Hope to see greater Houston area friends tomorrow, Nov 12, for lunch with Cypress Republicans @CypressRep37883 , where I will be speaking on the 2026 election results, why those results happened, and a plan for holding the line and preparing for 2028.
Note the need to RSVP at link below.
Thursday, November 12
St. John Lutheran Church, Cypress
11:00 AM social time · 11:30 AM lunch and program
Reserve your seat at CypressRepublicans.com/event….
The question that Republicans all over the nation have to ask is how did the Dems do this level of turnout?
Was it fantastic organization and ground game and messaging by the Dems and NGOs as @DataRepublican suspects? Was it systemic fraud as many suspect? Was it a combination of the two whereby the ground game involved both turnout and systemic cheating to get the totals?
Whatever it is, Republicans have to figure the true cause to be able to up our game in 2028.
In Texas, the mechanism we have to legally discover and check on fraud are candidates stepping up to file for manual paper recounts to push back the deadlines for election contests, giving time for investigation and the opportunity to present evidence in courts of law.
👀Will Cain Breaks Down the Midterm Turnout Gap
WATCH: @willcain explains how Republicans turned out like they typically do in a midterm election, while Democrats mobilized as if President Trump were on the ballot.
The result: Democrats performed closer to presidential-election levels as Republicans failed to match the intensity of their opposition.
You would think that Trump's million dollar rewards for convictions of violating election law would surface other shenanigans if they exist.
ARIZONA election worker comes forward with allegations of ELECTION FRAUD exposing that 153,404 ballots were sent to adjudication with 54.7% flagged as overvotes, which is an extremely high number.
An inside Maricopa County ballot adjudicator claims she witnessed GOP votes for Andy Biggs systematically tossed as "overvotes," which gave the 2026 Arizona governor's race to Katie Hobbs.
The number of ballots flagged and adjudicated from Nov. 1-6 is extremely alarming.
- 153,404 ballots sent to adjudication.
- 54.70% flagged as overvotes.
- 27.82% ambiguous, 17.27% write-in.
Journalist Rachel Alexander, a former Maricopa elections attorney, was contacted by the election worker about the ongoing anomalies.
The Arizona ballot adjudicator claims she witnessed
Republican ballots marked for Biggs & Hobbs, with an X through the Biggs oval, which were then treated as overvotes.
Adjudicators then strip the Biggs vote, reading the X as not what the voter intended to mark as their selection, which then awarded it to Hobbs.
Dual marks for Biggs plus Lombardo create overvotes where neither vote counts, cancelling them both out. This same pattern was appearing on Prop 144 and other races.
The election worker also noted that the ballots weren't stored in a secure location and were just in a hallway out in the open.
Maricopa County officials have not yet commented as these are new allegations being looked into, and 100% should be looked into, immediately.
The amount of flagged overvotes and adjudicated ballots in this race should tell you everything you need to know.
If this is electronic manipulation, in Texas, manual paper recounts requested by candidates will uncover it.
TEXAS: THE 15% GAP, COUNTY BY COUNTY
The 15% gap held across the Senate map. Here’s Texas, all 254 counties. 97% of counties fell within range: 246 of the 254.
Below the formula: Starr, Zapata, Maverick, Webb, Hidalgo, Cameron, Duval, Jim Hogg. Border counties along the Rio Grande.
What the formula tells us: If a county is below the formula, the proportion of Democrats to Republicans who voted 🗳️ in that specific county was higher than in 2024. If it’s above the formula, the proportion of Republicans to Democrats was higher than in 2024.
Why this matters:
This isn’t a statewide average hiding the normal county-to-county variation underneath. The same 15% shows up in counties with dozens of voters and counties with more than a million. The few that break from it break in predictable directions.
One rule works at the state level and the county level. That’s not what scattered voter decisions usually look like.
Did the Deep State w Dems decide to "pretend that Trump was on the ballot" and systemically steal the election again? Only using existing legal processes in the states to check will let us know.
THE 15% BAND
Look at this chart.
59 races. Senate and governor.
States ordered from reddest to bluest in 2024.
The solid lines are 2024.
The dashed lines are 2026.
The shaded bands are what moved.
