Avery retweeted
Uhhh ok euro.. Strongest cutoff low I have ever seen modeled. This will most likely NOT happen btw.
Avery retweeted
Why the change from my original forecast of a much warmer December?
Models have the PV coming over to the western hemisphere for the start of December. This isn't gonna be a start to finish torch for December strong El Nino's are typically known for.
WHAT'S COMING DOWN THE ROAD?
As we get near and especially as we pass Thanksgiving, the weather pattern is likely to get wet in the east. The sub-tropical jet stream ramps up, and it looks like as we head into a early December, there may be some cooler shots.
This would at least give mountain areas a decent shot for snow, and IF we can line it up just right, areas further south along I95 may be in play as well. Regardless, expect more frequent precipitation as we head into December.
Avery retweeted
The Long Range European Model is sending a clear signal if you know how to read it!
#wxtwitter #wxX
Avery retweeted
Both European AIFS (left) and Google WeatherNEXTv3 (right) AI models showing nice Alaskan ridge spike late next week, which is expected to displace cold air southward ahead of the Thanksgiving holiday.
Lack of a corresponding +PNA pattern will likely muddle the pattern with some milder Pacific air. Means we still turn chilly, but the strongest cold tends no to penetrate as far to the southeast as when it links with a PNA ridge spike as well.
Active pattern, but (at least for the DC area) nothing about it is screaming snow threat to me at this time. But we are still talking about 2 weeks out. So we'll monitor how the pattern unfolds and monitor for detail changes.
Avery retweeted
We’ve never seen an El Niño like this one. And it’s possible the gobsmacking heat it’s releasing will push us permanently past a symbolic warming threshold
sciam.com/article/el-nino-wi…
Avery retweeted
WHAT'S COMING DOWN THE ROAD?
As we get near and especially as we pass Thanksgiving, the weather pattern is likely to get wet in the east. The sub-tropical jet stream ramps up, and it looks like as we head into a early December, there may be some cooler shots.
This would at least give mountain areas a decent shot for snow, and IF we can line it up just right, areas further south along I95 may be in play as well. Regardless, expect more frequent precipitation as we head into December.
Avery retweeted
-40°C at 500 hPa is vintage / winter cold at mid-levels for the polar vortex. Even -45°C showing up after forming over/near Greenland.
So, can this Arctic blast "dump out" or not for Thanksgiving? El Niño heavy lean against but worth watching! Days 5-15 from AIFS-Single
Avery retweeted
☃️ Snowy El Niño winter? This map shows where there is model agreement on above-average snowfall in the months ahead.
That includes the Mountain West, Plains, Appalachians, swaths of the South and the interior Mid-Atlantic — and cities such as Denver, Oklahoma City and Atlanta.
Avery retweeted
We are seeing a lot of model noise towards Thanksgiving week. Anything from a strong storm system to Arctic air to both.
The blue below is not snow, it just shows low pressure. I'd watch energy firing off the Rockies starting late next week & then this energy moving East into Thanksgiving week.
Avery retweeted
A message to all sane Republicans:
He pardoned 1,600 violent criminals.
You said nothing.
He bulldozed the East Wing.
You said nothing.
He interfered with the release of the Epstein files. You said nothing.
He took over the Kennedy Center and renamed it after himself. You said nothing.
He accepted a $400 million airplane as a personal gift. You said nothing.
He threatened Canada, Cuba, Denmark, Greenland, Venezuela, Colombia, and Brazil. You said nothing.
He tariffed just about everyone but Russia, causing inflation and instability worldwide. You said nothing.
He attacked a nation during mediated negotiations. You said nothing.
His ill-conceived war killed 175 children on day one. You said nothing.
He alienated and insulted our allies. You said nothing.
His ICE Army terrorized and murdered U.S. citizens. You said nothing.
He committed murder on the high seas. You said nothing.
He co-opted the Justice Department and directed it to prosecute his political enemies. You said nothing.
It’s time to start talking.
Avery retweeted
As we look towards late nov into early Dec, winter looks like it will get off to a quick start if you ask me. Long range models starting to trend towards colder and stormier conditions in eastern 1/3, polar vortex stays weak, active Sub trop jet , and MJO not in a bad spot.
Avery retweeted
El Super Niño sigue batiendo récords. Desde julio, la temperatura se mantiene como la más alta de los últimos 48 años y continúa subiendo.
Aunque parecería estar llegando a su pico, la mayoría de los modelos pronostican que este se producirá en diciembre.
No hay casi duda de que 2027 será el año más caluroso de la historia.
Avery retweeted
BREAKING: The Epstein file is far more horrific than you think, which only makes it clearer why they had to start a whole new war so you could forget about it. The Epstein Victim Just Released Tapes of Donald Trump. See it here….
usaglobe24.com/breaking-the-…
Avery retweeted
Do you believe that Kamala Harris actually won the 2024 presidential election and that she was cheated by Donald Trump, Elon Musk and Vladimir Putin?
Yes or No?
