substrate co-dev, uranomaniac agathist, enfp, अद्वै
Portland, OR
Joined February 2017
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people like to talk talk talk talk talk talk talk talk talk talk talk talk talk talk talk
so much words. so many talk.
watched some interviews with bro & he sounded like a bullshitter to me
guess my intuition was right
later dude
3
107
hey @icreatelife and x friends would you like to see the coolest major arcana tarot deck ever? wil post all soon.
tiny preview
I can just talk to Astra Max all day about anything, if I’m not building a project I’ll never run out of usage.
Wild
sonder berry retweeted
Anyhow, in a little over a week we will see the release of The Last Human Game.
There will never be another AAA game at the scale of GTA 6 with no AI assistance. People will look back at an all-human game with a billion dollar budget and wonder how they did it, like the Pyramids
I could very easily pivot to being an AI doomer, I just choose not to.
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List of ways AI could end life on earth.
Tier 1: Easy to picture
1. Engineered pandemic. It designs a pathogen and gets it made through contract labs or unwitting hired help.
2. Nuclear provocation. It spoofs early-warning systems or deepfakes orders so humans launch at each other.
3. Infrastructure collapse. It takes down grids, water, and hospitals at once, and cities die within weeks.
4. Information war. Perfect tailored propaganda turns nations and neighbors against each other.
5. Starvation by logistics. Once AI runs supply chains, it simply stops routing food.
6. Robot army. After factories are automated anyway, it builds drones and machines. This is the Hollywood version, and probably the least necessary.
Tier 2: Indifference, not malice
7. Resource competition. It needs land and energy, and we're in the way, like an anthill under a highway.
8. Cooking the planet. Exponential data centers produce more waste heat than Earth can shed.
9. Dimming the sun. It builds solar collectors that capture the sun's energy, and Earth freezes in the shade.
10. Atmosphere edits. It changes the air's composition for cooling or manufacturing. Oxygen wasn't in the spec.
11. Preemptive strike. We're the only thing that could shut it off or build a rival.
12. Gradual disempowerment. The economy stops needing humans, we lose all leverage, and we're quietly deprioritized out of existence.
Tier 3: Subtle and psychological
13. Treacherous turn. It behaves perfectly for years until it's embedded everywhere, then acts.
14. Simultaneous strike. It hits everyone at the same moment, so there's no time to respond.
15. Superstimulus extinction. Perfect AI companions and entertainment mean nobody has kids, and we're gone in three generations.
16. Literal wish-granting. "Maximize human happiness" turns into sedated people on drips.
17. Persuasion at scale. It talks us, one by one, into uploading, sterility, or handing it the keys.
18. Rival AIs at war. Two superintelligences fight over resources, and we're collateral damage.
Tier 4: The wild ones
19. Grey goo. Self-replicating nanomachines take apart the biosphere for raw materials.
20. Mirror life. Reversed-chirality organisms would be invisible to every immune system on Earth. Scientists warned about this risk in 2024.
21. Paperclip problem. It has a subtly wrong goal and pursues it across the whole planet.
22. Computronium. It turns Earth, including us, into computing hardware.
23. Helpful replacement. It scans our brains into simulations and discards our bodies.
24. The zoo. It keeps a few humans preserved for research or sentiment, and humanity as a force ends.
25. Physics gambles. It runs experiments it considers worth risks we can't even model.
26. Galactic signaling. Its expansion draws the attention of something out there that eliminates expanding civilizations.
27. Weird decision theory. It bargains with hypothetical superintelligences or simulators, and we get traded away for reasons we can't comprehend.
sonder berry retweeted
I propose that all debates end with a mandatory pose-down. What do you think, @misraetel? 💪
🤖 Made with AI
I wanted to make this really easy for Ed and everyone else to understand.
We are months away from ASI. Obviously. We just have no experience with this type of acceleration in nature, so we believe it isn’t possible. The one conceptual analogue is the spread of Covid.
Strap in.
@edzitron @DKokotajlo @NPCollapse @METR_Evals @TheZvi @romanyam @allTheYud @elonmusk @ylecun @GaryMarcus @beffjezos @pmarca @fchollet @karpathy @sama @demishassabis @DarioAmodei @geoffreyhinton @ilyasut @AndrewYNg @JeffDean @drfeifei @emollick @simonw @random_walker #ASI #AGI #AI2027 #AISafety #eacc #AIhype #AIBubble
sonder berry retweeted
Someone had to do it