One formula fits all of it:
Republican 2026 = 0.85 × Trump 2024
Democrat 2026 = Harris 2024 + 0.15 × Trump 2024
For every 1,000 Trump points, 850 stayed Republican. 150 landed on the Democratic side.
The numbers:
Senate: Republicans kept ~85% of Trump’s share
Governor: ~86%
Variation explained: 88%
What makes it strange:
It didn’t matter how red the state was. Wyoming, Ohio, Illinois, Massachusetts: same 15% (p = 0.69). The Democratic gain was sized by Trump’s vote, not Harris’s. The Harris part is zero.
The 0.85 beat both standard election-swing models in every set of races.
Drop any single state and the multiplier stays between 0.846 and 0.853.
Why seats flipped:
At 0.85, any state where Trump got under about 58.5% falls below 50%. Texas, Kansas, Iowa, Ohio, South Carolina, North Carolina: all under that line. All flipped.
What this means:
Midterms are messy. This one isn’t. Two sets of races, different candidates, different campaigns, and the same 15% decrease almost everywhere.
A pattern this even demands answers at the ballot level: paper ballot hand counts, poll-book check-ins against votes counted, and voter files showing who actually turned out.
The numbers raise the question.
The ballots can answer it.
Remember, you have the potential of getting $1 million dollars if you come forward and report election fraud that gets a conviction. I would report to your local US Attorney. It is likely that if you were hired in such a scheme and report it, you will get immunity and the reward.
.@POTUS: "I'm also going to be issuing a million dollar bonus or reward or whatever you want to call it for anybody that reports voter fraud, leading to the arrest and conviction of somebody."
I call on @mayes_middleton @DonHuffines @bofrench @KenPaxtonTX @LeighForTexas @smithfortx @JohnMessingerTX @kevinpyeary and GOP State Rep candidates in at least Harris, Tarrant, Williamson, Dallas, Bexar, and Brazos to file to do manual paper recounts and to start doing the investigations of potential illegal alien voting and/or ballot harvesting that can be challenged in election contests.
Doing manual paper recounts confirms whether electronic cheating occurred or not. But maybe even more importantly, it extends the deadline for filing election contests, giving us time to verify whether there was systemic cheating via illegal votes or ballot harvesting.
Last night, I was at a meeting where I talked to two election judges in Montgomery County who said that they saw for the first time a number of non-English speakers with new IDs voting, which they suspected were illegals voting with fake IDs. If it happened in red Montgomery County, think what happened in the big blue counties of Texas.
Before we go analyzing these "results," we need to verify whether they were real or fraud. Texas law shows the way. Candidates and their campaigns have to lead and pay for the verification for it to have any effect.
@natesheetsforTX and @DrBuckinghamTX did not mean to leave you out of this call.
"In the fight for the republic, we must always be happy warriors. So, gird up your loins and be of good cheer. You are now the resistance in Texas."
The Republicans still hold the Texas Senate, so we can stop the most destructive legislation. Far less likely to make much progress on RPT priorities.
Lots of processing to figure out how we take the best strategic action for liberty for our posterity from here forward.
No, You Cannot Give Up
The Democrats finally delivered the "blue wave" they had long been promising. Up and down the ticket, Republicans fell in races they had previously considered safe. A few thoughts.
1) Yes, this was a national wave. With minor variation, Republicans on the statewide ballot fell by the same percentages. But, as I wrote back in September, Texas Republicans spent 25 years in power but used much of their "incumbency" energy holding power rather than using it. Voters care about tangible results, not the ratio of Rs to Ds. For example, property taxes are higher than ever, and no number of press releases can hide that. (The same is true nationally, where the universally popular SAVE Act was stymied by the Senate's GOP majority.)
2) A lack of party discipline has consequences. Yes, John Cornyn and Sid Miller did some damage to the GOP ticket with their sore-loser attacks on their respective successors, but the real damage happened over time. For decades, the GOP refused to demand that their logo-bearers toe the legislative line. Republicans tolerated bad behavior; what was sowed has now been reaped.
3) Florida offers a useful example. Last night's nationwide rout of Republicans was felt less in Florida than elsewhere. There, Republicans have delivered the tangible results Floridians wanted, and so voters rewarded the candidates.
