Timothy B. Lee (@binarybits) header
Timothy B. Lee (@binarybits) profile picture

Reporting on AI and the future of the economy. CS masters degree from Princeton. Newsletter: https://xitter.twitterapi.xyz/t.co/MAwkvzSSr3 Podcast: https://xitter.twitterapi.xyz/t.co/aJSErfcE8Y

Washington, DC
Joined March 2008
Josh Shapiro won his race by an even wider margin than Jon Ossoff, but he has no presidential buzz. I guess maybe he's been so far ahead for so long that people forgot this race was happening?
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The guy's odds of getting the Republican nomination fell in half in the last 24 hours, according to betting markets.
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Incredible performance by Democrats. If they do this well in 2028 they will wind up with 60+ Senate seats.
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Replying to @tjl
I see what you mean. Second screenshot is from District of Columbia Municipal Regulations section 908.
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That data in my chart appears to be mostly come from this table in this book chapter. sociology.sas.upenn.edu/site…
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This sets up a fun legal puzzle: (1) Robert White's departure means the Democratic Party gets to fill his seat. (2) The Democratic Party must choose a Democrat. (3) Christina Henderson's subsequent party switch means the council can't have any more at-large Democrats.
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Replying to @TheStalwart
Honestly I'll be more surprised by Collins losing in Maine than Paxton losing in Texas. She's a generational political talent.
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These are the states that would decide control of the Senate in a 52-state USA. I think Republicans would do ok!
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