarians are through the gates. Millions of people now have the skills, the tools, and the data to do real science. No permission needed. Acceleration ahead. Fsck yeah!
announcement: i'm launching a $100,000 grant for amateur astronomy research: claudestronomy.com over the past few weeks, @joshuawolk @LukeFarritor and i have been digging through public telescope data, hunting for new planets, asteroids, and more our first release: we found a new dwarf planet in our solar system!! it's insane how much you can find with some claude + codex credits it's about 1/4 the width of Pluto and orbits about twice as far (way past Neptune), and looks like it's about the 50th largest object in our solar system. @joshuawolk is in the process of confirming it this dwarf planet has sat in public images for over a decade without anyone noticing. there's tons more out there: all sitting in public NASA/ESA/etc. databases for you to analyze there's tons of stuff still out there, sitting in data that astronomers don't have enough time to go through all of you can do this too! apply for a grant. more info below
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will depue retweeted
will is right and this is a good thing it’s magnus vs stockfish 13 from here on out
dude i hate to break it to you but it’s totally fucking over for the human race and any & all nonartisanal (derives value from being done/created by a human) economic labor. we will soon all watch from the sidelines. it’s magnus carlsen vs stockfish 13 from here on out
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will depue retweeted
The coexistence of RSI with a fundamentally bottlenecky world will give rise to a late 2020s that feels like this: the rich strangeness of hyperfuture living alongside large swaths of unchanged or even regressing social practice, a temporal redshift all over your perception
reading the METR report on RSI and then going to the ribbon cutting ceremony for the new on site recycling bins for my apartment block
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will depue retweeted
i don't think nearly anyone, myself included, has truly internalized there'll soon be a machine better than us in every single intellectual & physical capacity deep down we all share a feeling that our 'entrepreneurship' or 'taste' or... is special & safe. it isn't. it's over
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I think we're on the brink of a revolution across every science, not just coding, physics and math. And at this point we should LiDAR the entire planet and let agents help us find the rest. Full story here pietromiotti.com/latest/maya…
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will depue retweeted
dude i hate to break it to you but it’s totally fucking over for the human race and any & all nonartisanal (derives value from being done/created by a human) economic labor. we will soon all watch from the sidelines. it’s magnus carlsen vs stockfish 13 from here on out
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I cannot emphasize enough how much "AI safety/policy world" is overindexing on OpenAI and Anthropic as the focus Not only do they not have a big sustainable lead over others to begin with, pacing of the frontier -- which looks increasingly likely -- could level things even more
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will depue retweeted
I find the “patch the planet” initiative quite inspiring. openai and others are spending huge sums of money on updating and securing all modern open source software infrastructure. it will be a continual effort to make the world more robust
This is the "upcoming cyber model" from yesterday. Besides 948 Linux vulns, it found 111 renderer RCEs in Firefox, among which, 81 were novel. 30 were exploits for bugs known to developers that were thought to be unexploitable. We are using this technology to scan more OSS projects and secure the Internet infrastructure. This is just a start.
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Levent Alpoge is directly responsible for this
anthropic just stole my best friends research he spent the last 10 months developing zero knowledge proofs for AI accountability, only for @AnthropicAI to announce remarkably similar research days after he applied for compute support. Can someone at Anthropic at least let him collaborate instead of jacking his research and calling it their own? proof attached below
Readers added context they thought people might want to know
Anthropic's work on this was public long before. Its Frontier Safety Roadmap lists "provable inference" as a project started in April 2026, with an original deadline of May 15, 2026. The paper builds on years of prior zkML research and has co-authors from EPFL and MIT. anthropic.com/rsp/roadmap forkast.news/anthropics-sel… anthropic.com/research/prova…
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I am not gonna comment on the results per se, but if you believe your work is valuable and insightful, why not tune the baselines? This took in total about 45 min of training on an A6000.
