Jaron Zhou (@ZhouJaron) header
Jaron Zhou (@ZhouJaron) profile picture

Fmr Head of Politics @Kalshi | Ex-Bain | Gov @Harvard | Politics, tech, fashion, & SoCal enthusiast | Personal opinions only, not trading advice

Manhattan, NY
Joined July 2018
Photo by Jaron Zhou (@ZhouJaron)Photo by Jaron Zhou (@ZhouJaron)Photo by Jaron Zhou (@ZhouJaron)Photo by Jaron Zhou (@ZhouJaron)Photo by Jaron Zhou (@ZhouJaron)Photo by Jaron Zhou (@ZhouJaron)Photo by Jaron Zhou (@ZhouJaron)Photo by Jaron Zhou (@ZhouJaron)Photo by Jaron Zhou (@ZhouJaron)Photo by Jaron Zhou (@ZhouJaron)
Sliwa during the debate: "Zohran, your resume could fill a cocktail napkin, and Andrew, your failures could fill a public school library in New York City."
I still do not want anything to do with you… Stop glazing me.
49
897
106
41,283
2,710,635
Actually not a great sign for Sullivan that a batch full of votes from districts that are R+30 or more only went for him by 5%. Remaining vote should skew Dem by wide margins.
Latest ~5,500 vote Alaska batch went Sullivan +5% and netted Sullivan 275 votes Peltola is still up 3,975 votes Almost all of this came from Sullivan strongholds, many of which the AP says are more than 95% in
3
27
930
Pretty much every single Republican state house district is at 95%+ reporting after this drop. The areas with vote left are mostly urban Anchorage and other Peltola areas.
Alaska: 5,578 additional votes reported 🔴 Dan Sullivan: +2,836 (50.8%) 🔵 Mary Peltola: +2,561 (45.9%) Dan Sullivan nets 275 votes, narrowing Peltola's lead to 3,975 votes (1.60 points). Updated totals: 🔵 Peltola: 121,487 (48.9%) 🔴 Dan Sullivan: 117,512 (47.3%)
2
67
1,844
If Dems start winning Maricopa by double digits they actually can’t lose Arizona. Same with Clark in Nevada.
Maricopa County tabulated its final 301 ballots. Hobbs 60.6%
Biggs 35.4% Final countywide:
Hobbs 57.3%
Biggs 41.0% Maricopa County is done. Here’s final turnout by district:
6
334
For some reason, they literally just reported votes from the red areas in Alaska in this batch
15
1,019
Biggs only barely winning Election Day votes by less than 2% is insane given how Republican Eday has broken in Arizona in the past. Hobbs had crazy levels of crossover and independent support.
Final breakdown of the gubernatorial race in Maricopa County, by ballot type:
1
5
606
After suffering the biggest loss since Watergate the GOP has seemingly settled on even worse messaging
Jim Jordan on skyrocketing gas prices: That’s life
1
5
320
If GOP enthusiasm craters in December and energized Dems show up, there could be a shot for Dems to win one of the Louisiana districts that are going to runoffs.
1
2
466
I feel like I need Democrats to flip a seat every day now, my brain has become too accustomed to this.
It's Official: Democrat Raymond E. Smith has FLIPPED North Carolina's 3rd Congressional district from a Republican who's been in office since 2018. The #BlueTsunami is up to 257 seats in the House.
1
15
553
Total Cooper victory
“Why does the NC GOP hate Roy Cooper so much?” Roy Cooper to the NC GOP for 30 years:
4
310
Outrunning Bennie Thompson, who’s represented that district for 30+ years, is crazy
Mississippi elected a Democrat to the Senate for the first time since 1982 Scott Colom beat Cindy Hyde-Smith by 0.5 pts, a 23.4-pt swing from 2024. He's the state's first Black senator since Reconstruction He outran every House Dem but won 1 of 4 districts @DecisionDeskHQ
7
421
Can Democrats do this in Georgia and North Carolina too
Opening up a special election in a very competitive seat with a large Latino population...
3
501
So many Democrats are winning in the Senate they need to resort to Avengers poster layouts to fit them all in.
THE BLUE TSUNAMI IS SWEEPING THE U.S. SENATE 🌊
3
238
Looking forward to the “pick another governor” ad next fall
2
18
683
Glad that pretty much every GOP elected official who lost, even those in tough races, have conceded swiftly. Takes all the air out of any claims of fraud.
NEW: GOP Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith spoke to Scott Colom and conceded, per the Colom campaign
1
29
700
AP called this race in part because red Jackson County dropped over 2,100 votes and Colom actually won them by 24 votes.
AP: Scott Colom (D) wins Mississippi’s U.S. Senate race, defeating Senator Cindy Hyde-Smith (R-MS). 🟦Democratic flip AP follows CNN and VoteHub in calling Mississippi Senate for Scott Colom.
42
1,197
Truly historic moment. Before Colom, the last Black senator from Mississippi was Blanche Bruce, born in 1841.
Scott Colom will defeat Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith in a major upset to become the first Democrat that voters in deep-red Mississippi have elected to the chamber in more than four decades, CNN projects. cnn.it/4iEnxUo
2
21
144
3,092
Finally!!!
Scott Colom will defeat Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith in a major upset to become the first Democrat that voters in deep-red Mississippi have elected to the chamber in more than four decades, CNN projects. cnn.it/4iEnxUo
1
3
251
The people who said Paxton would win by 30-40 are just straight up delusional
all of these aged horribly btw
8
1,541
wtf is happening in Mississippi, there is still no explanation for AP’s mystery 885-vote drop and now they put out a correction subtracting 6 votes?
And this is simply why you cannot call this race. There is absolutely zero transparency in the Mississippi voting system. It's an absolute cluster fuck where you have no idea what is left and if the numbers reported are even accurate.
2
1
1,347
Of the four North Carolina congressional map (map 1 was never actually used), Greg Murphy probably would've survived on all of them except for the 4th map: the map used this year.
12
760