GIS & Election Science | @DecisionDeskHQ GovCast | Political Analysis Across the Globe
Florida, USA
Joined July 2021
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Jake Marks retweeted
Republicans realized the danger here far too late in the campaign. As a result, their turnout was not there to match the wave, and Hyde-Smith's inferior candidate quality sealed the deal.
Decision Desk HQ projects Scott Colom wins the MS US Senate General Election
#DecisionMade: 6:28 PM EST
Follow live results here: votes.decisiondeskhq.com/rac…
Jake Marks retweeted
Julia Letlow held Louisiana's Senate seat for Republicans, beating Jamie Davis by 1.8 points (about 25,800 votes) in a state Trump won by 22
Davis carried 2 of 6 districts on the 2024 congressional map, but just 1 of 6 on the new one
@DecisionDeskHQ
Julia Letlow held Louisiana's Senate seat for Republicans, beating Jamie Davis by 1.8 points (about 25,800 votes) in a state Trump won by 22
Davis carried 2 of 6 districts on the 2024 congressional map, but just 1 of 6 on the new one
@DecisionDeskHQ
Jake Marks retweeted
Mississippi elected a Democrat to the Senate for the first time since 1982
Scott Colom beat Cindy Hyde-Smith by 0.5 pts, a 23.4-pt swing from 2024. He's the state's first Black senator since Reconstruction
He outran every House Dem but won 1 of 4 districts
@DecisionDeskHQ
Mississippi elected a Democrat to the Senate for the first time since 1982
Scott Colom beat Cindy Hyde-Smith by 0.5 pts, a 23.4-pt swing from 2024. He's the state's first Black senator since Reconstruction
He outran every House Dem but won 1 of 4 districts
@DecisionDeskHQ
Jake Marks retweeted
Decision Desk HQ projects Scott Colom wins the MS US Senate General Election
#DecisionMade: 6:28 PM EST
Follow live results here: votes.decisiondeskhq.com/rac…
Jake Marks retweeted
Original @USCPolFuture @uscdfelab polling data presented at @hammer_museum. Explains how Democrats won the Prop50 districts, the role of redistricting nationwide, and pitfalls for both the Dem and GOP parties going into the 2028 elections xitter.twitterapi.xyz/christiangrose/status/…
What happened in the midterm elections in California? "Donald Trump is super unpopular" and the issues that mattered were fighting Trump, cost of living/economy, and ICE/immigration. I talked about our @USCPolFuture @uscdfelab polls at the @hammer_museum w/ distinguished panelists. Watch the full discussion here-->
youtu.be/ZU-986KE7No?t=1868
Jake Marks retweeted
Hindsight is 20/20: NC Republicans could have easily drawn a 9R-5D or even a 10R-4D map that would have withstood a blue tsunami (by drawing one more safe Dem seat in the Triad). Instead, by trying for a 11R-3D map, they're on track to end up in a 11D-3R hole.
Jake Marks retweeted
In my second post, I look at what's shaping up to be the biggest upset of the 2026 cycle: Scott Colom's (likely) victory in the Mississippi Senate race.
ebwinter.substack.com/p/the-…
Jake Marks retweeted
If Dems gain AK and MS, the 2026 Senate elections would be the most seats lost by the GOP since 1986 (If you don’t include pickups, it’s really since 1958!)
Despite this monumental loss, John Thune will remain as Leader of Senate Republicans
Very interesting development
If Dems gain AK and MS, the 2026 Senate elections would be the most seats lost by the GOP since 1986 (If you don’t include pickups, it’s really since 1958!)
Despite this monumental loss, John Thune will remain as Leader of Senate Republicans
Very interesting development
Jake Marks retweeted
In a Democratic wave year, Tina Kotek still ran almost 5 points behind Kamala Harris in OR's Gov race
She won Oregon 53–44, but not one county moved toward her
Biggest drops being in Clackamas (R+9.4), Benton (R+8.4) and Washington (R+7.3)
@DecisionDeskHQ
In a Democratic wave year, Tina Kotek still ran almost 5 points behind Kamala Harris in OR's Gov race
She won Oregon 53–44, but not one county moved toward her
Biggest drops being in Clackamas (R+9.4), Benton (R+8.4) and Washington (R+7.3)
@DecisionDeskHQ
Jake Marks retweeted
Marsha Blackburn won Tennessee by 2.6 points but lost six of its nine congressional districts.
In five of those, voters backed Democrat Jerri Green for governor and a Republican for the House. Hagerty carried all nine in the Senate.
@DecisionDeskHQ
Marsha Blackburn won Tennessee by 2.6 points but lost six of its nine congressional districts.
In five of those, voters backed Democrat Jerri Green for governor and a Republican for the House. Hagerty carried all nine in the Senate.
@DecisionDeskHQ
Jake Marks retweeted
The blue wave hit Florida, and Florida managed to hold on
Donalds holds the governorship for the GOP, and Republicans keep both chambers in Tallahassee. But Democrats picked up 16 House seats and broke the supermajority for the first time in years.
@DecisionDeskHQ
The blue wave hit Florida, and Florida managed to hold on
Donalds holds the governorship for the GOP, and Republicans keep both chambers in Tallahassee. But Democrats picked up 16 House seats and broke the supermajority for the first time in years.
@DecisionDeskHQ
Jake Marks retweeted
Can Hegseth be impeached?
The House will vote on Rep. Massie’s articles by Wednesday, and its possible
Total removal is a different story. Conviction needs 67 senators, which would mean 20 GOP votes. Even after Democrats take the Senate in January, it would still take 11–13
Can Hegseth be impeached?
The House will vote on Rep. Massie’s articles by Wednesday, and its possible
Total removal is a different story. Conviction needs 67 senators, which would mean 20 GOP votes. Even after Democrats take the Senate in January, it would still take 11–13
