Remember that you don’t call a race when you’re 95% sure about who’s going to win. You call it when you’re 100% sure.

Nov 11, 2026 · 4:14 AM UTC

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No, they’re definitely treating this race differently for some reason. There have absolutely been race calls by leading networks in the past where it was mathematically possible for the outcome to flip, just practically impossible.
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I’d understand it if there was a mandatory recount but MS doesn’t have one. This is callable.
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This is just not how race calls work lol. If that were true no competitive race would ever be called until the very last vote is counted
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That’s just obviously not true. It might be higher than 95. But it’s lower than 100. Or else you’d wait for cert each time. You certainly wouldn’t call any race ever at poll close.
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I'm 100% sure Scott Colom has won. But glad they are taking their time to count most of the votes (sickening that Mississippi struck so many voters to inactive & tossed so many affidavit votes). The longer we have to wait, the more MS SoS Michael Watson's corruption is revealed.
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dude, she has NO path and still nobody’s it… what’s going on here? is everybody afraid of a court or the governor stepping in?
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What is the point of calling it? Why not just wait until the sos certifies?
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And we are 100% sure Scott is going to win. (Jokes aside, you can’t be 100% sure of anything, but Cindy has no realistic path to victory. That has been clear for days now, and it is an immense disservice to both Colom’s campaign and to the people of Mississippi not to call it.)
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It's not actually 100% that's the threshold. Maybe 99.9%
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Where are there 4000+ ballots that CHS could feasibly win by a 95-5% margin?
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Philosophically I agree, in practice CHS has effectively no chance of winning and this race should've been called days ago (AK-GOV should also be called at this point as well).
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I cannot imagine thinking CHS has a 5% chance that this point tbh. I can't imagine thinking she has a 1% chance even
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I mean 95% is dramatically undershooting it. Everyone is pretty much 99.9% sure what the outcome will be.
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No. The concept of calling an election is to use your brain and compare it to other elections and multiple precsints in the same district to make a projection that estimates the result. The « 99% » sure, no path to win, is such a dumb american bullshit.
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I think it depends on the organization? I think it's useful to have orgs with a 95% threshold, and orgs with a 98% threshold, and orgs with a 99.9% threshold.
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