Ryan McComb

Nice find on the NU campus!

for fun, I made a super compact simulation of this race over the summer. And one of the key things to always know is that if you can model the inelasticity of very democratic precincts through just a simple logit, and I got roughly the same results except a bit less localization around Ryan Field!

I was looking through election results from Travis County and found a fun one from last year. In Bee Cave, TX, voters approved building a new public library by a 13.2 point margin, but rejected the following referendum, which provided the $19.98 million in bonds to pay for it.

I poststratified a 2014 YouGov favorite-colour poll onto every precinct in the country by a few vars. Red vs Blue as a favorite color ends up correlating 0.89 with the 2020 vote?

Ellis, I think you meant to use this photo.

One of the coolest things is that it never feels like “work” here @VoteHub. For the midterms, everyone did it out of love for elections! I mean look how locked in @JordanSchwartz was!

you could say we...predicted...it would do better!

My dot has a new name!

Talarico’s biggest gains over 2024 come in heavily Hispanic precincts, but compared with Beto’s 2018 performance, the larger gains are actually in less-Hispanic precincts! A different geography of longer-term Democratic growth in Texas may not only rely on Hispanics!

The VoteHub Data Science team had an unreal night! - #1 forecast model by log loss (legacy) - First decision desk to call TX, OH, ME, MI, and NC - First decision desk to call the Senate So proud to work with these people: @juanfwulff @ZacharyDonnini @JordanSchwartz @ElliscbIV