Michael A. Blum (@mablum) header
Michael A. Blum (@mablum) profile picture

President @Hedgeye @Hedgeyeam, Original @Firefly_Space Co-Founder. Tweet about Markets, NewSpace/Moon/Mars & the threat posed by the CCP.

Las Vegas, NV
Joined January 2009
Thanks to @arstechnica for highlighting this super interesting company @argolunarwater in their newsletter last week. Argo was founded by 3 brothers who used to work at SpaceX. "The propulsion system is basically a small rocket that uses hydrogen and oxygen as propellants. However, instead of launching with separate tanks of liquid hydrogen and liquid oxygen, the satellite carries a reservoir of liquid water. In space, the vehicle uses solar power to split water into hydrogen and oxygen gases and burns them to generate thrust."
1
302
Price wars are great for customers. Ask the shareholders. @RPKInvestor says the AI pricing war between Anthropic, Google, OpenAI and SpaceX is far from over. Before you buy the AI story, figure out whose margin pays for it.
The pricing war between Anthropic, Google, OpenAI, and SpaceX is far from over. @RPKInvestor
1
8
425
Carney's best defense: China is a bigger risk to America than to Canada. That's the problem, not the excuse. Canada's own inquiry named Beijing the most persistent foreign interferer in its democracy. Risk you assign to your neighbor is still risk. He meets Xi Nov. 17. theglobeandmail.com/politics…
1
2
350
Michael A. Blum retweeted
JUST IN: Jim Cramer says $NVDA is trading at its cheapest valuation in a decade and now is the time to buy.
6
4
2
32
7,167
Michael A. Blum retweeted
Replying to @Hedgeye @mablum
Beyond the technical edge and how I read market dynamics, Hedgeye taught me what matters more: discipline, accountability, work ethic and transparency, rare in this industry. It raised the standards of my whole life, not just my career. A better person makes a better investor.
1
1
169
The fastest-growing AI customer doesn't sleep, doesn't churn and isn't human. Agents passed people in token usage in February. Now it's not close. The question is who captures that spend. @HedgeyeComm takes on Anthropic Monday.
AI agents now consume far more tokens than humans
3
3
610
Every AI bubble eventually becomes a cash flow chart. @HedgeyeDJ just posted CoreWeave's free cash flow for the last 8 quarters. Revenue is the story. Free cash flow is the receipt.
CoreWeave free cash flow last 8 quarters.
3
1
8
831
Best compliment in research: a PM who could buy anything and pays for one thing. @DougKass on why @Hedgeye is the only outside research his fund subscribes to. As a co-founder, that's the review that matters.
Chip: In this tweet I will briefly explain why my hedge fund @seabreezelp has only one outside research subscription - and that is to @hedgeye lengthy suite of products. I will also defend and explain my strong support of @KeithMcCullough and his (hockey) tough, hard hitting approach to marketing and delivering Hedgeye's recommendations and points of view. I graduated with an MBA from Wharton where I learned how to model companies and be a fundamental security analyst. I became Kidder Peabody's housing analyst where I perfected my analytical craft. From there I moved to Putnam where I followed financials and ultimately was an Economist. In the above capacities I differentiated (I was always far from the herd) myself by avoiding "group stink" and offering a contrarian view (my first research report at Kidder was a sell recommendation on a very hot mobile home industry sector). My negative industry analysis on Fleetwood, Skyline and Champion homes was 65 pages long. (Later on in my career I appeared in Alan Abelson's Barrons column more than 50 times, delivering contrarian and often bearish analysis. I wrote five editorials for Barrons and was featured on the cover as well as writing editorials in The Financial Times- almost always of a non consensus bent. The common denominator at the two jobs (Kidder and Putnam) was hard hitting and differentiated research. At Putnam in the 1970s, it was an era of "stock pickers" led by Fidelity Magellan's Peter Lynch and my boss Putnam's Jerry "The Chief" Jordan. Over time (and decades later), active management lost favor and passive investment management took over. Peter Lynch and Jerry Jordan's funds were replaced by Index funds (ETFs, Quant Funds and Pods) that worshipped not on fundamental analysis but at the altar of price momentum. Company spread sheets (modelling) were partiallly replaced by algorithms and machines - who know everything about price but nothing about value. I recognized the metamorphosis of the investment business and needed and sought a way to introduce quantitative measurements to complement my fundamental security analysis. I discovered fractals and, in time, the best practitioner for integrating fractals and quantitative analysis into my fundamental Stock Market equation - @KeithMcCullough at @hedgeye. Earlier I referenced Hedgeye's suite of products. I also actively utilize their fundamental research product which is differentiated and often contrary. ($MTP, an investment short at our fund, was brought to my attention by Hedgey's research, there have been many others). They don't follow the institutional script. As to Keith's delivery - it reflects what he is up against, an institutional community of research which is non differentiated and conflicted... and panelists and guests on business media that are generally perma bullish, non rigorous, inconsistent in process, don't time stamp, takes no ownership of oft repeated losers and (invariably) leads retail investors to large drawdowns in every single cycle "when the tide goes out" (in part because they have no risk management