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Washington @ New York
Malik Nabers Over 67.5 Rec Yards 🟢
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MathODDS retweeted
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Victor Wembanyama over 29.5 points -117👽
Spurs travel to Chicago vs the Bulls in what should be the highest scoring game on the slate. It's no surprise that the Spurs should win easily here and if they're going to do so they'll most likely get a productive night from Wemby. Like most teams, the Bulls have basically nobody to match up to Wemby. Claxton will do his best but I have little hope that Wemby gets slowed down here. Wemby has been the main source of offense for the Spurs anytime he's active his fieldgoal rate currently has him on pace for 22+ fieldgoal attempts and that should give him every opportunity to continue his great offensive performance so far this season. There is blowout concern for this game but if that's the case then Wemby is likely a major contributor. I have Wemby for 33ish points here assuming he plays around 29-30 minutes.
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Another one from the Trends Lab 🧪
Utah Mammoth @ Vegas Golden Knights
Keller +1 assist, -105
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MathODDS retweeted
NBA Pick🏀
1u: Pascal Siakam o24.5 PA (-130)
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He’s averaging 22.2 points and 4.3 assists per game, clearing this line in 7 out of 10 outings.
Given the current injuries that Indiana is facing, the offence primarily relies on him. This has been shown as he’s seeing 6.7 potential assists per game.
He now gets an ideal matchup against Washington, who are giving up the 9th most PA’s (31.3) per game to opposing power forwards.
Taking a look at his short chart, the Wizards struggle to guard the main area’s Siakam scores.
Restricted Area—(36%) 21st
Paint (non RA)—(25%) 18th
Midrange—(12%) 19th
Similar players have also been able to clear this line with ease against them, such as
Scottie Barnes —> 33 PA’s
Caleb Wilson —> 33 PA’s
Evan Mobley —> 26 PA’s
Franz Wagner —> 30 PA’s
John Collins —> 27 PA’s
Given that Indiana likes to push the pace (ranked 5th), if they are capable of keeping this one close, he should have no problems clearing this line with the opportunities he should get.
Projection: 28
🔬| @PropsEdge
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Wizards @ Pacers
Pascal Siakam Over 24.5 PA 🟢
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Darius Acuff Jr. O36.5 PRA ✅ w @tkbpicks
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🔬| @PropsEdge
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NBA Pick #2🏀
1u: Payton Pritchard o3.5 assists (-112)
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Pritchard has dominated his recent matchups against Philadelphia, recording at least five assists in four consecutive games against them.
He’s maintained a strong baseline so far this season with 7.5 potential assists per game, with a 7.6 average over the last five games and a high success rate historically when reaching seven or more opportunities.
Similar players have also been able to clear this line with ease going up against them, such as;
Daniss Jenkins —> 6 ast
James Harden —> 5 ast
Dennis Schroder —> 7 ast
Jalen Brunson —> 6 ast
Taking a look at his assists chart, 21% of them come from the restricted area and Philadelphia has rank 20th defensively. Another 45% comes from above-the-break three-pointers whereas they rank 13th.
This prop has cashed in three straight games for him, a trend that held true even during a shortened appearance where he only played three quarters against Milwaukee.
🔬| @PropsEdge
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Another one from our Trends Lab 🧪
Shane Pinto +1 point, -110
Solid value on this one, worth checking out 👇
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MathODDS retweeted
NBA Pick #2🏀
1u: Payton Pritchard o3.5 assists (-112)
#DifferentHere
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Pritchard has dominated his recent matchups against Philadelphia, recording at least five assists in four consecutive games against them.
He’s maintained a strong baseline so far this season with 7.5 potential assists per game, with a 7.6 average over the last five games and a high success rate historically when reaching seven or more opportunities.
Similar players have also been able to clear this line with ease going up against them, such as;
Daniss Jenkins —> 6 ast
James Harden —> 5 ast
Dennis Schroder —> 7 ast
Jalen Brunson —> 6 ast
Taking a look at his assists chart, 21% of them come from the restricted area and Philadelphia has rank 20th defensively. Another 45% comes from above-the-break three-pointers whereas they rank 13th.
This prop has cashed in three straight games for him, a trend that held true even during a shortened appearance where he only played three quarters against Milwaukee.
🔬| @PropsEdge
NBA Pick🏀
1u: Davion Mitchell o12.5 pts (-130)
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He’s averaging 16.2 points per game while clearing this line in 7 out of 10 outings.
He now gets an ideal matchup against Utah, who’s giving up the 5th most points (30.4) per game to opposing point guards.
Looking at his shot chart, 50% of his points are scored in the paint, and the Jazz rank 18th defending this area. Another 36% scored from above-the-break three-pointers, whereas they rank 17th.
Examining his play type analysis, they also struggle to guard the main ways he scores.
Transition (34%)—11th
Spot-Up (31%)—22nd
P&R Ball Handler (18%)—25th
Given that both teams also rank in the top 10 in terms of pace, I expect him to have plenty of opportunities to clear this line once again.
🔬| @PropsEdge
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Celtics @ 76ers
P. Pritchard Over 3.5 Assists 🟢
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1/3 on our free NBA picks last night...📊
🔹 Wizards +12.5 ✅
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