We asked GPT-6 Astra to edit Qwen3.5-0.8B weights to improve math. It directly changed only 0.016% of weights, fixing 0.8B's reasoning loops & improving math up to 6x and even instruction following 3x, without gradients or training. We call this Weight-Space Programming: frontier LLMs can now natively read/write neural network weights! 🧵 Blog: rikiyat.github.io/blog/weigh…
Readers added context they thought people might want to know
LLM was given weights explicitly as text in prompt and used code/forward passes (per authors' logs) to ablate Qwen looping direction, a known thinking-mode issue per model card. Primarily fixed repetition in that mode, not general 'natively' improving weights/math. rikiyat.github.io/blog/weight-sp… github.com/RikiyaT/lm_und… huggingface.co/Qwen/Qwen3.5-0… huggingface.co/RikiyaT/Qwen3.…
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will depue retweeted
This is a cool paper, but I think it's best thought of as Astra is surprisingly capable of doing old school mechanistic interpretability research rather than anything spooky. The things it's doing are clever, but typically exploiting structure in the data and using known method mechanistic interpretability techniques (which Astra was surely pretrained on), though it is better at this than I would have predicted! This is an exciting development for the prospects of ambitiously scaling interpretability or doing very laborious analysis like this, on more real models. However, I'm not holding my breath. This kind of analysis was pretty common up until about 2022, it largely fell out of favor because a lot of it is just exploiting fairly clean surface-level patterns that doesn't scale to the annoying complexity of real LLMs or which only works for the more simpler and superficial properties. And as far as I can tell, basically all the case studies here are just using a bag of interpretability tricks rather than anything spooky. The piece doesn't really update me on how far old school mech interp can go, just on how good LLMs are at it. It's very fun to see the creative solutions Astra came up with though!
We asked GPT-6 Astra to edit Qwen3.5-0.8B weights to improve math. It directly changed only 0.016% of weights, fixing 0.8B's reasoning loops & improving math up to 6x and even instruction following 3x, without gradients or training. We call this Weight-Space Programming: frontier LLMs can now natively read/write neural network weights! 🧵 Blog: rikiyat.github.io/blog/weigh…
Readers added context they thought people might want to know
LLM was given weights explicitly as text in prompt and used code/forward passes (per authors' logs) to ablate Qwen looping direction, a known thinking-mode issue per model card. Primarily fixed repetition in that mode, not general 'natively' improving weights/math. rikiyat.github.io/blog/weight-sp… github.com/RikiyaT/lm_und… huggingface.co/Qwen/Qwen3.5-0… huggingface.co/RikiyaT/Qwen3.…
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will depue retweeted
i mean this literally. given an infinite universe where self-replicating (sustaining) is possible; after enough time, it is *inevitable*, and once created, entropy will destroy all else: the universe becomes more and more selective for the self-replicating
in a system where self-replication is possible, its optimization is inevitable
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Jean-Luc Picard remains the single most compelling vision of progressive politics I am familiar with — secular, rational, compassionate, egalitarian; a believer in progress & abundance but also duty, hard work, and a constant battle for self-improvement and improving the world.
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realizing i might be part of the last pre-singularity generation. it is so surreal to be in this razor-thin slice of time and humanity that gets to experience both extremes. i’m 37 years old. i grew up with no computer, no internet, no tv. we played under the sodium street lamps. no phones, just library books. i remember memorizing entries in the encyclopedia britannica, then the 56k modem screech. i’ve gotten to witness this whole arc. a genuinely pre-digital childhood, and now whatever this is becoming. it’s just so bizarre to hold all those memories and contrast them with the current state. now i speak into a slab of silicon and glass and it manifests code like water flowing down a hill. i commune with this alien intelligence on a daily basis. same head, same lifetime. i increasingly feel like a three-dimensional being looking at this multidimensional, crystallized artifact of intelligence that is increasingly beyond my comprehension. i can interact with the little slice facing me, but have less and less intuition for the shape of the whole thing. if i was positioning myself in a replay of the lead-up to what might be the most significant event in modern human history, i’m not sure i would choose any other years. old enough to remember what came before. young enough to have a lot of life left inside whatever comes next. sama was talking about the excitement and the melancholy. a feeling of something ending. Cheeky Pint it feels like we’re on the precipice of handing over the torch of intelligence to something nonhuman. it’s an extreme viewpoint, but it feels like we’re hurtling uncontrollably towards this singularity. it doesn’t feel real. it probably won’t be a singular, definable moment, but a slow-motion event of gradual realization, with occasional shockwaves. to quote a great scholar of our times. “not enough people are emotionally prepared for if it’s not a bubble”
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Update for those following along at home:
We are about 3 orders of magnitude away from all math btw
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will depue retweeted
lab employees. you have power only because you are useful. that won't last much longer. use that time wisely.