4) You are needed now, more than ever. While politicians can walk away after a loss, We the People have a moral obligation to stay in the fight, regardless of who temporarily holds any particular office. A bad night requires that each of us march boldly forward, remembering that the promise of liberty in Texas is worth it.
In the fight for the republic, we must always be happy warriors. So, gird up your loins and be of good cheer. You are now the resistance in Texas.
I like voting FOR a vision and principles and a world view and a person who champions all of those closest to mine. But the reality of human nature is that many also vote AGAINST threats to their way of life, future, and children.
In this election, normal Americans and Texans who love America and Texas have both -- a choice that by and large is 80% or more aligned with moving forward to a glorious future -- and a choice that seeks to transform (i.e., destroy) everything we hold dear.
While I am voting FOR a future of more abundance, harmony, security, and liberty for my family with the Republicans, I am REJECTING the destructive Dem vision of open borders, letting violent criminals roam free, massive fraud stealing our federal funds, sexualization and indoctrination of our kids, taking our guns, innovation and productivity sapping regulations that increase cost of living, etc.
The visions and the futures of the choices in this election cannot be more stark or more important. In this binary choice, rejection of the darkness may be as important as embracing the light.
Don't sit it out. Understand the big picture and the choices. Then act for the good and against the evil.
I call him Stonewall Paxton.
Standing strong for us, no matter what the pressure.
FIRE ALERT: Texas Rep. @realmitchlittle just set the stage ablaze at the Paxton rally tonight. The man didn’t just defend @KenPaxtonTX in the courtroom, he brings the fire too. This is what a real warrior looks like. Texas, this is how it's done. #ComeAndTakeIt
A poll for Texans on voting.
76%I early voted
1%I mailed in ballot
19%I will vote Election Day
3%Out-state influencer/bot
67 votes • Final results"If Texas Rs vote, Texas Rs win. It’s really that simple."
I had Grok go through the Texas Secretary of State's records of who has voted early and mailed in ballots to compare to my primary campaign email list. It found 892 people on my email list, presumably Republican primary voters that have not yet voted.
Will be emailing and contacting them, today to urge them to turn out tomorrow to save Texas and America from socialist/Islamist takeover.
TURN OUT. TURN OUT. TURN OUT!
What I learned this weekend about Texas:
1) Latino men appear to have the same mindset as they did in 2024, when Trump won the entire Latino vote by 10 points.
2) Talarico’s campaign manager came out and said Talarico has “at best” a 50% chance of winning. KEY WORDS - AT BEST.
Yet people on here are acting like they know what a Dem victory in Texas looks like when they’ve never seen one.
If Texas Rs vote, Texas Rs win. It’s really that simple.
And no, nobody knows how many Democrats and Republicans have voted because they don’t register by party. The models are extremely sketchy.
I DO expect Talarico to approach the last presidential total of votes. Texas Rs would lose with 2022 turnout. But…Texas R counties are on pace to crush that number, and many R counties are already well past it.
*Galveston
*Rockwall
*Culberson
*Denton
*Ellis
*Brazoria
*Kaufman
*Reeves
For those who are not just looking for a rationalization for their hatred of the conservative results of Ken Paxton and really do want to understand more about the political lawfare that has been waged on @KenPaxtonTX for a long time, I give you a WSJ piece from Aug 20, 2017 explaining the use of lawfare by the Texas establishment regarding securities prosecutions against Ken Paxton. That article behind a paywall is linked below.
Here is a summary and some quotes from what it says:
"Texas has a history of politicized prosecutions that attempt to destroy careers only to be thrown out of court. . . . The latest target is Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton, and on inspection the evidence and legal process against him so far look equally dubious."
"Mr. Paxton was elected in 2014 on a wave of tea-party support after spending several years in the state legislature. As a lawmaker, Mr. Paxton ruffled the Republican establishment and challenged House Speaker Joe Straus. Mr. Paxton has also roiled Texas politics as AG, challenging the federal government . . ."
"But under the Texas State Securities Act Mr. Paxton was not required to register because he never acted as an adviser to Mr. Cook or the others. The relevant law explicitly exempts attorneys from the requirement if “performance of the services is solely incidental to the practice of the person’s profession.” The investment firm Mr. Paxton worked with was already registered with the SEC, which eliminates the requirement of agents to also register.