discipline). They are generally "talking heads" who polish their images (for free) in @CNBC and elsewhere - regardless of contribution or degree of value. Let me make it clear Chip - going up against the establishment is a difficult endeavour. Succeeding in the manner in which @hedgeye had done is next to impossible. Whereas @DivesTech @fundstrat and sell side research firms like Goldman Sachs and Bankamerica "pay for play" and are invited daily on FIN TV, a contrarian shop is not. They don't have access as they piss off the establishment. And in the case of @hedgeye they dont want to go on Fin TV. Let me give you a metaphor. My sister Deb Kass is an extraordinary famous artist. She started out competing in an all male art world in the late 1970s. She and other female artists had virtually no or limited access to gallery shows which mainly exhibited male body of work. As such she faced near insurmountable hurdles. But she persevered and produced brave, outspoken and unique product and has become a legendary figure in the art world - her next retrospective will be at The Barnes Museum in Philly next year. (She taught at Yale for many years, Keith graduated Yale - something also in common). And like @KeithMcCullough she fought hard, is tough and was her best salesperson. Oy yo, baby! (I am referencing her famous Oy Yo sculpture which resides on the front lawn of the Brooklyn Museum of Art, in the front of the Jewish Museum in Philadelphia and at the Iris Cantor Cultural Center at Stanford University. @DeborahKaty Chip, you tweeted that in supporting Keith I am complicit. I have no clue what you even mean. Nonetheless, I hope you now understand my subscription and defense of @hedgeye @RPKInvestor @HedgeyeDJ - and why I totally disagree with your characterization of Hedgeye and myself. The difference between you and me - on this subject -is that you deliver fifteen words of view whereas I expand my explanation so you and other people fully understand my position.
1
427
The PLA Air Force just joined X. Ordinary people in China still can't. Free speech for the jets. The Great Firewall for everyone else.
Tuesday marked the 77th anniversary of the founding of the People's Liberation Army (#PLA) Air Force. To mark the occasion, at 11:11 am, the PLA #AirForce announced that it had opened official accounts on four major overseas social media platforms. #PLAAF #SOARTOGUARDPEACE #CHINAAIRFORCE globaltimes.cn/page/202611/1…
1
372
Michael A. Blum retweeted
🚨 WE'RE GIVING AWAY $51,605 IN HEDGEYE RESEARCH. SIX WINNERS 🥇 1 Pro Risk Manager ($15,000) 🥈 2 Macro Pro ($10,000 each) 🥉 3 Premium Pass ($5,535 each) How has Hedgeye made you a better investor? Tell us below. Best replies win. Winners announced on Wednesday 11/18!
52
4
29
14,249
Michael A. Blum retweeted
“Adaptability, flexibility, and above all, humility, are necessary to survive and prosper when investing.” — Sam Rahman @Hedgeye_HGRO, Early Look 11/6/26
2
8
3,129
SpaceX isn't buying airwaves. It's buying the inside of your house. The FCC just opened review of its 546-license 800 MHz deal. Low-band reaches inside buildings, the weak spot of satellite-to-phone. The carriers' moat was never towers. It was spectrum.
1
4
514
Michael A. Blum retweeted
The ROC Report
5
5
40
10,517
Michael A. Blum retweeted
Congressional momentum for passing strict restrictions and oversight on chip exports to China has never been higher. This is the opposite of what Nvidia and the Chinese Communist Party wanted. Seems like their operation backfired spectacularly.
The AI race with China is all about who has the best and most chips. There are four main ways China gets access to chips: 1.) Buying them directly from US companies like Nvidia. 2.) Illegally smuggling them from other countries into China. 3.) Accessing them remotely through the cloud from data centers located in places like Southeast Asia. 4.) Building their own domestic chips in China. The Chinese military has used advanced chips to further its capabilities while undermining our national security, and the Chinese government has used these chips to strengthen its totalitarian surveillance project. Congress has a generational opportunity in this year’s NDAA to pass bipartisan bills that would address all four of the pathways through which China acquires chips. While we need a full assessment of the damage done to our national security by recent revelations, we can begin today by setting a better course. No excuses. No apologies. Let’s get this done.
10
40
3
148
10,653
Michael A. Blum retweeted
Watched it. Great conversation between two big picture investors. I made it a point to stop what I had going on & watch it live.
1
1
1
3
5,530
Earlier today I said housing was frozen. Now it's cracking. @Hedgeye: the median U.S. home-sale price just fell for the first time in over 3 years. Sellers held out on price while listings piled up. Buyers just won the argument.
The median U.S. home-sale price fell for the first time in over 3 years.
2
2
13
710
Another Trump-Xi meeting, and the deliverables are already pushed to the next one. SCMP: few concrete results expected at APEC in Shenzhen next week; the big items wait for the G20 in December. Beijing's favorite trade weapon isn't rare earths. It's the calendar.
2
676
Michael A. Blum retweeted
From October's monthly recap, Tory speaks on the national debt increasing by 2.5 trillion in just 12 months. "Until the economy really turns, you are not going to outpace the debt". Tory also speaks on Hedgeye's prediction of the market changing to a quad 4, where inflation and growth are both decreasing. For the Full Video: youtube.com/watch?v=8Gm9ZlRy… For more information: silvergoldinsights.com/ #gold #silver #preciousmetals
1
2
285