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Most people meet bitcoin at the top of a cycle, buy on excitement, and then get blindsided by the first bear market. What I told family offices in Hong Kong: map out the regimes first and have a plan for each one. In the down years, yield strategies can quietly beat just holding. The hard part is knowing which regime you're in.
@Mangrove_AI @BitcoinForCorps @JackLeePV @BitcoinMagazine @TheBitcoinConf @Bitcoinconfasia @Strive @Strategy
"Toyota makes 10 million vehicles a year. We could probably sell a lot more than that."
Jim Adler of Toyota Ventures says robots are about making more and better cars, not getting people out of factories. From @DaveBlundin's physical AI panel at MIT: youtube.com/watch?v=3pwU6XGL…
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Investor Class Mindset: Mental Models Series
Why doesn't the casino fear a guy on a hot streak?
Law of Large Numbers
Jacob Bernoulli's proof came out in 1713.
Flip a coin 10 times and you might get 7 heads.
Flip it 10,000 times and you land near half.
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Keep eyes on the debt crisis....
Matt Cole argues Bitcoin's returns could ACCELERATE as the debt crisis worsens...
@ColeMacro explains why that possibility changes how he thinks about amplification.
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If you're waiting for AI to get cheap enough to try, here's the truth. Epoch AI says the cost of a fixed skill level has fallen about 47% each quarter since 2023.
What would you practice for 30 days if the meter barely moved?
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Big news.
Coming off BTC Amsterdam, it's exciting to see steady adoption in Europe, too. @BitcoinForCorps
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Could not have said it better.
Chris Giancarlo continues to lead the way in educating TradFi on what's coming from DeFi and blockchain based capital markets
JUST IN: 🇺🇸 Former CFTC Chairman Chris Giancarlo says "the genie is out of the bottle" on crypto, and it’s going to consume the entire financial system 👀
"Wall Street itself is now adopting digital network technology as its very architecture." 🚀
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fascinating
Replying to @patrick_oshag
Both markets are still early relative to who could use them.
About 1 in 3 overweight adults qualify for a GLP-1 today. About 1 in 100 are taking one.
For AI, about 2% of people online pay for it.
"You don't have to have rich parents."
@garrytan on why @ycombinator now gives $500,000 when it once gave $18,000: so anyone with an idea can come meet them for 10 minutes. Full talk with @WalterIsaacson: youtube.com/watch?v=aq1H71h-…
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👏👏
Vlad Tenev (@vladtenev) is the co-founder and CEO of Robinhood.
In January 2021, in the middle of the meme stock frenzy, Robinhood's deposit requirement went from under $100 million to "something like $3 billion" almost overnight. The total capital the company had ever raised was about $700 million.
His first call was to @mickymalka:
"He's like, 'How much do you need?' I said, 'I don't know, 250 million, 500 million. I'm not sure.' He's like, 'I've got it.'"
Back in March 2020, the two of them had put a term sheet in place so the money could be "wired in your account same day." Once Micky was in, everyone else followed: "We probably had $10 billion of demand at the first term."
"It was a consequence of too much success, which is quite rare."
Vlad came to America from Bulgaria at 5, not knowing a word of English. His grandparents stored their wealth in copper cookware during hyperinflation. His dad told him he'd give him his SAT score in dollars to invest. He went on to study math under Terence Tao, then took a leave from his $18,000-a-year math PhD to take a shot at starting his own company.
This was an awesome conversation:
0:00 Why Ribbit passed on Robinhood's seed round
2:19 "You're going to want me on your board"
5:35 The day-long trading outage of March 2020
9:22 A term sheet for a crisis that hadn't happened yet
15:00 Crypto goes from zero to a top revenue stream
16:27 The $3 billion deposit requirement
18:35 "Vlad, you have to call work right away"
21:34 The first call: Micky Malka
24:31 "Time kills all deals"
25:33 Number one app in the App Store, ahead of Instagram and TikTok
27:01 $10 billion of demand
29:33 Hyperinflation and copper cookware in Bulgaria
35:34 "Manhattan just seemed like science fiction"
47:15 His SAT score in dollars to invest
50:53 Studying under Terence Tao
1:00:22 "You want to be businessman, huh?"
1:03:48 The best parts of math without the bullshit
1:05:56 Would I be proud of this in 50 years?
Includes paid partnerships.
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Investing Lessons, practice, practice, practice
"We are what we repeatedly do. Excellence, then, is not an act, but a habit." Will Durant
"I think that's a good sign that markets are rallying on bad news." Tom Lee
@fundstrat @CNBCClosingBell
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Anthropic's IPO range of $70 to $78 a share would value it at up to $1.4 trillion fully diluted, with trading expected around Nov 19.
What price would make you a buyer?
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Interested in connecting your Agent to the markets?
Learn about Agents + Mangrove + Markets here
mangrove.ai/agents/
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Investor Class: Mindset
"A climate of fear is your friend when investing; a euphoric world is your enemy."
Warren Buffett
Stay patient. Stay rational.
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Same hill, different ride. Guardrails keep your strategy on track when the market gets icy. @Mangrove_AI
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🤯🤯
SpaceX is making moves to become the first AI carrier $SPCX
• Current cell towers are still mostly “dumb” radios. The Qualcomm deal is about making them AI-native.
• Edge inference at the tower, like an updated Akamai for AI
• Starlink Direct-to-Cell and V3 satellites alongside the terrestrial build
Qualcomm’s CEO said the SpaceX agreement is finalized — not an engagement. SpaceX will build the base stations. Qualcomm supplies the silicon and the RAN accelerator for a terrestrial network he called one of the largest 5G deployments in the United States, with an AI-native architecture.
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Investor Class Mindset: Mental Models Series
Would you drive a 10 ton truck over a bridge rated for 10 tons?
Margin of Safety
Ben Graham boiled sound investing down to these three words.
Pay well below what a thing is worth.
Then your math can be off and you still get across.
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You can now trade on Mangrove's Grokbot in places previously thought impossible....
Welcome to the "traders who travel" movement....
x.ai/bot/VOfh5y4jlFGbZQMxbGs…
Explore Mini 2 in real-time 3D. We wrote our own 3D renderer to achieve the fidelity and performance we needed to make this awesome.
starlink.com/mini-2
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incredible. the world is more connected than ever.
Starlink Mini V1 vs Starlink Mini V2
• ~40% thinner
• 1.6 kg with battery and kickstand (vs 1.16 kg)
• Built-in 71 Wh battery enabling 4.5 hours of connectivity
• Total size is about the same (~7% more total area)
• 50% more WiFi coverage
• Tougher materials enabaling more durability
• 60W USB-C charging (no more proprietary plug)
• WiFi 6
• Quick-release battery system. You can buy multiple batteries.
• Same IP67 rating
Mini V2 will enable connectivity anywhere, even when there’s no power. Game changer.
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