The indictment also claimed that Mr. Paxton had an affirmative duty to disclose he was not invested, but there is no such duty under state or federal law. When the Securities and Exchange Commission filed similar charges in federal court, federal judge Amos Mazzant dismissed the case.
In his October 2016 ruling, Judge Mazzant noted there was no evidence Mr. Paxton violated laws or engaged in illegal conduct. “The SEC is attempting to place square pegs in round holes,” he wrote. Judge Mazzant ultimately dismissed the case “with prejudice,” barring the SEC from refiling charges."
wsj.com/articles/texas-polit…
Hat tip for this piece to East Texans for Liberty on Facebook.
I want to teach Dems a lesson that we don't want open borders, letting violent criminals roam free, massive fraud stealing our federal funds, sexualization and indoctrination of our kids, innovation and productivity sapping regulations that increase cost of living, etc.
Among the doomers, blackpillers, and those who just want an excuse to stay home who presumably voted Trump or Republican in the past (although there are lots of bots and ops just magnifying a psyop), we have been hearing talk of "teaching a lesson" to elected Republicans on the theory that they have not accomplished everything we want them to.
The time to teach RINOs is in the GOP primary. We did so with Cornyn, Cassidy, and Crenshaw this year. We can do more in the future.
A nonvote or protest vote is to vote for the destructive Dems that will ruin everything we hold dear. Get out and teach the Dems the lesson that we don't want that.
Ken Paxton is not corrupt! He (and we) are the victim of the most vicious Alinsky Big Lie/lawfare assault, FALSELY ACCUSING PAXTON of corruption. Every one of the examples cited in ads for Talafreako are lies or just ridiculous, made up spins.
The destructive, socialist Dems and the establishment including Big Tech, Big Pharma, Big Auto, etc. that cannot control @KenPaxtonTX HATE him, and are willing to use any lie necessary to stop him.
The reality of this race is that it is between Commie Crazy (Talafreako) and Courageous Common-Sense Competence (Paxton).
The establishment and the left seek to turn it into Crazy v Corruption in an attempt to suppress the votes of those who have voted for Trump and Republicans in the past. Independents and Republicans, don't be a victim of this psyop designed to demoralize and suppress or flip your vote!
Actually compare Ken Paxton's fantastic record of common sense protection of Texans from big corporations and the left against Talafreako's record of voting, speaking and advocating against border security, stopping crime, fiscal sanity, and protecting our children from sexualization, mutilation, and indoctrination.
Then go vote FOR Paxton's courageous, tenacious, record and vision for Texas and AGAINST the woke, crazy, heretical, commie record of Talafreako.
Note the repetition of accusations as a response to this post. The point is that none are proven or convictions. All are merely alleged. Most if not all who are doing so already hate Paxton for his conservative success and policies. They are just thinking for a reason for the hatred later. xitter-newx.xyz-mikolabs.workers.dev/tomgglass/status/21060…
Those who hate @KenPaxtonTX (and for that matter @realDonaldTrump ) believe and state falsehoods about them for which they have no evidence because they desperately want something to justify their ideologically-driven hatred.
They are like Lee Ann Womack's song, "I already hate her. I'll think of a reason later."
If not insane, the Dems running for office and their woke commie supporters have an obsession with running your life, hating you, or wanting to kill you.
This a choice election. To not choose from one of two realistic alternatives IS to choose your own destruction.
Heads up!
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Gratitude for the good things we enjoy is the key to happiness. If you can't be happy with what you have, how will you be happy if you get one more thing?
And gratitude for the wonderful constitutional republic, rule of law, and abundance-creating free market system bequeathed us by our framers is the key to achieving more and obtaining even more happiness.
PATRIOTISM begins with GRATITUDE. 🇺🇸❤️
That powerful reminder from Craig Scheef and Julie Strum is EXACTLY why we launched Let’s Talk Midterms - to challenge perspectives, spark conversations, and get people THINKING!
Never take your voice, or your VOTE, for granted! 🇺🇸
@TXSecurityBank
@mcbadfw
I did not know the alleged history of cartel corruption of the Compadre system and the Pulido family in South Texas told by Monica De La Cruz in this speech.

