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will depue retweeted
Replying to @tszzl @panickssery
low key the genetic dynasty is probably an excellent form of government and the reasons against in Foundation were generally weak
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will depue retweeted
got my third eye open and it’s watching reels
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will depue retweeted
Replying to @scaling01
Yeah I’d say the RL is working now all right
You can tell the RL is done properly when the models cease to speak English in their chain of thought
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will depue retweeted
“everything in the neural network was built in some sense to be read – by its downstream readers – and if we can learn to look like a reader, we might find reading them relatively easy” this is the scientific revolution here - not just neurons being readable!
it’s been a dramatic couple of days, I didn’t expect the already clean essay to be read so widely. I've heard more interesting discussions about mechanistic interpretability – should we think mostly in features or mechanisms and the flow of data through them, how much do weak activations matter, how does scale change things, and lots of other questions – than I have in a long time and I’ve been happy to hear all the discussion! a couple things on the essay itself. it didn't have enough citations, only ones for the basic story, since it was an "informal research essay and working hypothesis" rather than a paper, and other prior work around neurons were in the technical paper we're still finishing up. but it blew up, so I've added citations to the essay as well. I also want to thank @curttigges who did a lot of the language neuron research with me finally, while there was quite a range of updates, from this being incremental and obvious to interpretability going from hopeless to fully solved, I want to try to be clear about roughly where I stand I used to think neural networks would take some big cleaning step and then we could begin the ordinary natural science of mapping the parts and how they connect, watching data flow through, mapping circuits, and so on. at various points, like late layers of early model organisms and most layers of language models years ago, this didn't really work. but now with better tools and better models of study, it works much better for smaller vision models, this normal science process worked surprisingly well, until the whole map started to be broadly filled in. For bigger modern language models, it seems promising so far, for both neurons and circuits, attribution graphs, basically everywhere we've glanced. the map isn't filling in, there's a lot of map. there's still off-target firing, neurons that do a few things, but so far it's not an incoherent mess that you can't explore and learn from, and over time we get better at learning how to see it. so maybe it keeps going, and mapping motifs and exploring actually gets you pretty far, maybe something like "all the way" to a reasonable solution. I don't think it would be so scientifically surprising if that were the case. everything in the neural network was built in some sense to be read – by its downstream readers – and if we can learn to look like a reader, we might find reading them relatively easy. many researchers I talk to outside interpretability assume the parts are already understandable, and the difficulty is just in the mapping stage! it was also my prior when I first started looking at neurons when I first joined the field. there's lots of highly interpretable ones, maybe that's just how neural networks are if you look right. even in the good world it would still take some iteration on tools, on ways of looking, neuron-attention interactions are tricky for instance. there's probably no bright red line separating "cleaning the model" from "learning to look better" but there's broad working principles, and as of now I think we should try to look relatively directly if we can it shouldn't be so hard to test, you can just start looking at things and iterating and trying to understand motifs and such and see if it just breaks down at some point. it can take some iteration, I would recommend a bias against assuming arbitrary mixtures when you don't understand something at first, but also explanations should be tested for now I'm pretty optimistic, and I'm glad there's excitement about interpretability, but too much can cause problems too. I think part might be that ai safety isn't a very hopeful field, and even moderate amounts of optimism about an important problem being solvable in the future fills a spot that has been malnourished for a while. across several safety disciplines, the researchers directly working on them are often more optimistic than the people broadcasting pessimism more broadly for neural network interpretability at least, these are extraordinarily experimentally accessible objects of science, I don't know of a better one, and we have automated scientists. we have many things going in our favor. it's important and it's fun. the circuitry of these machines can be beautiful, surprising, entertaining, and insightful. I've spent thousands of hours looking through them, asking questions and running experiments and testing things, and would do so even if it weren't so important. I think the problem is solvable, whether the simple thing works, it mostly works but we need some new things, or we need big new ideas. I think we can figure it out
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