I am a Believer in Christ | California State Weather | CA + NV/UT/AZ | CA always first
California
Joined April 2026
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I am truly honored to have 800 followers here on X. This is the only social media account I maintain so I can provide you with the best attention and most accurate updates possible. I’m thrilled that you’ve decided to join me in my passion for weather forecasting, covering California as well as Nevada, Utah, and Arizona. Thank you for giving me the opportunity to share important weather information and help you stay safe.
#cawx #azwx #utwx #nvwx
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If you live out west check this map. This is not just one warning, this is a whole system hitting 4 states at once.
🩷 California is getting hit the hardest in the Sierra. That pink is Winter Storm Warning from around Susanville down through Reno and Carson City and all the way through Mammoth Lakes to Bishop and Lone Pine. That means heavy snow, low visibility and chain controls likely on the passes.
🟨 That gold strip along the Sierra front is High Wind Warning. Gusts will be strong enough to push cars around, especially high profile vehicles.
🟫 That big tan area is Wind Advisory. It covers a ton of northern Nevada and northeast California. Winnemucca, Elko, Battle Mountain, Ely, Fallon, all in it. Gusty, dusty, tough driving, especially on I 80.
🟩 That green along the California coast is Flood Watch. And that 🩵 light blue along the southern coast is the coastal flood and high surf side of this. Rain plus wind plus surf all at once.
🟦 That blue in the Sierra around Mammoth and Bishop is the Winter Weather Advisory side, so a little less than the pink warning but still messy travel.
Nevada is basically all wind except for Reno and Carson City where it flips to winter. Utah is getting clipped by the same wind in the west around Wendover and Delta, but not much snow on this map for Utah. Arizona is the quiet one here, outside of a small spot near Gila Bend most of AZ is clear.
Bottom line, if you are in the Sierra do not travel unless you have to. If you are in northern Nevada or northeast California secure loose stuff and expect power flickers from the wind. If you are on the CA coast watch for localized flooding and high surf.
Drop your city in the comments and I will tell you what color you are in.
#CaliforniaWeather #NevadaWeather #UtahWeather #ArizonaWeather #WinterStormWarning #WindAdvisory #SierraNevada #Reno #MammothLakes #Bishop #LakeTahoe #WeatherUpdate
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Take this with a grain of salt, but there is potential for significant rain accumulation from these systems. By Friday and into the weekend, Northern California could see 1–3" of rain, especially along the coast and some inland areas, while Central California may receive 0.2–1.8"+. Southern California has a chance for showers and storms on Friday, though forecasts vary, with certain spots potentially seeing 0.15–2". Mountainous areas are likely to receive higher amounts. This pattern will continue for several days with additional storm systems bringing both rain and snow. Snowfall is expected over the Sierras and other higher northern elevations, with totals potentially exceeding 1 ft, not including accumulation from the coming days into the weekend and early next week. I’ll keep you updated. Across our region, Nevada, Utah, and Arizona are showing lighter activity, though a few areas may receive slightly more. Arizona on the other hand shows agreement on more than what we see in this image. #cawx #utwx #nvwx #azwx
Via the ECWMF, I am seeing that this pattern could consist of 3 storms. Then at the end of the month a subtropical high looks to build over SoCal.
You all remember our discussion on wave conditions for this weekend. The forecast remains steady, with very large waves expected. Starting Thursday, initial effects may become noticeable, but by Friday through the weekend, waves could exceed 25 ft along Northern to Central California, could they reach the coast? it's possible. Further south, near the Channel Islands, waves may reach 15-20 ft. The Southern Bight may also see some activity, though less intense. Swells are expected from the WNW, possibly NW, accompanied by windy conditions with gusts of 20-30 mph, potentially stronger over the waters. #cawx #california
By the end of next weekend, a powerful Alaskan low will be positioned to our northwest, tightening the pressure gradient and bringing strong winds over the coastal waters. This will build seas to 10-12 ft offshore, with potential for even larger swells. I will keep you updated. #cawx #california
California State Weather | The Southwest Four | retweeted
The first of a series of storms slides in Friday through Saturday. Here are the probabilities of 8 and 12 inches of snow for the Sierra Nevada. #CAWx #Fresno #Bakersfield
ALT The two images shows the probability of snow amounts in the first storm this weekend. China Peak has a 25 percent chance of 8 inches, Tioga Pass has a 78 percent chance of 12 inches of snow, and Mammoth Peak has a 53 percent chance of 12 inches of snow.
California State Weather | The Southwest Four | retweeted
These maps are % chance of an area seeing a 0.25" of rain or more in an area during Fri morning/afternoon (left) and Fri PM to Sat PM (right). Showers Fri morning will mostly impact the coast, with more widespread rain moving through the region late Friday into Saturday morning.
California State Weather | The Southwest Four | retweeted
A powerful swell will bring 25 to 35 foot breaking waves to northwest California beaches starting Friday afternoon through Saturday morning. Powerful waves can rush far up beaches, wash over rocks & jetties, and erode at coastal bluffs. Stay back from the ocean this weekend.
ALT Graphic showing a large breaking wave on the left and details on the right.
California State Weather | The Southwest Four | retweeted
Seasonably warm high temperatures continue through Thursday, before noticeably cooler temperatures arrive Friday through the weekend as weather systems move through the region. #CAwx
Thank you! Hoping this all ends by then. When do you think is the best predictive time frame?
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I've been keeping an eye on that day, and while it's still early, it looks like there could be a break from the rain. If this pattern holds into next week, that would be great news. Most data currently agree that Palm Springs is expected to stay drier. I’ll keep you updated. It's not firm as of yet.
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Seeing that the pattern continues to favor rain, it confirms that my forecasts have been accurate. #cawx #utwx #nvwx #azwx
We remain dry for now besides northern and central portions of CA experiencing rain, and once the current low-pressure system moves out, a drier pattern will dominate this week as a ridge of high pressure steers most systems away. Looking ahead to possibly the second week, the ridge may break down, allowing several storm systems to move in, potentially bringing back-to-back precipitation events. This could mark the beginning of a wetter period. As I mentioned earlier, we are gradually seeing these patterns start to unfold. #cawx #utwx #azwx #nvwx
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California State Weather | The Southwest Four | retweeted
🚨UPDATE: The Beach Hazard Statement has been adjusted to start now and will continue through 6 PM Friday. From 6 PM Friday through 4 AM Sunday a High Surf Warning will be in effect for Pacific Coast beaches.
Never turn your back on the ocean. #CAwx
ALT A Beach Hazards Statement remains in effect now through 6 PM Friday when it will be replaced with a High Surf Warning from 6 PM Friday to 4 AM Sunday. Breaking waves of 15 to 20 feet are expected for the duration of the Beach Hazards Statement.
California State Weather | The Southwest Four | retweeted
Heads up! A pattern change is on the way! Unsettled conditions are expected over the weekend lasting into next week. Details are still being worked out, but a return to cooler conditions with periodic gusty winds and precip chances can be expected. #cawx #nvwx #azwx
ALT Graphic highlights a pattern change expected with above normal precipitation favored across much of the Western US. Uncertainties are described which include unknown timing details and potential for snow in the higher elevations.
California State Weather | The Southwest Four | retweeted
.@CaltransHQ continues to prepare California’s roadways to help keep you safe and give you peace of mind when traveling. Remember to download the QuickMap app before your next trip or commute to stay up to date on road conditions.
Caltrans is taking concrete actions to protect vital infrastructure ahead of a potentially historic El Niño. Before, during and after severe weather strikes our state, Caltrans crews will be there to keep Californians moving safely #elninoprep
