Hindsight Capital LLP πŸ§ πŸ“ˆ (@hindsightllp) header
Hindsight Capital LLP πŸ§ πŸ“ˆ (@hindsightllp) profile picture

Don't be fooled by randomness. Think with your brain, love with your heart.

Joined August 2018
Photo by Hindsight Capital LLP πŸ§ πŸ“ˆ (@hindsightllp)Photo by Hindsight Capital LLP πŸ§ πŸ“ˆ (@hindsightllp)Photo by Hindsight Capital LLP πŸ§ πŸ“ˆ (@hindsightllp)Photo by Hindsight Capital LLP πŸ§ πŸ“ˆ (@hindsightllp)Photo by Hindsight Capital LLP πŸ§ πŸ“ˆ (@hindsightllp)Photo by Hindsight Capital LLP πŸ§ πŸ“ˆ (@hindsightllp)Photo by Hindsight Capital LLP πŸ§ πŸ“ˆ (@hindsightllp)Photo by Hindsight Capital LLP πŸ§ πŸ“ˆ (@hindsightllp)Photo by Hindsight Capital LLP πŸ§ πŸ“ˆ (@hindsightllp)Photo by Hindsight Capital LLP πŸ§ πŸ“ˆ (@hindsightllp)
There's no genius behind @FundsmithLLP - a simple Quality screen (portfolio of 25 high quality stocks, rebalanced every 6 months, equal-weighted) is identical. @DividendGrowth anyone can achieve this with discipline.
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NYU Prof. Aswath Damodaran, the world's leading valuation expert and AI skeptic, on the β€˜AI will triple GDP’ hype: β€œReal GDP growth has been lower globally over the last forty years than it was before PCs. All this stuff that claimed to make us more productive just redistributed wealth rather than make us all more wealthy.”
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You can still have an EARNINGS bubble
The Nasdaq traded at 60Γ— forward P/E before the dot-com bust. Today, it’s at 17Γ—, its cheapest in 4 years. Sure, whether earnings hold up is debatable. But this is a fear-driven drawdown, not a fundamentals-driven one. Enough with the lazy dot-com comparisons and fearmongering.
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Arnold on why muscles grow: hold the contraction until the muscle has to respond. β€œWhen it responds, it grows. Now if you just do the motion, nothing happens.” Stop going through the motions πŸ”₯
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it's time boys
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The S&P 500 is down less than 6% from its all time peak close. This is not even a bear market yet. (Bear market =20% down...) Hey - its not even a correction yet. (10% down...)
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Shielded Bitcoin: Private Transfers on Bitcoin L1
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Honestly, turn the entire world into one giant data centre if this is the kind of content get in return.
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Filed under "things you commonly hear near the lows"
Obviously no one will be correct about every investment opportunity- But the warning signs for $PEP have been there for the last few years… and I’ve been pointing them out. The main issue has been capital allocation along with declining volume. The company is returning roughly $8.9B to shareholders via buybacks and dividends while free cash flow generated is substantially lower. That combined with the acquisitions be made leads to a rapidly declining balance sheet. From a fundamental perspective, things are going to turn around over night. Don’t let the attractive dividend metrics deceive you.
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This chart is a masterclass in why management fees matter. Without hedge fund fees: $42,000+ With hedge fund fees: ~$4,000 Buffett didn't just beat the market – he let investors keep the gains. If you could only hold ONE stock for the next 30 years without touching it, what are you picking?
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When a 47-year-old lawyer agreed to pay 90-year-old Jeanne Calment every month until she died in exchange for her apartment, the mathematics must have looked irresistible. He had made one catastrophic miscalculation. Jeanne Calment apparently had no intention of dying. The deal was struck in Arles, France, in 1965. AndrΓ©-FranΓ§ois Raffray would pay her 2,500 francs each month. When Jeanne died, the apartment would become his. She was already 90. What could possibly go wrong? Thirty years later, Raffray was dead. Jeanne was still alive. His widow had to keep paying her. By the time Jeanne finally died, the family had reportedly paid more than twice the apartment's value. But that is only one absurd chapter in a life that stretched from 1875 to 1997. Jeanne was born before the Eiffel Tower existed. As a teenager in Arles, she claimed to have encountered Vincent van Gogh and remembered him rather unromantically as ill-tempered and smelling of alcohol. She lived through two world wars. She rode a bicycle until about 100. She lived independently until 110. At 114, she appeared in a film about Van Gogh, becoming the oldest actress on record. And despite becoming history's greatest symbol of longevity, Jeanne was hardly a model of perfect living. She loved chocolate. She drank port. She smoked for decades and finally quit at 117, reportedly because deteriorating eyesight made lighting cigarettes difficult. At 120, reporters asked what sort of future she expected. β€œA very short one,” she replied. She was wrong about that too. Jeanne Louise Calment died on August 4, 1997. She was 122 years and 164 days old. No other human lifespan has ever been authenticated beyond hers. And the lawyer who once bet financially on her dying first had been gone for two years. #archaeohistories
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Stop comparing Leopold Aschenbrenner to Bill Hwang... Hwang is the GOAT of degenerates and Leopold is a sheep compared to him Did you know that Hwang turned $200M to $36B and it was ALL personal capital? This guy literally led prayer circles in the conference room before trading days started He had $160B stock exposure on just $36B of capital His blowup happened in two days and he literally caused the collapse of one of the most prestigious investment banks Banks lost a total of $10B combined because of his collapse Leopold is nothing compared to Bill
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Hindsight Capital LLP πŸ§ πŸ“ˆ retweeted
New w/ @PranjalDrall: Private Credit's State Backstop: How Private Equity Socializes Risk Through Insurers. It's about how insurance insolvency, tax, and financial-regulation law have subsidized PE's takeover of life insurance and become the submerged law of private credit.
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What will Elon Musk, Restore and Reform say to this?
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Man... Chamath is such a prick. He's back to steal more money. If you could go back in time, would you do the SPACs again? "I wouldn't have come on CNBC and talked about them." Wait, you're talking about your current project (on CNBC)? "This SPAC is different..."
Honestly, I feel retarded... I've worked hard, been smart, but now apparently, people like @chamath have stolen millions of Dollars from complete morons. That's what @chamath thinks of you... He thinks you're fucking retarded for giving him money... but he gladly takes it.
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Sensationalism: 3.5 million views Facts: 6.2 thousand views
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Need to actually read this Fundsmith letter to believe it - wild stuff
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I don’t want to hear about my carbon footprint ever again. xitter.twitterapi.xyz/SawyerMerritt/status/2…
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πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ There are 79 vape shops on the Home Office’s public register of licensed visa sponsors. β€˜Guardian Vapes Ltd’ in South Shields is licensed to sponsor overseas workers via the β€˜Skilled Worker Visa’ route. 🧡1/3
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